Finished
0 - 3
(HT 0 - 2)
25. Okt. 26, 10:00 AM
38'
Rayan
43'
M. Tavernier
71'
Evanilson

Man Utd vs Bournemouth Prediction: Can out-of-form Man Utd steady the ship?

Last updated vor 19 Tagen by Stuart Brown
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Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Man Utd vs Bournemouth. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Man Utd vs Bournemouth is part of Premier League Matchweek 8 on 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC (14:00 GMT). Oddspedia’s SmartBet model makes under 10.5 total corners the leading Man Utd vs Bournemouth prediction, with a five-star confidence rating.

The model gives under 10.5 corners a 54.23% probability, compared with 52.63% implied by the odds, resulting in +3.04% expected value. Man Utd’s inconsistent start and Bournemouth’s more direct approach away from home both give some support to a game that stays below the corner line.

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
MUN
50% Home
25% Draw
25% Away
BOU
Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
9.8% 0.3% 4.5% 5.1% 3.4% 1.5% 7.9% 9.5% 5.9% 2.1% 9.9% 10.9% 6.3% 2.3% 6.4% 6.4% 3.4% 1.4% 3.1%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Both Teams to Score: Yes
100%
15 of 15 Tips
L
f
P
+11
bet365
Lost
-163

The Oddspedia community is unanimous on both teams to score, with all 15 users backing BTTS at odds of 2/3.

The numbers give that support some weight. Manchester United have a 64% BTTS rate overall, rising to 80% across their last five matches, and they have conceded in seven consecutive games.

Bournemouth’s recent form is a little less consistent, but both teams to score has landed in all of their away matches in the current sample. With United regularly conceding and Bournemouth also contributing on the road, it is easy to see why the community is so strongly behind goals at both ends.

Consensus

24
Next Goal: No Goal
100%
8 of 8 Tips
Betway
Best odds
+1000
First Team to Score: No Goal
100%
8 of 8 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+1100
Total Goals: Under 0.5
100%
8 of 8 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+1100
European Handicap: Tie Man Utd +1
100%
5 of 5 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+375
Total Goals: Over 4.5
100%
5 of 5 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+475

Community Tips

361
-1,176.60
1106 Tips
vor 19 Tagen
Man Utd - Bournemouth
Total Goals: Over 2.5
Won
-125
-57.63
832 Tips
vor 19 Tagen
Man Utd - Bournemouth
Total Goals: Over 2.5
Won
-125
+57.10
561 Tips
vor 19 Tagen
Man Utd - Bournemouth
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Lost
-161
+228.97
105 Tips
vor 19 Tagen
Man Utd - Bournemouth
Full Time Result: Man Utd
Lost
+140
-516.86
716 Tips
vor 19 Tagen
Man Utd - Bournemouth
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Lost
-161
-516.70
1369 Tips
vor 19 Tagen
Man Utd - Bournemouth
Draw No Bet: Bournemouth
Won
+105
-673.46
678 Tips
vor 19 Tagen
Man Utd - Bournemouth
Total Goals: Over 6.5
Lost
+1300
-673.46
678 Tips
vor 19 Tagen
Man Utd - Bournemouth
Asian Handicap: Man Utd -2.5
Lost
+800
-673.46
678 Tips
vor 19 Tagen
Man Utd - Bournemouth
European Handicap: Tie Man Utd -3
Lost
+750
+917.89
941 Tips
vor 19 Tagen
Man Utd - Bournemouth
Total Cards: Over 3.25
Won
-278
D D L D L

Man Utd form analysis: Can they stop the slide?

Man Utd come into this one on a DDLDL run and sit 15th with seven points from seven league matches. The bigger concern is their wider winless streak, with no victory in their last seven games and at least one goal conceded in each of them.

There are still attacking positives. Bryan Mbeumo leads the scoring with four goals, while Bruno Fernandes has three, so United do have players capable of making the difference in the final third.

Their home head-to-head record also offers some encouragement, with five wins from the last nine meetings at Old Trafford. The challenge now is turning attacking moments into a complete performance and ending the run without a win.

L L W W W

Bournemouth form analysis: Can the Cherries stay hot?

Bournemouth come into this one on a LLWWW run, although they still sit 17th with six points from seven league matches. Their away record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, but they have scored in all three of those games.

