Super Bowl MVP Odds: Jalen Hurts Takes Home The Hardware

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The Kansas City Chiefs are favored — albeit slightly — to beat the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl 59 and win their fourth title in the last six years and third in a row. Which of course means Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is favored on the Super Bowl MVP odds board. It would be his fourth Super Bowl MVP in the last six years … and third in a row. 

With two weeks to go until Super Bowl 59 kicks off in New Orleans, Mahomes not only leads the way in Super Bowl MVP odds, he’s nearly an odds-on favorite at multiple sportsbooks.

The player directly behind Mahomes on the Super Bowl MVP odds board? That would be Eagles running back Saquon Barkley — even though it’s been 27 years since a running back last took home the honor.

Here’s a complete breakdown of Super Bowl MVP odds for Chiefs vs Eagles, including wagering tips, betting splits information and Oddspedia’s best bets to win Super Bowl MVP.

Remember to check out the top NFL odds with us at the best sportsbooks before making your NFL picks.

2025 Super Bowl MVP Odds

Player Position Odds
Kansas City Chiefs Patrick Mahomes QB +120
Philadelphia Eagles Saquon Barkley RB +250
Philadelphia Eagles Jalen Hurts QB +350
Kansas City Chiefs Travis Kelce TE +1400
Kansas City Chiefs Xavier Worthy WR +3100
Philadelphia Eagles AJ Brown WR +3500
Philadelphia Eagles DeVonta Smith WR +6500

All odds courtesy of FanDuel – accurate as of February 9

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Super Bowl MVP odds 2025: Favorites

Philadelphia Eagles Saquon Barkley, Philadelphia Eagles (+250 with FanDuel)

It’s difficult to bet against Patrick Mahomes winning another Super Bowl MVP. At the same time, it’s difficult to recommend wagering on a running back to win the award.

Yet we’re doing both.

As for the logic behind fading Mahomes, it’s pretty simple: The value (as expected) has vanished.

Mahomes had Super Bowl MVP odds as high as +450 when the postseason began. That price dipped to +280 prior to conference championship weekend.

Now? Mahomes is anywhere from +100 to +120 to become the first player in NFL history to win three consecutive Super Bowl MVPs.

It absolutely would not be a shock to see Mahomes make that history. After all, he’s the best quarterback on the planet, and the winning quarterback has been named Super Bowl MVP 33 times in 58 years (including 13 of the last 18).

The better bang for the buck, though, is Philadelphia’s Saquon Barkley –  the favorite on the Offensive Player of the Year odds board.

By every measure, Barkley has been the best player in the postseason — yes, even better than Mahomes. In three games, the veteran running back has compiled 442 rushing yards, averaged 6.7 yards per carry, and scored five touchdowns. 

This after a spectacular regular season in which Barkely rushed for 2,005 yards — becoming just the ninth player in NFL history to crack the 2,000-yard barrier — and 13 touchdowns. And he didn’t even play in the Week 18 finale.

Admittedly, Barkley will have his work cut out for him against a Chiefs defense that allowed just 101.8 rushing yards per game in the regular season. However, that defense surrendered 149 yards to the Texans in a Divisional playoff game, then 147 yards to Buffalo in the AFC Championship Game.

Of course, for Barkley to have a chance to become the first running back to win Super Bowl MVP since Terrell Davis in Super Bowl 32, his team will have to topple Mahomes and the Chiefs. Because the award has gone to a player from the losing side only once (Dallas’ Chuck Howley in Super Bowl 5).

It’s a tall order, to be sure.

Then again, Philadelphia is only a slight underdog in Super Bowl 59. Also, the Eagles came within a whisker of beating Kansas City in Super Bowl 57. Then they avenged that loss with a 21-17 road victory in Week 11 last season.

And Philly did both those things without Barkley.

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Super Bowl MVP best bets: Sleeper pick

Kansas City Chiefs Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs (+1400 with FanDuel)

The most impressive part of Kansas City’s 32-29 victory over the Bills in the AFC Championship Game: Travis Kelce was a complete nonfactor.

The Chiefs’ perennial All-Pro tight end was targeted just four times and hauled in two of those passes for a measly 19 yards.

