Slovenia vs Switzerland prediction: Can the hosts avoid defeat in the Nations League?
The Slovenia vs Switzerland prediction from SmartBet favours double chance 1X, despite Switzerland winning all four of their Nations League matches. Slovenia have won two of their last five games and remain unbeaten at home in the competition, keeping clean sheets in both fixtures.
Switzerland have the stronger head-to-head record, but Slovenia's home performances suggest they could make this a close contest. Double chance 1X covers either a Slovenian victory or a draw, offering some protection against the visitors' impressive form. With positive expected value supporting the selection, SmartBet favours the hosts to avoid defeat.
The Slovenia vs Switzerland prediction from SmartBet favours double chance 1X, despite Switzerland winning all four of their Nations League matches. Slovenia have won two of their last five games and remain unbeaten at home in the competition, keeping clean sheets in both fixtures.
Switzerland have the stronger head-to-head record, but Slovenia's home performances suggest they could make this a close contest. Double chance 1X covers either a Slovenian victory or a draw, offering some protection against the visitors' impressive form. With positive expected value supporting the selection, SmartBet favours the hosts to avoid defeat.
What is SmartBet?
Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Slovenia vs Switzerland. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
Slovenia host Switzerland in UEFA Nations League Matchday 5 on 13 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC (19:45 GMT). The Slovenia vs Switzerland prediction from Oddspedia SmartBet is double chance 1X, carrying a five-star confidence rating.
The model gives Slovenia or draw a 52.55% probability, compared with 42.55% implied by the odds, resulting in +23.50% expected value. Switzerland arrive on a four-match winning run, but Slovenia have yet to concede at home in the competition. That defensive record gives the hosts some encouragement despite the visitors' stronger form.
Our Expert's Prediction - Slovenia vs Switzerland Both Teams to Score Full Time
Slovenia have kept clean sheets in both home Nations League matches, drawing 0-0 with Scotland and beating North Macedonia 2-0. Switzerland have been equally effective defensively away from home, winning both their group matches 3-0 without conceding.
Although the reverse fixture finished 2-1 to Switzerland, both sides' defensive records at home and away suggest another match in which at least one team fails to score.
Prematch Probabilities
What does the Oddspedia community think?
The Oddspedia community strongly favours Switzerland in the full-time result market, with 36 of 45 voters backing an away victory at odds of 4/5. That support reflects Switzerland's four consecutive Nations League wins and their impressive away record.
However, Slovenia have yet to concede at home in the competition, which could make the visitors' task more difficult. Switzerland remain the community's clear choice, although SmartBet takes a different approach by favouring Slovenia to avoid defeat.
Consensus
6Community Tips
128
Slovenia form analysis: Home defence offers encouragement
Slovenia's last five results read LDWLW, reflecting mixed performances, although they have won two of their four Nations League matches. Their home record is particularly encouraging, with clean sheets against Scotland and North Macedonia.
Aljosa Matko has been an important attacking contributor, scoring twice and providing two assists, while Danijel Sturm has registered one goal and two assists.
Half of Slovenia's Nations League matches have produced over 2.5 goals, but none have exceeded 3.5. Their defensive performances at home could be important against a Switzerland side arriving in excellent form.
Switzerland form analysis: Winning streak continues
Switzerland arrive with four consecutive Nations League victories, with their last five results reading LWWWW. They are also unbeaten in their last eight away matches, underlining their strong record on the road.
Their matches have regularly produced goals, with all four Nations League fixtures finishing over 2.5. Switzerland have also scored three goals in each of their two away group matches, keeping clean sheets in both.
Zeki Amdouni leads their Nations League scoring charts with three goals, while Dan Ndoye has contributed two. Switzerland's attacking form gives them a strong chance of extending their winning run, although Slovenia have been difficult to break down at home.
Slovenia vs Switzerland odds: Visitors priced as favourites
Switzerland are favourites in the full-time result market at 4/5, with Slovenia available at 49/10 and the draw at 5/2. The prices reflect Switzerland's stronger recent form and favourable head-to-head record.
The Asian handicap market also favours Switzerland, with -0.75 priced at 1/1, while Slovenia +0.75 is available at 7/8.
For total goals, over 2 is priced at 1/1 compared with 8/9 for under 2. The prices are closely matched, suggesting bookmakers have no strong preference either way. Both selections return the stake if exactly two goals are scored.
Slovenia vs Switzerland predicted line-ups: Contrasting formations
Slovenia are expected to use a 5-4-1 under Bostjan Cesar, with Jan Oblak in goal and a back five featuring Karnicnik, Drkusic, Bijol, Obric and Urbancic. Zabukovnik and Gnezda Cerin should provide midfield protection, with Matko and Sturm operating in wider positions behind Vipotnik.
Switzerland are tipped to line up with a back four of Britschgi, Elvedi, Akanji and Rodriguez in front of Kobel. Freuler, Sow and Jashari provide central midfield options, while Aebischer and Ndoye offer support to Embolo in attack. The visitors will look to use their midfield strength to break down Slovenia's defensive shape.
Last Matches
Head-2-Head
Standings
B1
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
Switzerland
|
5
|
4
|
1
|
0
|
11:1
|
W
W
W
W
D
?
|
13
| |
2
|
Slovenia
|
5
|
2
|
2
|
1
|
5:3
|
D
W
L
W
D
?
|
8
| |
3
|
Scotland
|
5
|
2
|
1
|
2
|
5:6
|
D
L
W
L
W
?
|
7
| |
4
|
North Macedonia
|
5
|
0
|
0
|
5
|
1:12
|
L
L
L
L
L
?
|
0
| |
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FAQ Slovenia vs Switzerland
Who will win between Slovenia and Switzerland?
Switzerland are the bookmakers' favourites at 4/5, with 36 of 45 community voters also backing an away victory. However, the SmartBet model favours Slovenia to avoid defeat, giving double chance 1X a 52.55% probability and positive expected value.
What is the best bet for Slovenia and Switzerland?
The Slovenia vs Switzerland prediction from SmartBet is double chance 1X, covering a home win or draw. The model gives the selection a 52.55% probability, compared with 42.55% implied by the odds, resulting in +23.50% expected value. It carries a five-star confidence rating.
What is Oddspedia SmartBet?
Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-based prediction model that calculates probabilities for different betting markets. It compares those probabilities with bookmaker odds to identify selections offering positive expected value, such as double chance 1X for this fixture.
Where and when is the match played?
Slovenia face Switzerland in UEFA Nations League Matchday 5 on Friday, 13 November 2026, at Stadion Ljudski vrt. Kick-off is scheduled for 19:45 UTC (19:45 GMT).
Where to watch Slovenia vs Switzerland?
Slovenia vs Switzerland will be shown live on Amazon Prime Video pay-per-view in the UK. International coverage includes Sportklub in Slovenia, SRF in Switzerland, Virgin Media in Ireland and Fubo and ViX in the United States. Bookmakers such as bet365 may also offer live streaming to eligible customers, subject to availability.
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