The fourth week of the NFL season provides another slate of opportunities for bettors as early-season trends become easier to identify. Our Week 4 best NFL prop bets today focus on five players whose workloads, matchups, and performances through three weeks create appealing opportunities in markets such as receiving totals, rushing props, and anytime TD scorer predictions.
NFL Week 4 Prop Bets: Cash in with our Best Player Props
USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect
These NFL Week 4 props target proven stars, emerging players and favorable matchups where early-season usage points toward another strong performance....
From Tyler Warren and James Cook anytime TD predictions to Denzel Boston’s receiving yards total, these Week 4 NFL prop bets combine matchup analysis with player usage to identify some of the best NFL player props today.
These best NFL prop bets today also consider how offensive schemes, defensive tendencies, and game environments could shape production. As the NFL schedule moves into Week 4, bettors can use these NFL Week 4 props alongside traditional NFL picks to build a more informed betting card.
🏈 NFL Week 4 Props
| Player | Prop | Odds | Implied Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Cook | Anytime Touchdown | -160 | 61.54% |
| Tyler Warren | Anytime Touchdown | +150 | 40.00% |
| Denzel Boston | Receiving Yards Over 37.5 | -115 | 53.49% |
| C.J. Stroud | Passing Yards Under 247.5 | -115 | 53.49% |
| Bucky Irving | Rushing Yards Over 52.5 | -115 | 53.49% |
Bet $10 Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or LoseClaim bonusMinimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 or greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&CS, time limits and exclusions apply. Bets restrictions and T&C's apply. GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER (AZ, CO, IN, KY, LA, MD, NC, NJ, OH, VA) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only(18+ in KY). Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IN/KY/LA (select parishes)/NC/NJ/OH/VA.
James Cook Anytime Touchdown (-160) at bet365
James Cook enters Week 4 after another strong performance, rushing for 154 yards and a touchdown on 20 carries in Buffalo’s 24-16 win over the Chargers. That performance pushed him into an important role in an offense that has started 3-0, while Josh Allen’s rushing ability continues to create opportunities near the goal line.
Cook now faces New England, which was blown out 35-6 by Jacksonville in Week 3 and has already struggled to contain opposing offenses. Cook’s combination of workload and explosiveness makes him a logical touchdown candidate at -160. His production also keeps him in the conversation for the NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds.
Tyler Warren Anytime Touchdown (-115) at bet365
Tyler Warren comes into Week 4 after seeing his receiving workload increase every game. The Colts tight end caught three passes for 13 yards in Week 1, six for 21 in Week 2, and nine for 55 against Houston in Week 3. He has also scored twice already, finding the end zone against Baltimore and Kansas City.
Warren now heads to London for a matchup with Washington as part of the NFL international games, giving Indianapolis another reason to lean on its reliable tight end. With 18 catches through three games and an expanding role, Warren +150 to score is among my favorite player props this week and a big reason why I have the Colts beating the Commanders in my NFL Week 4 pick’em predictions.
Denzel Boston Over 37.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at DraftKings
Denzel Boston has already shown big-play potential as a rookie, catching nine passes for 195 yards and two touchdowns through three games. He has topped 40 yards in two of his three outings, including 41 yards against Carolina in Week 3, and his 21.7 yards per reception ranks among the NFL’s better marks.
Boston now faces Pittsburgh on Thursday night, with the Steelers allowing 287 passing yards and three TDs to Joe Burrow and the Bengals in Week 3. With Boston remaining a starting outside receiver, his ability to generate explosive gains makes 37.5 receiving yards a manageable target. His strong start also keeps him relevant in the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds.
CJ Stroud Under 247.5 Passing Yards (-115) at bet365
C.J. Stroud has struggled to produce consistent passing numbers through three weeks, completing 57.1% of his attempts for 591 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions. His Week 3 performance was particularly concerning, as he finished with only 167 passing yards against Indianapolis while the Texans managed 17 points.
Houston now faces Tennessee, creating another potential challenge for an offense that has yet to find its rhythm. Stroud’s 247.5-yard line also requires him to produce considerably more than he did last week. With Houston 0-3 and Stroud averaging fewer than 200 passing yards per game, the under offers a reasonable angle at -115.
