Finished
2 - 1
(HT 0 - 0)
13th Nov 26, 2:45 PM
54'
J. McGinn
74' Pen
J. McGinn
57'
E. Rastoder

# Scotland vs North Macedonia prediction: Can Scotland secure a comfortable home win?

Last updated a day ago by Stuart Brown
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Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Scotland vs North Macedonia. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Scotland host North Macedonia in UEFA Nations League Matchday 5 on 13 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC (19:45 GMT). The Scotland vs North Macedonia prediction from Oddspedia SmartBet is under 10.5 corners, carrying a five-star confidence rating.

The model gives the selection a 67.15% probability, compared with 66.67% implied by the odds, resulting in +0.72% expected value. North Macedonia have struggled to create chances and remain without a goal in the competition. If Scotland control possession without producing sustained attacking pressure, the corner count could stay below the line.

Our Expert's Prediction - Scotland vs North Macedonia Both Teams to Score Full Time

Both Teams to Score Full Time: No
Stuart Brown
Sports Betting Expert
DraftKings
Lost
-160

North Macedonia have failed to score in eight consecutive matches, including all four of their Nations League fixtures. Scotland also kept a clean sheet in the reverse meeting, winning 2-0, and have conceded just once in their last two matches against North Macedonia.

Although Scotland have struggled for consistency themselves, the visitors' lack of attacking output is difficult to overlook. I'm backing both teams to score – No.

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
SCO
54% Home
22% Draw
24% Away
MKD

SmartBet forecast correct: Home Winner

Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
11.4% 0.1% 5.8% 5.2% 3.1% 1.1% 8.2% 9.9% 4.6% 1.9% 10.2% 10.0% 6.3% 2.1% 6.4% 6.2% 3.1% 1.5% 2.8%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: Other Home Win

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Full Time Result: Scotland
89%
16 of 18 Tips
S
r
+12
BetMGM
Won
-476

The Oddspedia community strongly favours Scotland in the full-time result market, with 16 of 18 voters backing a home victory at odds of 1/5. That reflects the considerable difference in the sides' recent results, although the short price limits the potential return.

Scotland have been inconsistent, but North Macedonia have lost five consecutive matches and failed to score in eight. The visitors' attacking struggles make a home victory the expected outcome, with the community showing little support for an upset.

Consensus

8
To Win to Nil: Scotland
100%
4 of 4 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-125
Asian Handicap: Scotland -2
100%
4 of 4 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+105
Total Corners: Under 10.5
100%
4 of 4 Tips
BetMGM
Best odds
-196
Full Time Result: Scotland
90%
18 of 20 Tips
BetMGM
Best odds
-476
Asian Handicap: Scotland -1.5
80%
4 of 5 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-154

Community Tips

119
-596.97
680 Tips
a day ago
Scotland - North Macedonia
Asian Handicap: Scotland -1.5
Lost
-175
+53.89
957 Tips
a day ago
Scotland - North Macedonia
Full Time Result: Scotland
Won
-500
-1,921.70
3016 Tips
a day ago
Scotland - North Macedonia
Asian Handicap: North Macedonia +1.75
Won
-104
-921.83
821 Tips
a day ago
Scotland - North Macedonia
Asian Handicap: North Macedonia +2.25
Won
-154
-296.14
510 Tips
a day ago
Scotland - North Macedonia
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Won
+140
-655.29
828 Tips
a day ago
Scotland - North Macedonia
Asian Handicap: Scotland -1.25
Lost
-263
-785.34
1366 Tips
a day ago
Scotland - North Macedonia
To Win Both Halves: Scotland
+125
-785.34
1366 Tips
a day ago
Scotland - North Macedonia
1st Half Correct Score: 2 : 0
Lost
+400
-15.20
16 Tips
a day ago
Scotland - North Macedonia
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Won
+145
-1,328.83
2683 Tips
a day ago
Scotland - North Macedonia
To Win to Nil: Scotland
Lost
-133

Scotland vs North Macedonia: Making an informed bet

North Macedonia have lost five consecutive matches and are without a victory in their last 12. They have also failed to score in eight straight games, including all four of their Nations League fixtures this season.

Scotland have won three of the last five meetings between the sides, including a 2-0 victory in October. Those encounters have averaged just 2.00 goals, suggesting another relatively low-scoring match is possible.

With North Macedonia yet to score away from home in the competition, their chances of recovering from an early deficit appear limited.

During the last 5 meetings, Scotland have won 3 times, there have been 1 draws while North Macedonia have won 1 times. The goal difference is 7-3 in favour of Scotland.
North Macedonia have a losing streak of 4 matches in UEFA Nations League.
North Macedonia have lost 5 matches in a row.
L D L W L

Scotland form analysis: Can they return to winning ways?

Scotland's last five results read LDLWL, reflecting an inconsistent run of performances. However, they have a favourable record against North Macedonia, winning their most recent meeting 2-0 and losing just one of the last five encounters.

Scotland have won the first half in 38% of their recent matches, suggesting they are capable of making a positive start. Their attacking contributions have been spread across the squad, with John McGinn, Kieron Bowie and Ryan Christie each scoring once in the Nations League.

