The NFL season is well underway so it’s time to lock in the NFL win totals for the 2025-26 campaign.
Which teams will surprise the league and have a great record? Which teams will underperform in the NFL win total odds?
NFL Projected Win Totals and Over Under Odds 2025: Broncos, Rams Lead NFL At 13.5
- Broncos, Rams lead the way with an NFL win total of 13.5
- Use these strategies when betting NFL win totals...
- Can these trends provide some insight into what will happen this season?
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Placing a futures bet on the NFL win totals is a five-step process that focuses on finding the best value...
The Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Rams have the highest projected NFL win total at 13.5. The Buffalo Bills, New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks are right behind at 12.5.
Here is a look at the 2025-26 NFL projected win totals:
🏈 2025-26 NFL Win Totals Odds
| Team | O/U | Current Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
 Arizona Cardinals |
O | 3.5 | -290 |
| U | 3.5 | +220 | |
 Atlanta Falcons |
O | 6.5 | +120 |
| U | 6.5 | -150 | |
 Baltimore Ravens |
O | 8.5 | -140 |
| U | 8.5 | +110 | |
 Buffalo Bills |
O | 12.5 | +135 |
| U | 12.5 | -165 | |
 Carolina Panthers |
O | 8.5 | +220 |
| U | 8.5 | -290 | |
 Chicago Bears |
O | 11.5 | +130 |
| U | 11.5 | -160 | |
 Cincinnati Bengals |
O | 5.5 | -200 |
| U | 5.5 | +160 | |
 Cleveland Browns |
O | 3.5 | -185 |
| U | 3.5 | +150 | |
 Dallas Cowboys |
O | 7.5 | -160 |
| U | 7.5 | +130 | |
 Denver Broncos |
O | 13.5 | -180 |
| U | 13.5 | +145 | |
 Detroit Lions |
O | 10.5 | +220 |
| U | 10.5 | -290 | |
 Green Bay Packers |
O | 10.5 | -170 |
| U | 10.5 | +140 | |
 Houston Texans |
O | 11.5 | +170 |
| U | 11.5 | -220 | |
 Indianapolis Colts |
O | 8.5 | -210 |
| U | 8.5 | +165 | |
 Jacksonville Jaguars |
O | 11.5 | -290 |
| U | 11.5 | +220 | |
 Kansas City Chiefs |
O | 7.5 | -150 |
| U | 7.5 | +150 | |
 Las Vegas Raiders |
O | 2.5 | -240 |
| U | 2.5 | +190 | |
 Los Angeles Chargers |
O | 11.5 | +115 |
| U | 11.5 | -145 | |
 Los Angeles Rams |
O | 13.5 | +165 |
| U | 13.5 | -210 | |
 Miami Dolphins |
O | 7.5 | -115 |
| U | 7.5 | -105 | |
 Minnesota Vikings |
O | 7.5 | +165 |
| U | 7.5 | -210 | |
 New England Patriots |
O | 12.5 | -270 |
| U | 12.5 | +210 | |
 New Orleans Saints |
O | 5.5 | -110 |
| U | 5.5 | -110 | |
 New York Giants |
O | 3.5 | -105 |
| U | 3.5 | -115 | |
 New York Jets |
O | 3.5 | -140 |
| U | 3.5 | +110 | |
 Philadelphia Eagles |
O | 10.5 | -290 |
| U | 10.5 | +220 | |
 Pittsburgh Steelers |
O | 9.5 | +145 |
| U | 9.5 | -180 | |
 San Francisco 49ers |
O | 11.5 | -150 |
| U | 11.5 | +120 | |
 Seattle Seahawks |
O | 12.5 | -210 |
| U | 12.5 | +165 | |
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
O | 8.5 | -180 |
| U | 8.5 | +145 | |
 Tennessee Titans |
O | 2.5 | -250 |
| U | 2.5 | +200 | |
 Washington Commanders |
O | 4.5 | -220 |
| U | 4.5 | +170 |
Odds provided by bet365 – accurate as of December 17
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📖 How to read NFL Win Totals
Reading NFL win totals is straightforward. Odds on each projected win total are usually presented in a format like +500 or -200. Positive odds (e.g., +500) show how much profit you’d make on a $100 bet. For example, a $100 bet at +500 odds would win you $500, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $600.
💰 How to bet on the NFL win totals
Placing a futures bet on the NFL win totals is a five-step process that focuses on finding the best value.
1. Choose a Bookmaker and Compare Odds
Start by comparing win total odds across multiple legal sportsbooks (e.g., bet365, Stake). Odds for each team and over/under bet can vary significantly (-200 vs. +150), directly impacting your potential return. Selecting the best price ensures maximum value for your bet.
2. Sign Up and Deposit Funds
Complete the online registration with the chosen bookmaker, providing necessary personal details for identity verification. When depositing funds, consider any available welcome bonuses, as these offers can effectively reduce the risk on your initial portfolio investment.
3. Locate the Win Totals Market
Once logged in, navigate the bookmaker’s menu to find the market. The path is typically: NFL → Futures → Win Totals.
4. Select Your Bets and Enter Stakes
Identify your 3-4 preferred bets and click on their odds to add them to your bet slip. For each selection, enter the same wagering amount (stake) to create your diversified portfolio. It is crucial to place these as individual straight bets, not a parlay.
5. Review and Place the Bet
Before finalizing, review the bet slip to confirm the wagers, the locked-in odds, and the total amount risked. Once satisfied, submit the bets to secure your longshot odds for the entire NFL season.
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💸 Key Betting Strategies for NFL Win Total Odds
The following three strategies focus on maximizing value, managing risk and exploiting market inefficiencies across the NFL Season.