That snapped an amazing streak in which Kelce had racked up more than 70 receiving yards in 14 straight playoff games. That includes a season-best 117 yards in Kansas City’s 23-14 victory over Houston in the Divisional Round.

Not only was Kelce’s 19-yard effort against Buffalo a career playoff low, it was just the sixth time in 24 postseason games that he finished with fewer than 70 receiving yards. One of Kelce’s subpar playoff performances came in his first Super Bowl — he had just six catches for 43 yards and one touchdown against San Francisco in Super Bowl 54.

However, Kelce had 10 receptions for 133 yards in Super Bowl 55 (loss to Tampa Bay); six receptions for 81 yards and one touchdown in Super Bowl 57 (victory over Philadelphia); and nine receptions for 93 yards in Super Bowl 58 (victory over San Francisco).

Clearly, Kelce would have to put up monster numbers in Super Bowl 59 to overtake Mahomes in Super Bowl MVP balloting — probably somewhere in the neighborhood of double-digit catches, 120-plus yards, and at least two touchdowns.

The good news? As the most prolific tight end in NFL history, Kelce is capable of such a performance. Which is why it’s worth taking a long shot with his 17-to-1 Super Bowl MVP odds at FanDuel — even though no tight end has ever won the award.

Other Super Bowl MVP wagers

Not only can you wager on who will win the Super Bowl MVP, but you can also wager on novelty bets, like:

Who will the Super Bowl MVP thank first in his speech?

Mention Opening odds Current odds Ticket % Handle %
Teammates +320 +320 40% 10%
God/Religious Figure -210 -210 20% 84%
Fans +1600 +1600 20% 3%
Team Organization +1400 +1400 13% 1%
Family +700 +700 7% 1%
Coach +2000 +2000 0% 0%

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

    Super Bowl MVP insights

    The Super Bowl MVP futures market has been drawing robust action since it opened several weeks ago, with public and sharp bettors attacking players they believe are undervalued.

    So far, a good chunk of those bettors have been taking a beating, at least at one sportsbook.

    At BetMGM, six of the nine players who lead the way in Super Bowl MVP tickets are on vacation.

    However, the player who is responsible for the most wagers and the most money at BetMGM is still around: Saquon Barkley.

    The Eagles’ running back is first in Super Bowl MVP tickets (11.4%) and first in handle (16.9%).

    As for the rest of the Chiefs and Eagles players who remain in the Super Bowl MVP conversation, Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes is second in tickets (6.3%) and money (7.6%).

    Mahomes is followed by Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce (4.5% tickets, 7.2% money) and Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (3.4% tickets, 4.9% money).

    On the bright side for BetMGM? Five players who account for more than 40% of the dollars wagered on Super Bowl MVP have been eliminated: Buffalo’s Josh Allen (16.4%); Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson (6.7%); Washington’s Jayden Daniels (5.8%); and Detroit’s Jared Goff (6.2%) and Jahmyr Gibbs (5.4%).

    Super Bowl MVP odds strategy

    It’s obviously easier said than done, but if you can accurately forecast which team will win the Super Bowl, then predicting which player will take home the MVP is about as easy as predicting that the sun will rise tomorrow.

    That’s because Super Bowl MVP voters have favored quarterbacks in a big way — as in, QBs have won the award more times (33) than every other position combined (25).

    This century, 15 of 24 Super Bowl MVPs have been quarterbacks. That hefty 62.5% win rate climbs to 70% when isolating the past decade, during which three quarterbacks — Tom Brady, Patrick Mahomes, and Nick Foles — won a combined seven MVPs.

    And now you know why the top five spots on the 2025 Super Bowl MVP odds board are occupied by quarterbacks: Mahomes, Detroit’s Jared Goff, Buffalo’s Josh Allen, Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson, and Philadelphia’s Jalen Hurts.

    Other Super Bowl MVP prop bet markets

    Think betting on which player will walk off with the MVP hardware (and an “I’m going to Disney World!” commercial) is the only way to bet this particular Super Bowl-related prop? Think again. 

    Many sportsbooks also give bettors an opportunity to wager on which position will win the award, and some offer head-to-head matchup options. 

