MLB Next Manager Fired Odds: Suzuki on His Way out in Los Angeles?

The next MLB manager fired odds market has already been active in 2026, with three notable skippers losing their jobs. Rob Thomson was the first to be shown the door, dismissed by the Phillies after a disappointing start and replaced with New York Yankees legend Don Mattingly. Alex Cora was also let go by the Red Sox following a slow opening month, while Carlos Mendoza became the latest casualty after the Mets struggled well below expectations.

With several contenders still underperforming and not meeting their early-season MLB records projection, more front offices could decide a managerial change is the spark their team needs, making this one of baseball’s most closely watched betting markets.

MLB Next Manager Fired Odds 2026

The next MLB manager fired odds are constantly changing, and it doesn’t take much for a skipper to find himself on the hot seat. With several high-profile managerial changes already taking place this season and playoff races beginning to take shape, which managers are under the most pressure, and who’s leading the betting to be the next one out?

We’ve taken a look at the latest odds to see where the market stands:

Manager	Odds	Implied Probability
Kurt Suzuki	+175	36.36%
Matt Quatraro	+250	28.57%
Mark Kotsay	+900	10.00%
Terry Francona	+1200	7.69%
Warren Schaeffer	+1600	5.88%

MLB next manager fired odds latest updates

• September 16, 2026: Kurt Suzuki has risen to the top of the board after a disappointing first-year campaign in Los Angeles.
• August 10, 2026: Mark Kotsay is back on the hot seat in the MLB next manager fired odds. The A’s dismissed GM David Forst on August 7 and may look to remove Kotsay before the end of the season – or, at the very least, before it officially moves to Vegas. 
• July 22, 2026: The Toronto Blue Jays were one game short of winning the World Series in 2025. This year, they’re 46-55, last in the AL East with the third-worst run differential (-61) in the league. John Schneider’s name has come up next MLB manager fired odds as a result.
• July 13, 2026: Mark Kotsay finds himself among the list of candidates in the next MLB manager fired odds following the Athletics’ 9-game losing streak heading into the MLB All-Star break. Kotsay was the favorite in the MLB Manager of the Year odds earlier this season.
• June 26, 2026: The New York Mets fire Carlos Mendoza following a 34-47 start to the season. Mendoza’s firing puts the attention squarely on Matt Quatraro, John Schneider, and Joe Espada as the most likely candidates in the next MLB manager fired odds.

MLB next manager fired odds: Who will be next to leave?

These MLB managers aren’t worried about their teams contending in the World Series odds. Rather, they’re focused on survival, taking things game-by-game as they look to keep their jobs.

Kurt Suzuki to be fired odds | +175

Kurt Suzuki has become the leader in the MLB next manager fired odds as the Angels’ disappointing 2026 season has continued to spiral. Los Angeles sits at 58-93 after a 72-win campaign in 2025, leaving Suzuki with a .384 winning percentage in his first season as a manager.

The situation is particularly notable because Suzuki was hired to a one-year deal, and the Angels already dismissed general manager Perry Minasian in June before making additional coaching changes in August.

There have been some positives, including Mike Trout’s return to the lineup and his 21 home runs, which have kept him relevant in the MLB Comeback Player of the Year odds. However, with the Angels eliminated from postseason contention and Suzuki’s first season ending well below expectations, his position remains under significant scrutiny.

Matt Quatraro to be fired odds | +250

We’re not going out on a limb to suggest Kansas City Royals skipper Matt Quatraro isn’t thinking about the MLB manager of the year odds. Rather, the fourth-year bench boss is one of the leading candidates in the next MLB manager fired odds market, even if the Royals are currently on an eight-game winning streak.

After guiding the Royals to a postseason breakthrough two years ago and an 82-80 record in 2025, expectations were significantly higher this year, making an underwhelming campaign even more disappointing. Kansas City has struggled to find consistency on both sides of the ball, even with Bobby Witt Jr., one of the fastest players in the MLB.