1. The Preseason Portfolio (Maximizing The Projected Win Total)
The core of this strategy is maximizing initial value by placing multiple, small, diversified bets immediately after the odds are released. Your focus should be on 3 to 4 high-upside teams (e.g., a Super Bowl contender with an easy schedule) or low-upside teams (e.g., an average team with a brutal schedule). You are constructing a portfolio that diversifies risk.
- Example: Placing $10 on four different teams —Team A (Over 8.5), B (Under 6.5), C (Over 10.5), and D (Under 7.5) results in a total risk of $40.
2. Dynamic In-Season Monitoring and Adjustment (Identifying Breakouts)
The second stage involves rigorous monitoring of your bets during the first half of the season (Weeks 1-8) to identify an odds-shortening breakout. You are tracking a sustained run of excellent production (e.g., winning/losing streaks). This breakout performance will dramatically shift the market and prepare you for the third strategic step.
- Example: Your $10 bet on Team B at Under 6.5 wins sees their projected win total plummet to Under 4.5 after a stretch of losing.
3. The Calculated Mid-Season Hedge (Guaranteeing Profit)
This final, crucial strategy is pure risk management designed to lock in a guaranteed net profit. For example, if your initial over bet looks like it won’t hit, you find the under and calculate the precise stake needed to place a bet. This is the “hedge bet.” The goal is to ensure that regardless of which hits, you walk away with a guaranteed, significant return on your initial investment, effectively taking risk off the table late in the season.
- Example: With Team C at Over 10.5 wins in the preseason, and their win total drops to 8.5, take Under 8.5 as a hedge bet.
📈 NFL over/under win totals betting trends
The Minnesota Vikings were the biggest overachievers of the 2024-25 season. They topped their NFL projected win total by 7.5 games.
The San Francisco 49ers and Cleveland Browns both underachieved last season. They fell 5.5 games short of their NFL win totals.
2024-25 NFL Over Results
- Arizona Cardinals – over 6.5 (8-9)
- Atlanta Falcons – over 6.5 (8-9)
- Buffalo Bills – over 10.5 (13-4)
- Carolina Panthers – over 4.5 (5-12)
- Denver Broncos – over 5.5 (10-7)
- Detroit Lions – over 10.5 (15-2)
- Green Bay Packers – over 9.5 (11-6)
- Houston Texans – over 9.5 (10-7)
- Kansas City Chiefs – over 11.5 (15-2)
- Los Angeles Chargers – over 8.5 (11-6)
- Los Angeles Rams – over 8.5 (10-7)
- Minnesota Vikings – over 6.5 (14-3)
- Philadelphia Eagles – over 10.5 (14-3)
- Pittsburgh Steelers – over 7.5 (10-7)
- Seattle Seahawks – over 7.5 (10-7)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers – over 7.5 (10-7)
- Washington Commanders – over 6.5 (12-5)
2024-25 NFL Under Results
- Baltimore Ravens – under 12.5 (12-5)
- Chicago Bears – under 8.5 (5-12)
- Cincinnati Bengals – under 10.5 (9-8)
- Cleveland Browns – under 8.5 (3-14)
- Dallas Cowboys – under 10.5 (7-10)
- Indianapolis Colts – under 8.5 (8-9)
- Jacksonville Jaguars – under 8.5 (4-13)
- Las Vegas Raiders – under 6.5 (4-13)
- Miami Dolphins – under 9.5 (8-9)
- New England Patriots – under 5.5 (4-13)
- New Orleans Saints – under 7.5 (5-12)
- New York Giants – under 6.5 (3-14)
- New York Jets – under 9.5 (5-12)
- San Francisco 49ers – under 11.5 (6-11)
- Tennessee Titans – under 6.5 (3-14)
Our best NFL betting sites
To make sure you get the most value on your NFL odds, go to the best NFL betting sites prior to placing your wagers throughout the season.
| Sportsbook bonus | Sportsbook promo code | Sportsbook review |
|---|---|---|
| Stake Promo Code | ODDSMAX | Stake Review |
| bet365 Bonus Code | ODDSPEDIA | bet365 Review |
| Betway Promo Code | N/A | Betway Review |
Want more insights on NFL betting markets?
Take a look at other Oddspedia Insights articles that give you everything you need in order to become a more informed bettor.
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❓ NFL Win Totals Odds FAQs
What is the best sportsbook to bet on NFL win totals?
What is the best sportsbook for NFL win totals? Well, that depends on what a bettor decides their favorite bet(s) is/are. Simply put, bettors should always find the sportsbook with the most favorable NFL odds to give themselves the best chance at winning, which is why line shopping is vital.
Where do I find NFL win totals on a sportsbook?
NFL win totals can be found in most sportsbooks’ futures section of the NFL or football tab. They are usually labeled as “Wins,” “Regular Season Wins,” “Record,” or something of that nature. All lines will come with odds for both the over and under, along with other futures and prop bets.
When are win totals released?
NFL win total odds are released any time immediately after the Super Bowl up until a few months in the offseason, depending on the sportsbook and the circumstances. Regardless of when the odds are first released, they are constantly updated with news of injuries, signings, trades, movement on other teams, and more. Getting in on a team’s total before these moves can be risky but may pay off if they improve their situation after the best has been placed.
Can win totals change during the season?
NFL over/under win totals will change once an NFL season begins to reflect a team’s record, the strength of their schedule, injuries, trades, performance, and more. Spotting a team on the rise or quickly falling early on is an excellent way for a bettor to put themselves in the driver’s seat, though recency bias can cloud judgment. Waiting until later in the season to place a wager will give the bettor more time for analysis, but it will also provide the same to the oddsmakers.
Brendan Moore