Bucky Irving Over 52.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at FanDuel
Bucky Irving has averaged 60 rushing yards per game through three weeks, already giving him a solid statistical foundation for an over at 52.5 yards. He has also averaged 4.5 yards per carry while handling 13.3 carries per game, making the workload more important than the Buccaneers’ difficult start.
Baker Mayfield’s dislocated thumb will keep him out for at least three weeks, with rookie Jalon Daniels expected to start against Green Bay. That quarterback change could put more emphasis on the run game, particularly with Tampa Bay sitting at 0-3. Todd Bowles is also facing pressure in the NFL next coach fired odds, adding importance to a more reliable offensive approach.
Check out our other NFL betting resources
NFL Prop Bets Explained
NFL prop bets allow bettors to wager on individual player or game statistics instead of simply picking which team will win. They range from basic performance markets to specialized outcomes tied to specific plays or milestones.
| Prop Bet Type | Explanation | Example |
|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | Bettors predict whether a quarterback will finish above or below a posted passing-yard total. Matchup, expected game script, pass volume, and offensive efficiency can all influence the result. | Josh Allen Over 275.5 Passing Yards |
| Passing Touchdowns | This prop asks bettors to predict whether a quarterback will throw for more or fewer touchdowns than the listed total. Red-zone efficiency, opponent strength, and projected passing volume can affect the outcome. | Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns |
| Rushing Yards | Bettors wager on whether a player will finish above or below a listed rushing-yard total. Expected carries, game script, offensive line play, and the opposing run defense are important factors. | Saquon Barkley Over 75.5 Rushing Yards |
| Receiving Yards | This prop lets bettors predict whether a receiver or tight end will gain more or fewer receiving yards than the posted total. Targets, routes, matchup, and expected pass volume can all matter. | Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 76.5 Receiving Yards |
| Receptions | Bettors predict whether a receiver or tight end will record more or fewer catches than the listed total. Target volume, route participation, quarterback tendencies, and defensive coverage can influence the result. | Travis Kelce Over 4.5 Receptions |
| Anytime Touchdown | An anytime touchdown prop pays if the selected player scores at least one touchdown during the game. Running backs and red-zone targets are common choices for anytime TD scorer predictions, but quarterbacks and other skill players can also qualify. | Derrick Henry Anytime Touchdown |
| First Touchdown | This prop requires the selected player to score the first touchdown of the game. Because only one player can record the first touchdown, these bets typically carry longer odds and greater risk than anytime touchdown wagers. | Ja’Marr Chase First Touchdown |
| Longest Reception | Bettors predict whether a player’s longest completed reception will finish above or below the listed distance. Deep targets, explosive-play ability, defensive coverage, and quarterback aggressiveness can influence this prop. | Tyreek Hill Over 24.5 Yards Longest Reception |
| Longest Rush | This prop focuses on the longest rushing play recorded by a player during the game. A player’s speed, running style, expected workload, and the opponent’s ability to prevent explosive runs can affect the outcome. | Lamar Jackson Over 14.5 Yards Longest Rush |
| Passing Attempts | Bettors predict whether a quarterback will attempt more or fewer passes than the posted total. Expected game script, offensive philosophy, opponent strength, and whether a team is likely to trail can influence pass attempts. | Joe Burrow Over 36.5 Passing Attempts |
| Carries | This prop asks whether a running back or other rushing player will record more or fewer carries than the listed number. Backfield competition, workload expectations, and game script are key factors. | Jahmyr Gibbs Over 15.5 Carries |
| Player Touches | Player touches combine rushing attempts and receptions to measure overall offensive involvement. This prop can be useful for evaluating running backs who contribute both as runners and pass catchers. | Bijan Robinson Over 19.5 Touches |
| Two or More Touchdowns | This prop requires a player to score at least two touchdowns in the same game. It generally offers longer odds than an anytime touchdown bet because the player must reach the end zone multiple times. | Christian McCaffrey to Score 2+ Touchdowns |
| Completions | Bettors predict whether a quarterback will complete more or fewer passes than the posted total. Completion percentage, projected attempts, offensive style, and defensive pressure can all affect the result. | C.J. Stroud Over 22.5 Completions |