Half of their recent matches have produced over 2.5 goals, although both teams have scored relatively infrequently. Scotland will be looking to make home advantage count against struggling opposition.

L L L L L

North Macedonia form analysis: Goals remain a major concern

North Macedonia arrive following five consecutive defeats, with their attacking struggles becoming increasingly concerning. They have failed to score in eight straight matches and are yet to register a goal in this season's Nations League.

Their away record is equally disappointing, having lost three consecutive matches on the road and gone eight away games without a victory. That leaves them facing a difficult task against a Scotland side that has generally performed well in this fixture.

Scotland average 1.40 goals per game across their last five meetings, compared with North Macedonia's 0.60. Neither team has scored in North Macedonia's last five matches, underlining their continued difficulties in attack.

Scotland vs North Macedonia Stats

Scotland vs North Macedonia odds: Hosts strong favourites

Scotland are clear favourites in the full-time result market at 1/5, with the draw priced at 13/2 and North Macedonia at 17/1. Those odds reflect the visitors' poor form and Scotland's stronger head-to-head record.

The Asian handicap market has Scotland -2 at 12/13, suggesting bookmakers see the possibility of a comfortable home victory. North Macedonia +2 is available at 19/20, with a two-goal winning margin returning the stake on either selection.

For total goals, over 3 is priced at 8/9 and under 3 at 19/20. The prices are closely matched, with only a slight preference for the higher total.

Scotland vs North Macedonia Odds

Scotland vs North Macedonia predicted line-ups: Contrasting formations

Scotland are expected to line up in a 3-4-2-1 under Sebastien Pocognoli, with Angus Gunn in goal and Porteous, Hendry and Graham forming the back three. Robertson and Gannon-Doak provide width, while McTominay and Ferguson could operate in central midfield. Che Adams and John McGinn are expected to support Oli McBurnie in attack.

North Macedonia are tipped to use a 4-2-3-1 under Goce Sedloski, with Dimitrievski in goal and a defence of Ilievski, Mladenovski, Musliu and Herrera. Gashtarov and Atanasov could anchor midfield, while Bardhi, Doriev and Elmas provide support behind Rastoder.

Scotland Pocognoli, Sebastien
North Macedonia Sedloski, Goce
3-4-1-2
A. Gunn
1
R. Porteous
5
L. Graham
18
K. Tierney
6
76' Substitute Out
B. Gannon-Doak
17
Yellow Card
L. Ferguson
19
76' Substitute Out
B. Gilmour
8
A. Robertson
3
x2
J. McGinn
7
S. Mctominay
4
67' Substitute Out
A
C. Adams
10
4-3-3
S. Dimitrievski
23
B. Ilievski
2
M. Mladenovski
4
V. Musliu
6
E. Alioski
8
A
E. Bardhi
10
64' Substitute Out
M. Gashtarov
16
78' Substitute Out
E. Elmas
7
64' Substitute Out
D. Churlinov
11
78' Substitute Out
E. Rastoder
11
85' Substitute Out
L. Doriev
19
Hampden Park
Ocenas, Michal

Last Matches

D L W L W ?
L L L L L ?

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
2
Wins
0
Wins
2 played

Standings

B1

# Team P W D L Goals Pts
1
5
4
1
0
11:1
W W W W D ?
13
2
5
2
2
1
5:3
D W L W D ?
8
3
5
2
1
2
5:6
D L W L W ?
7
4
5
0
0
5
1:12
L L L L L ?
0

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Oddpedia’s Smart Bet system is powered by advanced AI technology, with the ability to generate successful predictions across thousands of football games in multiple different leagues. You can check out the latest predictions to make sure you take advantage of any value that is on offer.

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Both Teams to Score: No
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FAQ Scotland vs North Macedonia

Who will win between Scotland and North Macedonia?

Scotland are clear favourites at odds of 1/5, with 16 of 18 community voters also backing a home victory. North Macedonia have lost five consecutive matches and failed to score in eight, making another Scotland win the more likely outcome.

What is the best bet for Scotland and North Macedonia?

The Scotland vs North Macedonia prediction from SmartBet is under 10.5 corners. The model gives the selection a 67.15% probability, compared with 66.67% implied by the odds, resulting in +0.72% expected value. It carries a five-star confidence rating.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-based prediction model that calculates probabilities for different betting markets. It compares those probabilities with the odds to identify potential value and assigns confidence ratings to its selections.

Where and when is the match played?

Scotland face North Macedonia in UEFA Nations League Matchday 5 on Friday, 13 November 2026, at Hampden Park. Kick-off is scheduled for 19:45 UTC (19:45 GMT).

Where to watch Scotland vs North Macedonia?

Scotland vs North Macedonia will be shown live on BBC Two and BBC Scotland in the UK, with streaming available through BBC iPlayer and the BBC Sport website. International coverage includes Virgin Media in Ireland and FOX Sports, Fubo and ViX in the United States. Bookmakers such as bet365 may also offer live streaming to eligible customers, subject to availability.

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