Finished
2 - 3
(HT 1 - 2)
12th Sep 26, 10:00 AM
14'
A. Khalaili
75'
J. Strand Larsen
23'
Emersonn
45'
L. Davis
90'
Z. Flemming
Match highlights

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Prediction: Can Palace steady the ship?

Last updated 2 months ago by Stuart Brown
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Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Crystal Palace vs Ipswich. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich is part of Premier League Matchweek 4 on 12 September 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC (15:00 BST). The Crystal Palace vs Ipswich prediction from the Oddspedia SmartBet model backs under 1.5 goals with a five-star confidence rating.

The model gives under 1.5 a 28.02% probability, compared with 27.40% implied by the odds, resulting in +2.26% expected value. Both sides are conceding 2.7 goals per match, so it is an aggressive under pick, but the head-to-head has been tighter, with the last meeting finishing 1-0 and meetings averaging 1.8 goals.

Our Expert's Prediction - Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Full Time Result

Full Time Result: Draw
Stuart Brown
Sports Betting Expert
bet365
Lost
+275

Both sides are off to fairly poor starts in the league and are two of the favourites for relegation. For those reasons, I think it will be quite cagey, with both desperate not to lose, and could ultimately end in a stalemate.

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
CRY
41% Home
26% Draw
33% Away
IPS
Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
5.1% 0.2% 3.5% 3.8% 2.3% 1.0% 7.0% 8.7% 5.3% 2.3% 10.2% 11.9% 7.6% 3.2% 8.1% 8.4% 4.8% 2.4% 4.2%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Full Time Result: Crystal Palace
66%
46 of 70 Tips
m
+42
DraftKings
Lost
+120

The Oddspedia community favours Crystal Palace in the betting market, with 46 of 70 voters backing the home win at 1/1. Palace also have the recent head-to-head advantage, winning four of the last five meetings, including a 1-0 victory last time out.

Ipswich have not won away at Selhurst Park since 2010, which strengthens the case for the hosts. Palace’s defensive record remains a concern, though, so another narrow win may be more likely than a comfortable one.

Consensus

17
Next Goal: No Goal
100%
7 of 7 Tips
Betway
Best odds
+1200
Total Goals: Under 0.5
100%
7 of 7 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+1200
Asian Handicap: Crystal Palace -0.75
100%
5 of 5 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+143
First Team to Score: No Goal
100%
5 of 5 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+1400
Asian Handicap: Crystal Palace 0
100%
3 of 3 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
-180

Community Tips

325
-414.06
585 Tips
2 months ago
Crystal Palace - Ipswich
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Won
-172
-318.02
395 Tips
2 months ago
Crystal Palace - Ipswich
Half Time / Full Time: Crystal Palace / Crystal Palace
Lost
+210
-655.25
1233 Tips
2 months ago
Crystal Palace - Ipswich
Total Goals: Over 2.5
Won
-141
-412.17
390 Tips
2 months ago
Crystal Palace - Ipswich
Full Time Result: Crystal Palace
Lost
+110
-172.33
336 Tips
2 months ago
Crystal Palace - Ipswich
Total Goals: Over 2.75
Won
-114
-321.90
528 Tips
2 months ago
Crystal Palace - Ipswich
Correct Score: 1 : 1
Lost
+600
-321.90
528 Tips
2 months ago
Crystal Palace - Ipswich
Full Time Result: Draw
Lost
+260
-156.85
58 Tips
2 months ago
Crystal Palace - Ipswich
Correct Score: 5 : 4
Lost
+50000
-15.35
19 Tips
2 months ago
Crystal Palace - Ipswich
Correct Score: 3 : 0
Lost
+1800
+105.20
111 Tips
2 months ago
Crystal Palace - Ipswich
1st Half Total Goals: Over 0.5
Won
-333
L L L W W

Crystal Palace Form Analysis: Can they stop the slide?

Crystal Palace come into Premier League Matchweek 4 with three points from three matches, while their recent form reads LLLWW. They are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.7 conceded per game, and have allowed a goal in five straight matches.

