OT
5 - 0
(HT 1 - 0)
Agg.: 5 - 3
17th Mar 26, 1:45 PM
34'
G. Inacio
61'
P. Goncalves
78' Pen
L. Suarez
92'
M. Araujo
120+1'
R. Nel

Sporting CP vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction: Can Sporting CP pull off a big comeback in the Champions League?

Last updated 8 months ago by Stuart Brown
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Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Sporting CP vs Bodo/Glimt. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Sporting CP vs Bodo/Glimt takes place in the Champions League Round of 16 on 17th March 2026, with kick-off set for 17:45 UTC, after a resounding 3-0 victory for Bodo/Glimt in the first-leg.

The Oddspedia SmartBet model points towards a Sporting CP vs Bodo/Glimt prediction of First Team to Score: Bodo/Glimt, assigning it a 5-star confidence rating. The model gives this outcome a probability of 33.93%, while the odds imply 33.33%, creating a small positive expected value of 1.92%. The key question is whether Sporting can impose themselves early at home or if Bodo/Glimt can strike first again and make the task of turning the tie around significantly more difficult.

Our Expert's Prediction - Sporting CP vs Bodo/Glimt Total Goals Full Time

Total Goals Full Time: Over 2.5
Stuart Brown
Sports Betting Expert
DraftKings
Won
-270

Although I don't think they will overturn a 3-0 deficit, Sporting will have to attack from the outset, which should turn this into an open and entertaining game. Both team are regularly involved in high scoring games, and I expect this one to clear the 2.5 line.

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
SPO
60% Home
21% Draw
19% Away
BOG

SmartBet forecast correct: Home Winner

Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
14.0% 0.2% 6.5% 6.2% 3.4% 1.1% 9.8% 9.5% 4.8% 1.6% 10.3% 9.6% 4.8% 1.8% 5.5% 5.1% 2.6% 0.8% 2.5%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: Other Home Win

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Both Teams to Score: Yes
91%
21 of 23 Tips
R
K
+17
bet365
Lost
-188

The Oddspedia community is strongly backing BTTS at odds of 4/7, with 21 of 23 users siding with that outcome. The numbers support the angle to a degree, although they present a slightly mixed picture.

Sporting have BTTS landing in 56% of their matches overall, but that drops to just 20% across their last five. Bodo/Glimt show the opposite trend, with 80% BTTS overall, 80% in their last five, and a perfect 100% in away fixtures.

With both sides averaging over 1.9 goals per match, the case for goals at both ends is clear, even if Sporting’s recent trend introduces a note of caution.

Consensus

17
Total Cards: Over 3.5
100%
11 of 11 Tips
Marathonbet
Best odds
-125
Total Goals: Over 2.5
100%
9 of 9 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
-270
Total Cards: Over 3.75
100%
8 of 8 Tips
Marathonbet
Best odds
-101
FT inc. OT To Qualify: Bodo/Glimt
100%
6 of 6 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-500
First Team to Score: Bodo/Glimt
100%
5 of 5 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+163

Community Tips

251
+20.99
202 Tips
8 months ago
Sporting CP - Bodo/Glimt
Full Time Result: Bodo/Glimt
Lost
+400
0.00
8 months ago
Sporting CP - Bodo/Glimt
Total Goals: Over 3.5
Lost
-108
-107.05
268 Tips
8 months ago
Sporting CP - Bodo/Glimt
Total Goals: Under 3.5
Won
-114
-418.61
1162 Tips
8 months ago
Sporting CP - Bodo/Glimt
Full Time Result: Sporting CP
Won
-189
0.00
8 months ago
Sporting CP - Bodo/Glimt
Total Goals: Over 2.5
Won
-278
-36.74
453 Tips
8 months ago
Sporting CP - Bodo/Glimt
Full Time Result: Sporting CP
Won
-196
0.00
8 months ago
Sporting CP - Bodo/Glimt
Total Goals: Under 3.5
Won
-114
0.00
8 months ago
Sporting CP - Bodo/Glimt
Full Time Result: Sporting CP
Won
-189
-199.83
384 Tips
8 months ago
Sporting CP - Bodo/Glimt
1st Half Total Goals: Over 1.5
Lost
+100
0.00
8 months ago
Sporting CP - Bodo/Glimt
Full Time Result: Bodo/Glimt
Lost
+400
W W W D L

Sporting CP form analysis: Home run meets comeback pressure

Sporting arrive with a WWWDL run of form and are unbeaten in 12 of their last 13 matches, while their home record is even stronger with seven consecutive wins and an average of 2.4 goals scored per game. In this Champions League campaign they collected 16 points from eight matches, underlining their level at this stage.

They average 1.9 goals per match overall, and 74% of their games go over 2.5 goals, which points towards a consistent attacking output. Trincão and Luis Javier Suárez both have four goals, showing the threat is shared rather than reliant on one player, although the key question remains whether they can maintain composure if they concede first.