    Additionally, sportsbooks offshore and overseas even take action on who or what the Super Bowl MVP will mention first in his acceptance speech. Here’s an example from last year’s Chiefs-49ers clash in Super Bowl 58:

    If you want to get involved with these fun alternative Super Bowl MVP props — and live in a place where you can legally do so — check back during Super Bowl week when sportsbooks begin adding to their lengthy big-game betting menu.

    Super Bowl MVP: How is the award decided?

    The Super Bowl MVP is awarded annually, usually to a player from the winning team who had the best statistical and/or most impactful on-field performance.

    In the past, the media who covered the Super Bowl onsite determined the MVP winner through a vote that transpired late in the game. Now, though, 16 media members selected by the NFL cast a ballot, the results of which account for 80% of the overall vote.

    The other 20% is determined by an online fan poll.

    After all ballots are tallied by NFL personnel, the Super Bowl MVP trophy — which is named after former league commissioner Pete Rozelle — goes to the player who receives the most votes.

    Who are the Super Bowl MVP favorites?

    On the eve of conference championship weekend, four of the top five favorites at every prominent U.S.-based sportsbook have one thing in common: They’re quarterbacks.

    Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes — who won MVP awards following Super Bowls 54, 57, and 58 — leads the way in Super Bowl odds at two prominent sportsbooks. He’s the +250 favorite at FanDuel and the +270 favorite at BetRivers.

    Mahomes and Bills quarterback Josh Allen are co-favorites at three other betting shops — BetMGM and Caesars Sportsbook (both +275), as well as DraftKings (+280).

    At bet365, however, Allen (+260) holds a slim edge over Mahomes (+270).

    Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts trails Allen and Mahomes with +500 Super Bowl MVP odds at BetMGM, BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, and FanDuel, and he’s out to +550 at bet365.

    What about Washington rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels? He ranges from a low of +700 at DraftKings to a high of +850 at BetMGM, BetRivers, and FanDuel.

    Interestingly, though, Hurts and Daniels are not lined up directly behind Mahomes and Allen on the Super Bowl MVP odds board. That honor goes to Eagles running back Saquon Barkley, who is the lone third choice at BetMGM (+400) and bet365 (+450).

    Elsewhere, Barkley shares the third position with his quarterback; he and Hurts are +500 to win Super Bowl MVP at BetRivers, Caesars, DraftKings, and FanDuel.

    Take note: No running back has captured the Super Bowl MVP since Denver’s Terrell Davis during the 1997-98 season (Super Bowl 32). Davis is among just five running backs to win the award since Pittsburgh’s Franco Harris did it in Super Bowl 9 — a half-century ago.

    Going into their respective conference championship games, Mahomes, Allen, Barkley, Hurts, and Daniels are the only players with single-digit Super Bowl MVP odds. No other player has a consensus price lower than +2500.

    Where can I bet on the Super Bowl MVP?

    Super Bowl MVP odds are posted at the best sportsbooks in states and jurisdictions where sports betting is legal — although there are three exceptions.

    Arizona, New York, and Virginia all have passed sports betting legislation, but none allow wagering on Super Bowl MVP or other novelty bets that are unrelated to the competitive game on the field.

    Additional states and jurisdictions with legalized sports betting do not permit wagering on certain non-competitive events. Bettors in these states won’t find Super Bowl coin toss odds, Super Bowl National Anthem odds, Super Bowl halftime show odds, and Gatorade color odds.

    What are the Super Bowl MVP odds this year?

    MVP odds for Super Bowl 59 in New Orleans were released prior to the start of the postseason.

    As has been the case for several years, Kansas City Chiefs quarterback — and three-time Super Bowl MVP — Patrick Mahomes opened as the favorite to win the honor again. 

    Most sportsbooks priced Mahomes at +400 (4-to-1) to become the second player in history to win as many as four Super Bowl MVPs.

    Three other quarterbacks — Detroit’s Jared Goff, Buffalo’s Josh Allen, and Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson — opened the postseason with single-digit Super Bowl MVP odds (less than 10-to-1).

