Chelsea vs Tottenham Prediction: Can Chelsea keep their home run going?
Chelsea’s recent home record against Tottenham gives some support to a lower corner total, particularly when Chelsea are able to establish control early. If they score first and dictate possession, the game may not need to become especially stretched.
That is why the Chelsea vs Tottenham prediction of under 10.5 corners remains attractive. Tottenham’s attacking struggles, especially away from home, also reduce the likelihood of sustained pressure and a high number of corners at both ends.
Chelsea’s recent home record against Tottenham gives some support to a lower corner total, particularly when Chelsea are able to establish control early. If they score first and dictate possession, the game may not need to become especially stretched.
That is why the Chelsea vs Tottenham prediction of under 10.5 corners remains attractive. Tottenham’s attacking struggles, especially away from home, also reduce the likelihood of sustained pressure and a high number of corners at both ends.
What is SmartBet?
Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Chelsea vs Tottenham. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
Chelsea vs Tottenham is part of Premier League Matchweek 8 on 24 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:30 UTC (17:30 BST). Under 10.5 total corners is the standout Chelsea vs Tottenham prediction from Oddspedia’s SmartBet model, carrying a five-star confidence rating.
The model puts the under at 60.52%, compared with 52.08% implied by the odds, creating +16.21% expected value. A more controlled Chelsea performance, combined with Tottenham’s recent struggles for wins, could help keep the overall corner count below the line.
Our Expert's Prediction - Chelsea vs Tottenham Full Time Result
I think Chelsea are slightly overpriced here. They are unbeaten at home this season, whist Spurs are yet to win away, and have not won at Stamford Bridge since 2018.
Prematch Probabilities
What does the Oddspedia community think?
The Oddspedia community is leaning towards Chelsea in the result market, with 55 of 86 users backing the home win at 1/1.
Chelsea also hold the stronger league position with 13 points from seven matches, compared with Tottenham’s six. Spurs did win their most recent game, though, so they arrive with some momentum despite their slower start overall.
The league table and home advantage still help explain why most of the community is siding with Chelsea.
Consensus
27
Community Tips
377
Chelsea form analysis: Can the home run continue?
Chelsea head into the match in good shape, with recent form of WDLWW and 13 points from seven league games. Their overall record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, while at home they are unbeaten at 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses.
That home form is a major positive in this derby, with Chelsea also unbeaten in their last seven matches at Stamford Bridge. Their games have tended to produce goals too, with 78% going over 2.5 goals and 56% over 3.5.
Joao Pedro has been the standout attacker with five goals and three assists in six appearances, while Morgan Rogers has scored four. Chelsea have also been quick out of the blocks, with 41% of their goals arriving in the opening 15 minutes.
Tottenham form analysis: Can Spurs build on their latest win?
Tottenham’s recent form reads DLLDW, and they remain down in 16th with six points from seven league matches. Their away record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, while they have failed to score in two of their three away league games.
There are still concerns in attack, with Dominic Solanke leading the scoring on just one goal from seven appearances and several other key forwards yet to get off the mark. Their latest win at least gives them something to build on.
Both teams to score has landed in 80% of Tottenham’s last five matches, so there has been more attacking activity recently. The question is whether they can carry that into a much tougher away test at Stamford Bridge.
Chelsea vs Tottenham Odds: Bookies side with the Blues
Chelsea are clear favourites in the result market at 1/1, with the draw priced at 3/1 and Tottenham at 3/1. The Asian handicap tells a similar story, with Chelsea -0.5 available at 19/20.
The goals market is much tighter. Over 3 and under 3 are both priced at just under evens, suggesting the market is centred around the three-goal mark without a strong lean either way.
Chelsea remain the more obvious result angle, while the corner markets may offer an alternative for those looking beyond the match winner.
Chelsea vs Tottenham Predicted Lineups: Two matching 3-4-2-1 shapes
Chelsea are expected to use a 3-4-2-1 under Xabi Alonso, with Emiliano Martinez in goal and Acheampong, Lacroix and Colwill forming the back three. Pedro Neto and Hato provide the width, while Henderson and Caicedo operate centrally.
Further forward, Palmer and Morgan Rogers should play behind Joao Pedro, Chelsea’s leading scorer.
Tottenham are also tipped to line up in a 3-4-2-1 under Roberto De Zerbi. Kinsky starts in goal, with Adarabioyo, van Hecke and van de Ven in defence. Tonali and Maddison should control midfield, while Kudus and Marmoush support Solanke in attack.
Last Matches
Head-2-Head
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5
|
Chelsea
|
10
|
5
|
1
|
4
|
19:16
|
W
W
L
W
L
?
|
16
| |
11
|
Tottenham
|
10
|
3
|
3
|
4
|
10:11
|
D
W
W
W
L
?
|
12
| |
Oddspedia Tipster Competitions
Monthly Tipster Competition
Yearly Tipster Competition
Bundesliga Competition
La Liga Competition
EPL Competition
Get a free bet for Chelsea vs Tottenham
FAQ Chelsea vs Tottenham
Who will win between Chelsea and Tottenham?
Chelsea look the stronger side heading into the derby, with 13 points from seven matches compared with Tottenham’s six. Their home form also gives them an edge, with Chelsea unbeaten in their last seven at Stamford Bridge.
Tottenham did win their most recent match, so there is at least some encouragement for Spurs. Even so, Chelsea’s league position and home record make the hosts the stronger pick.
What is the best bet for Chelsea and Tottenham?
The leading Chelsea vs Tottenham prediction from Oddspedia’s SmartBet model is under 10.5 total corners, rated with five-star confidence.
The model gives the selection a 60.52% probability, compared with 52.08% implied by the odds, resulting in +16.21% expected value.
What is Oddspedia SmartBet?
Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model prediction. It simulates match outcomes and turns them into probabilities for betting markets. Here it highlights where the model probability is higher than the odds-implied probability.
Where and when is the match played?
Chelsea vs Tottenham is part of Premier League Matchweek 8 on 24 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:30 UTC (17:30 BST) at Stamford Bridge.
Where to watch Chelsea vs Tottenham?
Chelsea vs Tottenham will be shown live in the UK on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League, with coverage starting at 17:00 ahead of the 17:30 BST kick-off. The match can also be streamed through the Sky Sports app or NOW.
International viewers should check their local Premier League rights holder. bet365 may also offer livestreaming in eligible regions, subject to account and location requirements.
Sign up for the all new Oddspedia newsletter and the latest USA betting offers.
By submitting your email, you give us consent to contact you for marketing purposes.
