Vitesse - De Graafschap Predictions

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Double Chance: Draw or De Graafschap
Confidence Rating
bet365
Void
-125
With Vitesse’s inconsistency at home and De Graafschap showing some resilience, backing a "Double Chance: X2" appears wise. Recent stats highlight that while Vitesse has a strong historical advantage with a 13-2 record at home against De Graafschap, they have struggled to score consistently this season, failing to find the net in two home matches. Conversely, De Graafschap, despite their own difficulties, has managed to net goals, with an average of 1.67 away goals. Given their recent form and the ability to secure at least a draw, embracing this double chance is a solid, value-driven pick for bettors.
Oddspedia Model Probability 55.18%
Betting Odds Probability @-122 54.95%
0.42%
Bet value
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Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Vitesse vs De Graafschap. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Total Goals: Under 3.5
Confidence Rating
DraftKings
Void
-145
With both Vitesse and De Graafschap showing mixed results recently, betting on under 3.5 total goals makes solid sense. Historically, their encounters lean towards fewer goals, with the last 8 meetings resulting in just over 3.5 goals 57% of the time. Vitesse's home scoring is moderate, striking an average of 1.57 goals, while De Graafschap has struggled to find the net consistently on the road. Additionally, both teams often take time to settle into matches, evidenced by their tendency to score a significant portion of their goals in the middle of halves. This matchup has all the elements pointing to a low-scoring affair, making under 3.5 goals a smart choice.
Oddspedia Model Probability 56.52%
Betting Odds Probability @-128 56.34%
0.32%
Bet value
Final 1x2: De Graafschap
Confidence Rating
bet365
Void
+240
Considering the historical performance and current form, an away win for De Graafschap against Vitesse seems promising. Vitesse has struggled at home, failing to score in 33% of their matches, while De Graafschap has consistently found the net away from home, averaging 1.67 goals per game. Past encounters favor Vitesse, but De Graafschap's recent form—including two wins in their last five—suggests they can pull off an upset. Their ability to score in critical periods becomes crucial here. Given these factors, a bet on De Graafschap to win is backed by solid stats and good value.
Oddspedia Model Probability 33.59%
Betting Odds Probability @+222 31.1%
8.01%
Bet value

Pregame Probabilities

Winner probabilities
VIT
44% Home
22% Draw
34% Away
GRA
Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
10.0% 0.6% 3.5% 5.5% 4.3% 2.3% 5.3% 9.4% 6.9% 3.7% 6.2% 9.0% 8.1% 4.1% 3.1% 5.1% 3.8% 2.4% 6.7%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: Other Home Win

Community Picks

8
-188.32
224 Picks
2 days ago
Vitesse - De Graafschap
Total Goals: Over 2.75
Void
-185
-154.58
345 Picks
2 days ago
Vitesse - De Graafschap
Final 1x2: De Graafschap
Void
+220
-917.98
1234 Picks
3 days ago
Vitesse - De Graafschap
Final 1x2: Vitesse
Void
-109
-700.75
836 Picks
3 days ago
Vitesse - De Graafschap
Correct Score: 3 : 1
Void
+1200
-2,105.90
2561 Picks
3 days ago
Vitesse - De Graafschap
1st Half Total Goals: Over 1.25
Void
-132
-1,677.18
2869 Picks
3 days ago
Vitesse - De Graafschap
Spread: De Graafschap 0
Void
+142
-379.20
689 Picks
3 days ago
Vitesse - De Graafschap
Final 1x2: De Graafschap
Void
+225
-225.02
220 Picks
3 days ago
Vitesse - De Graafschap
Spread: De Graafschap +0.5
Void
-130

Betting stats

Played 14
Played 14
43% ATS % 21%
29% Totals Covered % 29%
100% Games over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Games over 1.5 goals 86%
43% Games over 2.5 goals 71%
29% Games over 3.5 goals 29%
7% Games over 4.5 goals 21%
43% Over HT1.5 goals at half time % 57%
29% Scored in both halves 14%
7% Conceded in both halves 36%

Head to Head

Last 9 years
4
Wins
1
Draw
2
Wins
7 played

Standings

# Team GP W D L Goals Pts
10
13
5
3
5
17:18
D L W L D ?
18
15
13
4
3
6
17:27
D W L D W ?
15

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Match Details

Referee
-
Stadium
-
Location
-
Weather Forecast
-

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