England vs Australia Ashes fourth Test odds and predictions: Will England Avoid Whitewash?

With Australia having already retained the Ashes thanks to a commanding 3‑0 series lead, all eyes now turn to the iconic Boxing Day Test at the MCG, starting Friday 26th December at 11:30pm UK time. After England’s heavy defeats so far, the tourists will be desperate to avoid a 5‑0 whitewash and salvage some pride.

Melbourne typically offers a fair but challenging pitch that rewards patience with the bat early on, before seam and variable bounce begin to trouble batters later in the match. The atmosphere at the MCG is incomparable, and both sides will want to make Christmas weekend memorable.

At Oddspedia we track all the latest Ashes 2025 odds — so how are the England vs Australia Ashes fourth Test odds markets shaping up? Let’s dive in…

England vs Australia Ashes fourth Test odds

We’ve combed through the best cricket betting sites to bring you the most competitive odds available for the England vs Australia Ashes odds market:

Result	Best Odds	Implied Probability
Australia	4/7 (1.57)	63.7%
England	9/4 (3.25)	30.8%
🤝 Draw	11/1 (12.00)	8.3%

Odds accurate as of 23rd December.

England vs Australia Ashes odds – Australia

Australia remain strong favourites to extend their already dominant series advantage and notch a fourth straight win. Even with key injuries to Pat Cummins and Nathan Lyon, who are ruled out for the remainder of the series, the Aussies’ bowling depth and batting firepower keep them odds on in the Ashes fourth Test market.

The return of Steve Smith, who was absent through illness in the third Test, adds experience to Australia’s batting line‑up, while Mitchell Starc has been the standout bowler of the series so far.
The hosts can be found in the England vs Australia Ashes fourth Test odds market at around 4/7 to take a 4-0 lead in Melbourne.

England vs Australia Ashes odds – England

England enter the fourth Test as underdogs, but with motivation to halt Australia’s march to what would be a humiliating 5‑0 clean sweep. Their batsmen have struggled throughout the tour, and morale off the field has been under scrutiny amid reports of internal team issues and heavy drinking.

England’s hopes hinge on improved contributions from their top order, in particular England’s two premier batsmen Joe Root and Harry Brook, and tighter bowling from seamers Gus Atkinson and Brydon Carse. England’s pace attack has shown flashes of promise, but consistency has eluded them, and their best bowler so far Jofra Archer misses out through injury.

The England vs Australia Ashes fourth Test odds have the visitors priced up at 9/4 to cause an upset.

🤝 England vs Australia Ashes odds – Draw

A draw remains a long shot at the MCG, with odds of 11/1 in the Ashes fourth Test odds markets. As with most Australian pitches, the ground can be friendly to batters early on, but as the Test unfolds the surface will become more inconsistent and favour the bowlers. As we have seen with past results in Australia, one side often gains a clear advantage.

Unless weather intervenes or both sides post huge first‑innings totals, a win for either side is the most likely outcome, and any bets should be be treated as a low stakes speculative wager.

England vs Australia Ashes odds: Is there value on offer?

Given Australia’s form and home advantage, it’s difficult to look past them in the outright market. However, their odds are relatively short, so punters might find more value in player specific markets, particularly with England batting under pressure and the Aussies boasting multiple threats with both bat and ball.

England vs Australia Ashes fourth Test odds: Secondary markets

Below I have tabled the highest run scorers in the series so far, along with a couple of secondary markets I like the look of:

Top Australian batsman: Travis Head (7/2 with bet365)

Travis Head has been a revelation since being moved up the order to open the batting, and leads the way in runs scored (379) for the series so far. Although Australia’s premier batsman Steve Smith is back in the line up for the fourth Test, Head has a particularly strong record at the MCG, averaging over 50 in past matches there. I think the 7/2 being offered by bet365 in this Ashes fourth Test odds market looks very appealing.

Top England batsman: Joe Root (7/2 with Boylesport)

Root remains England’s most reliable and prolific run-scorer. With 219 runs at 43.8 in the series so far, he has been the only English batter consistently making an impact. The Boxing Day Test at the MCG is historically one where patience and technique are rewarded, and Root’s calm, measured approach suits these conditions perfectly. At 7/2 this England vs Australia Ashes fourth Test odds market could provide excellent value.

What can you bet on in The Ashes?

The Ashes features a wide range of cricket betting tips beyond just picking the match winner in the England vs Australia Ashes odds. Popular markets include Top Batsman, Top Bowler, Player of the Match, and 1st/2nd innings performances. In-play betting adds even more opportunities, letting you wager on run totals, wickets, session results, and ball-by-ball outcomes as the Test unfolds.

How to bet on The Ashes

You can place bets on The Ashes across a variety of cricket betting odds currently available. At Oddspedia, we provide everything you need to bet with confidence, from up-to-date odds to exclusive sign-up offers, including the bet365 bonus code and the William Hill sign-up offer.

For beginners or anyone looking to improve their betting knowledge, our detailed How to Bet on Cricket guide covers the main markets, effective strategies, and key terms to know before placing your wager.

England vs Australia Ashes odds FAQs

Who is favourite in the fourth Test odds and why?

Australia are the clear favourites at around 8/15 due to their dominant 3‑0 series lead and strong performances so far. Despite missing key players like Pat Cummins and Nathan Lyon, their depth in batting and bowling keeps them odds on. England remain underdogs as their top order has struggled, and they face a tough challenge at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.

Is a draw likely at the MCG?

A draw is unlikely at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, as the pitch usually produces a result. While early batting-friendly conditions can slow the game, the MCG’s bounce and pace reward bowlers later. Given Australia’s ability to force results and England’s batting inconsistencies, a draw would require unusually large first-innings totals or weather interruptions.

Where is the fourth Ashes Test?

The fourth Test is taking place at the Melbourne Cricket Ground from December 26-30th. The MCG is one of the most iconic cricket venues in the world, hosting many historic Boxing Day Tests. It offers a fair balance between bat and ball, with conditions that challenge both sides as the match progresses.