Finished
1 - 3
(HT 0 - 1)
8th Nov 26, 9:00 AM
90+5' Pen
E. Nketiah
40'
A. Mac Allister
54'
F. Wirtz
89'
A. Isak

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool prediction: Can Palace halt the Reds' away run?

Last updated 6 days ago by Stuart Brown
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What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool takes place on 8 November 2026 in Premier League Matchweek 10, with the visitors arriving in stronger form. The Crystal Palace vs Liverpool prediction from Oddspedia SmartBet is under 3.5 goals, carrying a five-star confidence rating.

The model gives the selection a 64.74% probability, compared with 60.98% implied by the odds, resulting in +6.17% expected value. Palace have lost three consecutive league matches, while neither side scored in their most recent league fixture. Those results provide some support for a lower-scoring encounter.

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
CRY
26% Home
23% Draw
51% Away
LFC

SmartBet forecast correct: Away Winner

Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
3.4% 0.2% 1.4% 2.8% 2.3% 1.5% 3.6% 6.6% 5.9% 3.9% 5.9% 10.4% 9.6% 5.7% 5.2% 9.3% 7.9% 4.6% 9.9%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Full Time Result: Liverpool
67%
55 of 82 Tips
+51
DraftKings
Won
-185

The Oddspedia community strongly favours Liverpool in the full-time result market, with 55 of 82 voters backing an away victory. At odds of 2/3, the Reds are clear favourites, supported by an unbeaten away league record of three wins and one draw.

However, Palace have enjoyed some success in recent meetings, winning three of the last five encounters, including the Community Shield on penalties. Liverpool's away form makes them the popular choice, but Palace's recent head-to-head results suggest the visitors could face a difficult afternoon.

Consensus

18
Next Goal: No Goal
100%
17 of 17 Tips
Betway
Best odds
+1800
Total Goals: Under 0.5
100%
11 of 11 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+1600
2nd Half Both Teams to Score: Yes
100%
7 of 7 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
+180
1st Half Both Teams to Score: Yes
100%
5 of 5 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+275
1st Half Total Goals: Over 1.5
100%
3 of 3 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+115

Community Tips

433
-368.07
833 Tips
6 days ago
Crystal Palace - Liverpool
Half Time / Full Time: Draw / Draw
Lost
+650
-368.07
833 Tips
6 days ago
Crystal Palace - Liverpool
First Team to Score: No Goal
Lost
+1800
-368.07
833 Tips
6 days ago
Crystal Palace - Liverpool
Correct Score: 4 : 4
Lost
+15000
+43.48
1397 Tips
6 days ago
Crystal Palace - Liverpool
Total Cards: Over 2.75
Won
-233
-12.40
61 Tips
6 days ago
Crystal Palace - Liverpool
Half Time / Full Time: Draw / Draw
Lost
+650
+25.81
577 Tips
6 days ago
Crystal Palace - Liverpool
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Won
-175
+104.28
185 Tips
6 days ago
Crystal Palace - Liverpool
Correct Score: 0 : 2
Lost
+800
+104.28
185 Tips
6 days ago
Crystal Palace - Liverpool
Asian Handicap: Liverpool -1
Won
-128
-12.40
61 Tips
6 days ago
Crystal Palace - Liverpool
Next Goal: No Goal
Lost
+1800
-785.34
1366 Tips
6 days ago
Crystal Palace - Liverpool
Total Corners: Over 10.5
Won
+110
D L W L D

Crystal Palace form analysis: League struggles continue

Crystal Palace enter this fixture in 18th place with seven points from nine Premier League matches. Their last five results read DLWLD, but they have lost three consecutive league games and failed to score in one of their four home league fixtures.

Their goalscoring trends have been mixed, with 60% of their matches producing over 2.5 goals and 53% going over 3.5. However, Palace failed to score in their most recent league defeat, highlighting their recent attacking difficulties.

Tyrick Mitchell leads their Premier League scoring charts with two goals, while Daichi Kamada has contributed three assists. Palace will need a better attacking performance to improve their position.

W W D L L

Liverpool form analysis: Away record offers encouragement

Liverpool sit sixth in the Premier League with 15 points from nine matches, with their last five results reading WWDLL. Despite those recent defeats, their away league record remains impressive at three wins and one draw.