If the Royals continue to slide further out of the playoff picture, the front office could decide a managerial change is necessary. A prolonged losing streak may be all it takes to put Quatraro’s job in serious jeopardy. They’re currently 58-74 and have the second-worst run differential in the AL at -91.

Mark Kotsay odds to be fired | +900

Mark Kotsay was an early candidate in the Manager of the Year odds after the Athletics opened the season with a strong run, but the club’s fortunes have changed considerably. Oakland has struggled down the stretch, with injuries to several key players making Kotsay’s job more difficult as the season winds down.

The A’s still have an impressive young core, led by players such as Nick Kurtz, who won the 2025 AL Rookie of the Year award unanimously, Jacob Wilson, who finished second in the voting, and Tyler Soderstrom. Kurtz’s sophomore season has included 21 home runs and a .879 OPS, while Soderstrom finished with 19 homers and 56 RBI before undergoing season-ending hip surgery.

Kotsay has a 316-483 record as the A’s manager through five seasons.

MLB Next Manager Fired Odds Longshot

John Schneider odds to be fired | +4000

John Schneider could become a name to watch in the next MLB manager fired odds if the Blue Jays fall short of the postseason. Toronto has remained in the playoff hunt, with young call-ups such as Charles McAdoo and Brett Bateman providing a spark in August. Louis Varland has also been a major contributor out of the bullpen and is the favorite in the MLB reliever of the year odds.

Still, if Toronto misses the playoffs after coming within a game of winning the 2025 World Series, GM Ross Atkins and president Mark Shapiro could consider a change. Schneider and his staff have also struggled to unlock Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who has endured a prolonged down season.

Next MLB Manager Fired Odds Betting Tips

Follow Team Expectations, Not Just Records

A losing record alone doesn’t always put a manager on the hot seat. Teams expected to contend for a division title or World Series often make changes much sooner than rebuilding clubs, so compare each team’s performance against preseason expectations when evaluating the next MLB manager fired odds.

Pay Attention to Front Office Comments

General managers and owners rarely reveal their plans directly, but public comments can provide valuable clues. If executives begin questioning effort, preparation, or accountability, a managerial change could be approaching. Press conferences and media reports often move the next MLB manager fired odds before any official announcement.

Don’t Ignore the Schedule

A brutal road trip or lengthy losing streak can dramatically increase pressure on a manager. Teams often make changes before or after the All-Star break or during a difficult stretch of games to try to spark the clubhouse. Timing can be just as important as a team’s overall record.

Use the Best MLB Betting Sites

The next MLB manager fired odds can vary significantly between the best sportsbooks, especially in niche futures markets. Shopping around for the best price before placing a wager can improve your long-term returns, while reputable MLB betting sites also provide faster odds updates, competitive promotions, and reliable payouts.

You can even take advantage of the best sportsbook promos to potentially increase payouts on successful wagers.

❓ MLB Next Manager Fired Odds FAQs

What are next MLB manager fired odds?

Next MLB manager fired odds are a futures betting market that predicts which current manager will be the next to lose his job. Sportsbooks assign odds based on team performance, preseason expectations, ownership patience, and recent trends. As teams go through winning or losing streaks, those odds can change dramatically throughout the season.

How often do next MLB manager fired odds change?

These odds can move frequently, especially during prolonged losing streaks or after disappointing series against division rivals. Injuries, front office comments, and media speculation can also influence the market before any official decision is made. Checking the odds regularly helps bettors identify value before sportsbooks adjust their prices.

What factors make a manager more likely to be fired?

Poor team performance is the biggest factor, but expectations matter just as much as a club’s record. Managers of teams expected to contend for the playoffs generally face more pressure than those leading rebuilding organizations. Clubhouse chemistry, player development, and the relationship between the manager and front office can also influence the decision.

When are MLB managers most likely to be fired?

Many managerial changes occur around the All-Star break, giving organizations an opportunity to reset before the second half of the season. Teams also make changes after lengthy losing streaks or when postseason hopes begin to fade. While offseason moves are common, in-season firings often happen when ownership believes a new voice could spark a turnaround.

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