| Interceptions | This prop focuses on whether a quarterback will throw an interception during the game. Quarterback decision-making, pressure rates, defensive coverage, and expected passing volume can influence the likelihood. | Jared Goff Over 0.5 Interceptions |
| Sacks | Bettors predict whether a quarterback will be sacked more or fewer times than the listed total. Defensive pressure, offensive line performance, quarterback mobility, and time to throw are important considerations. | Myles Garrett Over 0.5 Sacks |
| Kicking Props | Kicking props cover outcomes involving field goals, extra points, or total kicking points. Weather, field-goal range, offensive efficiency, and a team’s tendency to settle for field goals can affect these wagers. | Justin Tucker Over 1.5 Field Goals Made |
| Alternate Props | Alternate props allow bettors to choose a different statistical line from the standard sportsbook offering. Moving the line can create shorter odds for a more likely outcome or longer odds for a less likely result. | Josh Allen Over 300.5 Passing Yards |
✍ NFL Prop Betting Tips
Study Usage Before Box Scores
The best NFL Week 4 prop bets today are not always attached to the biggest statistical performances from the week prior. Look at routes, snaps, targets, carries and red-zone opportunities before deciding whether a player can repeat his production. A receiver who posts 100 yards on five targets may be less appealing than one who records 80 yards on 12 targets.
Matchup Matters, But Don’t Overweight It
Defensive rankings can be useful, but one-game samples are noisy. Consider how a defense creates its results, including pressure rate, coverage tendencies and explosive plays allowed. This is also where checking NFL odds alongside player markets can reveal how bookmakers expect a game to unfold.
Shop Around for the Best Price
Prop prices can vary considerably between the top sportsbooks, particularly for touchdown and yardage markets. A line of -105 and -125 may involve the exact same statistical outcome but produce very different long-term results. Compare the available numbers for NFL Week 4 props before placing a wager, and check best sportsbook promos that can improve the overall value of your betting bankroll.
Build Props Around Game Script
Understanding how to bet on NFL games starts with projecting how the matchup will develop. A team expected to trail may throw more often, increasing opportunities for its quarterback and receivers, while a heavy favorite could lean on its running game late. Use the broader NFL schedule, team tendencies and game totals to build a scenario, then select props that benefit from that expected script. The best NFL NFL player props today are those where the player’s projected role and the available number tell the same story.
- $1,500 First Bet OfferClaim bonus
Place your first bet with the token applied. If your first bet loses, you'll get up to $1,500 back in Bonus Bets. Add’l terms apply. Must be 21+ and located in U.S. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. BetMGM Sportsbook available in AZ, CO, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, MS, NJ, NY, NC, PA, PR, OH, TN, VA, WV, WY only.
❓ NFL Week 4 Prop Bets FAQs
What are the best NFL prop bets today?
NFL prop bets are wagers based on specific outcomes within a game rather than simply which team wins. Common examples include passing yards, rushing yards, receptions, touchdowns, completions, and interceptions, giving bettors numerous ways to build a wager around individual player performances.
How do NFL player props work?
NFL player props typically feature an over/under line or a specific outcome, such as an anytime touchdown. Bettors select whether a player will finish above or below the listed statistical total, or whether a particular event will occur, with the odds determining the potential payout.
What are the best NFL props to bet?
The best NFL prop bets today depend on the matchup, available odds, projected workload, and a player’s role within his offense. Bettors should examine factors such as targets, carries, routes, red-zone opportunities, expected game script, and defensive tendencies rather than relying solely on a player’s recent box-score statistics.
How do you find value in NFL prop bets?
Finding value requires comparing a sportsbook’s implied probability with your own assessment of how likely an outcome is to occur. Shopping for the best available line, studying player usage, considering injuries, and evaluating the matchup can help bettors identify props where the odds may be more favourable than the underlying probability.
Can you combine NFL prop bets in a parlay?
Yes, many sportsbooks allow bettors to combine multiple NFL props into a parlay, potentially creating a larger payout than betting each selection individually. However, parlays carry greater risk because every selection generally needs to win, so bettors should consider correlation, pricing, and the increased probability of losing the overall wager.
Chris Roberts