The Reds have scored in all four of their away Premier League matches this season, although they failed to find the net against Arsenal in their latest league outing. Their attacking threat is particularly noticeable after half-time, with 27% of their goals coming between the 46th and 60th minutes.

Cody Gakpo has contributed three league goals and three assists, giving Liverpool another attacking option as they look to maintain their unbeaten away league record.

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Stats

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool odds: Reds clear favourites

Liverpool are priced at 2/3 for the away win, with Crystal Palace available at 19/4 and the draw at 15/4. Those odds make the Reds clear favourites, reflecting their stronger league position and unbeaten away record.

In the Asian handicap market, Liverpool -1 is priced at 19/20, while Palace +1 is available at evens. A one-goal Liverpool victory would return the stake on the -1 handicap, while a larger winning margin is needed for a full payout.

For total goals, under 3.25 is priced at 6/7 compared with 11/10 for over 3.25, suggesting a slight preference for the lower total. That is consistent with the SmartBet selection of under 3.5 goals.

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Odds

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool predicted line-ups: Midfield contest to watch

Crystal Palace are expected to line up in a 3-4-3 under Pierre Sage, with Dean Henderson in goal and a back three of Jaydee Canvot, Chris Richards and Honest Ahanor. Anan Khalaili and Tyrick Mitchell could operate as wing-backs, with Adam Wharton and Quinten Timber in central midfield. Daichi Kamada and Yeremy Pino provide attacking support, with Eddie Nketiah an option to replace the suspended Jean-Philippe Mateta.

Liverpool are tipped to use a 4-2-3-1 under Andoni Iraola, with Alisson behind Gomez, Jacquet, Van Dijk and Tsimikas. Mac Allister and Nyoni could form the midfield pairing, while Szoboszlai, Munoz and Ngumoha support Bradley Barcola in attack.

Crystal Palace Sage, Pierre
Liverpool Iraola, Andoni
3-4-2-1
D. Henderson
1
Yellow Card
J. Lerma
8
C. Richards
26
A. Disasi
5
87' Substitute Out
O. Mingueza
30
A. Wharton
20
60' Substitute Out
Q. Timber
23
T. Mitchell
3
D. Kamada
18
87' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
Y. Pino
10
72' Substitute Out
J. Strand Larsen
22
4-2-3-1
Alisson
1
90' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
R. Araujo
33
J. Jacquet
5
V. Van Dijk
4
M. Kerkez
6
69' Substitute Out
A
D. Szoboszlai
8
Yellow Card
A. Mac Allister
10
76' Substitute Out
C. Gakpo
18
A
F. Wirtz
7
69' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
A
B. Barcola
29
90' Substitute Out
A. Isak
9
Selhurst Park
Harrington, Tony

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
4
Wins
3
Draws
14
Wins
21 played

Standings

# Team P W D L Goals Pts
4
10
5
3
2
14:10
L W W L W ?
18
20
10
2
1
7
10:24
W L L L L ?
7

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FAQ Crystal Palace vs Liverpool

Who will win between Crystal Palace and Liverpool?

Liverpool are favourites based on the betting odds and their unbeaten away league record of three wins and one draw. Palace sit 18th following three consecutive league defeats, although they have won three of the last five meetings with Liverpool across all competitions, including one on penalties.

What is the best bet for Crystal Palace and Liverpool?

The Crystal Palace vs Liverpool prediction from SmartBet is under 3.5 goals. The model gives this selection a 64.74% probability, compared with 60.98% implied by the odds, resulting in +6.17% expected value. The slight market preference for under 3.25 goals also supports the selection.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-based prediction model that uses match data to calculate probabilities across different betting markets. It compares those probabilities with the odds to identify potential value. For this fixture, the model selects under 3.5 goals with a five-star confidence rating.

Where and when is the match played?

Crystal Palace face Liverpool in Premier League Matchweek 10 on Sunday, 8 November 2026, at Selhurst Park. Kick-off is scheduled for 14:00 UTC (14:00 GMT).

Where to watch Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool will be shown live on Sky Sports Main Event in the UK, with streaming available through the Sky Sports app and NOW. International coverage includes Peacock in the United States and Stan Sport in Australia. Bookmakers such as bet365 may also offer live streaming to eligible customers, subject to availability.

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