Evanilson has been the main attacking threat, contributing four goals and four assists, while 73% of Bournemouth’s matches have gone over 2.5 goals. That combination gives them enough attacking threat to make this difficult for a United side that has been conceding regularly.

Bournemouth are also unbeaten in their last five Premier League meetings with Man Utd. Their recent form and head-to-head record give them reasons to believe they can take something from Old Trafford again.

Man Utd vs Bournemouth Stats

Man Utd vs Bournemouth odds: United slight favourites

Man Utd are slight favourites in the result market at 3/2, with the draw priced at 5/2 and Bournemouth at 2/1. The Asian handicap tells a similar story, with United -0.25 available at 17/16, suggesting the market gives the hosts only a narrow edge.

The goals line is set at 2.75, with over priced at 17/16 and under at 11/12. That points towards expectations of a game around the three-goal mark, with the under side carrying the shorter price.

Given the recent high-scoring meetings between these sides, that creates an interesting contrast between the current market line and the head-to-head trend.

Man Utd vs Bournemouth Odds

Man Utd vs Bournemouth predicted lineups: Attacking talent on show

Man Utd are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 under Michael Carrick, with Lammens in goal behind a back four of Dalot, Maguire, De Ligt and Mazraoui. Andrey Santos and Tielemans should form the double pivot, while Cunha, Fernandes and Mount operate behind Mbeumo.

Bournemouth are forecast to use a 4-4-2 under Marco Rose. Di Gregorio should start in goal, with Hill, Diakite, Antonio Silva and Truffert across the defence. Tavernier, Christie and Adams provide the midfield legs and aggression, while Evanilson is expected to partner Kluivert up front.

United have more attacking options between the lines, while Bournemouth’s front two could give them a more direct threat through the middle.

Man Utd Carrick, Michael
Bournemouth Rose, Marco
4-2-3-1
S. Lammens
1
D. Dalot
2
L. Yoro
15
Yellow Card
H. Maguire
5
65' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
A. Heaven
26
Yellow Card
A. Santos
17
73' Substitute Out
C. Baleba
20
78' Substitute Out
A. Diallo
16
46' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
Y. Tielemans
18
M. Mount
7
B. Mbeumo
19
4-2-3-1
D. Petrovic
1
87' Substitute Out
A. Smith
15
J. Hill
5
A. Silva
14
A
A. Truffert
3
Yellow Card
T. Adams
12
75' Substitute Out
A
L. Cook
4
Rayan
37
63' Substitute Out
A
J. Kluivert
19
87' Substitute Out
M. Tavernier
16
87' Substitute Out
Evanilson
9
Old Trafford
Gillett, Jarred

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
7
Wins
4
Draws
4
Wins
15 played

Standings

# Team P W D L Goals Pts
7
10
4
3
3
16:14
L W W W W ?
15
18
10
1
5
4
14:19
D D L L D ?
8

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FAQ Man Utd vs Bournemouth

Who will win between Man Utd and Bournemouth?

Bookmakers give Man Utd a narrow edge, but their recent form makes it difficult to be confident about the home win. United are without a victory in seven matches and have also failed to beat Bournemouth in their last five Premier League meetings.

Bournemouth’s recent record in this fixture keeps the result market open. A draw or a narrow Man Utd win looks the likeliest range of outcomes, with little to suggest either side should be strongly favoured.

What is the best bet for Man Utd and Bournemouth?

The leading Man Utd vs Bournemouth prediction from Oddspedia’s SmartBet model is under 10.5 total corners, rated with five-star confidence.

The model gives the selection a 54.23% probability, compared with 52.63% implied by the odds, resulting in +3.04% expected value. The edge is relatively small, but the model still rates the under as the strongest value option for the match.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-model prediction. It simulates match outcomes using available data and turns that into probabilities for betting markets. When the model probability is higher than the odds imply, it can signal value.

Where and when is the match played?

Man Utd vs Bournemouth is part of Premier League Matchweek 8 on 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC (14:00 GMT) at Old Trafford.

Where to watch Man Utd vs Bournemouth?

Man Utd vs Bournemouth will be shown live in the UK on Sky Sports Main Event, with coverage from 12:30 ahead of the 14:00 GMT kick-off. It will also be available through the Sky Sports app and NOW.

International viewers should check their local Premier League rights holder. bet365 may also offer live streaming in eligible regions, subject to account and location requirements.

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