W W W W W

Bodo/Glimt form analysis: Red-hot streak and fearless attack

Bodo/Glimt arrive in excellent form with a WWWWW run and are currently on an eight-match winning streak. Away from home they have won three in a row and are unbeaten in their last five, which underlines their confidence on the road.

Their attack is particularly strong, averaging 2.2 goals per match, with 93% of their games going over 2.5 goals. Jens Petter Hauge leads the way with five goals and five assists, while Høgh contributes four goals and four assists, giving them multiple attacking outlets. The concern remains defensively, as they have conceded in six of their last seven matches, which raises the question of whether they can stay solid in Lisbon.

Sporting CP vs Bodo/Glimt Stats

Sporting CP vs Bodo/Glimt odds: Home win favoured, goals still tempting

Bookmakers make Sporting CP clear favourites at 1/2, with the draw priced at 22/5 and Bodo/Glimt at 23/5. The Asian Handicap line of Sporting -1.25 at 1/1 suggests a strong home expectation, although not necessarily a one-sided result.

The goals market is finely balanced, with over 3.5 at 13/12 and under 3.5 at 7/8, effectively making it a coin flip around the four-goal mark. Given both sides average over 4.0 total goals in their matches, the decision comes down to whether you expect that attacking trend to continue or anticipate a slightly more controlled contest.

Sporting CP vs Bodo/Glimt Odds

Sporting CP vs Bodo/Glimt predicted lineups: Two clear systems, lots of runners

Sporting are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 under Rui Borges, with Rui Silva in goal and a back four of Vagiannidis, Diomande, Inácio and Fresneda. Hjulmand and João Pedro Simões should anchor midfield, while Catamo, Trincão and Luís Guilherme operate behind Luis Javier Suárez. That structure allows Sporting to press high and commit numbers forward into the box.

Bodo/Glimt are likely to use a 4-3-3, with Haikin in goal and a defence of Sjøvold, Bjørtuft, Gundersen and Bjørkan. Berg, Evjen and Fet are set to form the midfield trio, while Blomberg and Hauge support Høgh in attack, which places added importance on the wide areas and which side can gain the upper hand there.

Sporting CP Borges, Rui
Bodo/Glimt Knutsen, Kjetil
4-2-3-1
R. Silva
1
Yellow Card
I. Fresneda
22
64' Substitute Out
Quaresma
72
G. Inacio
25
110' Substitute Out
M. Araujo
20
Yellow Card
M. Hjulmand
21
68' Substitute Out
H. Morita
5
G. Catamo
10
110' Substitute Out
A
x2
F. Trincao
16
68' Substitute Out
P. Goncalves
8
116' Substitute Out
A
L. Suarez
97
4-3-3
N. Haikin
12
F. Sjovold
20
O. Bjortuft
4
106' Substitute Out
J. Gundersen
6
F. Bjorkan
15
84' Substitute Out
H. Evjen
26
P. Berg
7
90' Substitute Out
S. Fet
19
85' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
O. Blomberg
11
79' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
K. Hogh
9
80' Substitute Out
J. Hauge
10
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Scharer, Sandro

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
1
Win
1
Win
2 played

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FAQ Sporting CP vs Bodo/Glimt

Who will win between Sporting CP and Bodo/Glimt?

The odds favour a Sporting CP win at 1/2, and that is supported by their strong home form with seven consecutive victories. Bodo/Glimt, however, arrive on an eight-match winning streak of their own, which makes the outlook less straightforward.

With both sides in strong form and capable of sustaining high intensity, the overall profile points towards a tight and energetic contest rather than a clear-cut result.

What is the best bet for Sporting CP and Bodo/Glimt?

The leading community selection is BTTS, backed by 21 of 23 voters. The numbers support that angle, with Bodo/Glimt recording 100% BTTS in away matches and conceding in six consecutive games, while Sporting have also found the net in 40 of their last 41 matches, reinforcing the expectation of goals at both ends.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-model prediction that simulates match outcomes and converts them into probabilities for betting markets. For this fixture, it highlights First Team to Score: Bodo/Glimt with a 5-star confidence rating, assigning it a 33.97% probability compared to the odds, which creates a small positive expected value of 1.92%.

Where and when is the match played?

Sporting CP vs Bodo/Glimt takes place in the Champions League Round of 16 on 17th March 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 17:45 UTC. The match will be played at the Estádio José Alvalade, and with both sides holding strong first-half records, the tempo is likely to be high from the outset.

Where to watch Sporting CP vs Bodo/Glimt?

Champions League matches in the UK are typically broadcast on TNT Sports, with coverage varying internationally depending on local rights holders. Some bookmakers, including bet365, may also offer livestream access where available, although this usually requires an active account. It is always best to confirm coverage in your region ahead of kick-off.

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