    At FanDuel Sportsbook, only six other players began the playoffs with Super Bowl odds lower than +3000 (30-to-1):

    • Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs (+1500)
    • Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (+1500)
    • Eagles running back Saquon Barkley (+2100)
    • Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold (+2400)
    • Ravens running back Derrick Henry (+2700)
    • Lions wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown (+2800)
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    Super Bowl MVP odds history

    Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes won the most recent Super Bowl MVP trophy after leading the Chiefs to a 25-22 come-from-behind overtime victory over the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl 58.

    Mahomes also took home MVP honors after a thrilling 38-35 comeback victory over the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl 57.

    Last year, Mahomes closed as a consensus +140 favorite on the Super Bowl MVP odds board. He also was a +130 favorite going into Super Bowl 57 against Philadelphia and a +105 favorite ahead of Super Bowl 54 against the 49ers.

    He won the award all three times.

    Going back to Super Bowl 44, only five players with odds greater than +300 have walked off the field as the Super Bowl MVP. The most recent was Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Cooper Kupp, who cashed at 6-to-1 odds after Super Bowl 56.

    Team Player Odds
    Seattle Seahawks (SB48) Malcom Smith +2000 (Field option)
    Denver Broncos (SB50) Von Miller +2500
    Philadelphia Eagles (SB52) Nick Foles +460
    New England Patriots (SB53) Julian Edelman +2500
    Los Angeles Rams (SB56) Cooper Kupp +600

    Denver linebacker Von Miller (Super Bowl 50) and Patriots wide receiver Julian Edelman (Super Bowl 53) are believed to be the biggest longshots to claim MVP honors. Both closed with Super Bowl odds of 25-to-1.

    Let’s take a look at the previous five winners of the Super Bowl MVP:

    Team Player Odds
    Kansas City Chiefs Patrick Mahomes +130
    Los Angeles Rams Cooper Kupp +600
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tom Brady +187
    Kansas City Chiefs Patrick Mahomes +110
    New England Patriots Julian Edelman +2000

    What position has won the most Super Bowl MVPs?

    Quarterbacks have won 57% of the Super Bowl MVP trophies, with Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes last year becoming the 33rd passer to capture the honor.

    Mahomes, who also claimed the MVP following Super Bowls 54 and 57, is the sixth player in history to win the award more than once. The other five with multiple Super Bowl MVPs — Tom Brady (five), Joe Montana (three) and Bart Starr, Terry Bradshaw, and Eli Manning (all two) — also were quarterbacks.

    The position with the second-most Super Bowl MVPs: wide receiver. Eight pass catchers have snagged the honor, the most recent being the Rams’ Kupp in Super Bowl 56.

    Seven running backs have won the Super Bowl MVP, but none since Denver’s Terrell Davis in Super Bowl 32 back in January 1998.

    Additionally, 10 defensive players — four linebackers, two defensive ends, two safeties, one cornerback, and one defensive tackle — have been named Super Bowl MVP. 

    Only one special teams player — Green Bay kick returner Desmond Howard in Super Bowl 31 — has taken home the trophy.

    Want to increase your chances of winning a Super Bowl MVP bet? Determine which team is going to win the game. Because only once has the award gone to a player from the losing team — and that was half a century ago.

    In Super Bowl 5, the Dallas Cowboys fell 16-13 to the Baltimore Colts on a late-game field goal. However, Cowboys linebacker (and future Pro Football Hall of Famer) Chuck Howley was awarded the MVP after recording two interceptions and forcing a fumble.

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    Super Bowl MVP FAQs

    Who are the Super Bowl MVP favorites?

    Right now, Patrick Mahomes is the favorite to win Super Bowl MVP. Right next to him, you have Saquon Barkley. Make sure to check the top NFL odds to make the most out of your Super Bowl wagers.

    Who won Super Bowl MVP in 2024?

    Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes won last year’s Super Bowl MVP after beating San Francisco 49ers.

    What position wins the most Super Bowl MVPs?

    Quarterbacks have won 56% of Super Bowl MVPs throughout the years. Mahomes was the 32nd quarterback to take home the award.

    Are you ready to bet on the Super Bowl?

    Get yourself prepared for the big game by reading our Super Bowl articles. Take advantage of our expert insight and get set for Super Bowl Sunday.

    Where to bet on the Super Bowl

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