Over 2.5 goals has landed in 75% of their games, which shows how open they have been. Tyrick Mitchell leads the scoring with two goals from three appearances, an unusual sign of where their attacking output has come from so far. Tightening up defensively at home will be a key part of their approach.

W W W L L

Ipswich Form Analysis: Goals at both ends

Ipswich come into Premier League Matchweek 4 with three points from three matches, while their recent form reads WWWLL. Like Palace, they are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.7 conceded per game, and have allowed a goal in each of their last five.

They are creating a little more going forward, averaging 9.3 shots and 4.3 on target per match, alongside 40% possession. Their away games have also been open, with BTTS landing in 100% of the sample so far.

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Stats

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Odds - Home edge, but not a lock

Bookmakers give Crystal Palace a narrow edge, with the home win priced at 1/1, the draw at 3/1 and Ipswich at 3/1. The Asian Handicap tells a similar story, with Palace -0.5 at 19/20 and Ipswich +0.5 at 1/1.

The goals market is much more balanced, with both over 2.75 and under 2.75 priced around evens. That suggests the market is split on whether this turns into an open game or stays tight.

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Odds

Crystal Palace are expected to start with Henderson in goal, with Richards, Disasi and Mitchell among the defensive options. Timber and Wharton should feature in midfield, with Canvot and Khalaili providing width. Kamada and Pino are set to support Larsen in attack.

Ipswich are predicted to start Scherpen in goal behind O’Shea, Diop, Greaves and Davis. Lukic and Palacios should feature in midfield, with Fatawu, Enciso and Maeda supporting Emersonn further forward.

Crystal Palace Sage, Pierre
Ipswich O'Neil, Gary
3-4-2-1
W. Benitez
44
Yellow Card
C. Richards
26
Red Card
A. Disasi
5
H. Ahanor
21
A. Khalaili
25
Q. Timber
23
77' Substitute Out
A. Wharton
20
77' Substitute Out
T. Mitchell
3
84' Substitute Out
A
x2
D. Kamada
18
37' Substitute Out
Y. Pino
10
84' Substitute Out
J. Strand Larsen
22
4-2-3-1
K. Scherpen
37
D. O'Shea
26
I. Diop
6
88' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
J. Greaves
24
A
L. Davis
3
77' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
S. Lukic
23
E. Palacios
25
62' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
A. Fatawu
7
J. Enciso
10
63' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
J. Clarke
47
63' Substitute Out
A
Emersonn
19
Selhurst Park
Kavanagh, Christopher

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
3
Wins
1
Win
4 played

Standings

# Team P W D L Goals Pts
14
10
3
2
5
15:20
W L D D L ?
11
20
10
2
1
7
10:24
W L L L L ?
7

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FAQ Crystal Palace vs Ipswich

Who will win between Crystal Palace and Ipswich?

Crystal Palace are slight favourites at 1/1, and the head-to-head record also favours them. Palace won the last meeting 1-0, while Ipswich have not won away at Selhurst Park since 2010.

Both sides have three points from three matches, though, so there is not much between them in the table.

What is the best bet for Crystal Palace and Ipswich?

The model-backed Crystal Palace vs Ipswich prediction is under 1.5 goals. It carries a 28.02% probability, compared with 27.40% implied by the odds, resulting in +2.26% expected value.

The Oddspedia community takes a different view, favouring Crystal Palace. That leaves the model focused on a low-scoring game, while the community is more confident about the home side getting the result.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model that simulates match outcomes and converts them into probabilities for different betting markets. Here, it backs under 1.5 Goals with a five-star confidence rating and a small positive expected value compared with the odds.

Where and when is the match played?

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich is part of Premier League Matchweek 4 on 12 September 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC (15:00 BST). The match will be played at Selhurst Park.

Where to watch Crystal Palace vs Ipswich?

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich will not be shown live in the UK. The match kicks off at 15:00 BST on Saturday, so it falls within the Saturday 3pm broadcast blackout.

International viewers can watch through their local Premier League rights holder, with coverage varying by country. Some bookmakers may also offer live streaming in eligible regions, subject to account and viewing requirements.

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