England vs Australia Ashes Fifth Test Odds and Predictions: Can England End on a High?

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The Ashes series reaches its finale this weekend as England and Australia face off in the fifth and final Test at the Sydney Cricket Ground.

Starting Saturday at 11.30pm UK time, the final match offers one last opportunity for England to salvage some pride, while Australia look to close out a dominant campaign in front of their home supporters.

"With nothing left to lose, England could play with the freedom required to trouble the hosts..."

The SCG traditionally provides a slower, more spin friendly surface than the venues used earlier in the series, often leading to longer matches and increasing the likelihood of a draw.

At Oddspedia we track all The Ashes odds throughout the series, so how are the England vs Australia Ashes fifth Test odds shaping up? Let’s take a look…

England vs Australia Ashes fifth Test odds

We’ve reviewed the best cricket betting sites to bring you the most competitive odds for the England vs Australia Ashes odds market.

Result Best Odds Implied Probability
Australia 4/6 (1.67) 60.0%
England 12/5 (3.40) 29.4%
🤝 Draw 6/1 (7.00) 14.3%

Odds accurate as of 2nd January.

England vs Australia Ashes odds – Australia

Best Odds Bookmaker Implied Probability
4/6 (1.67) William Hill 60.0%

Australia are favourites in the Ashes fifth Test odds, with William Hill pricing them at 4/6 to secure another victory and cap off a highly successful home series with a 4-1 series victory. Despite having already retained the urn, Pat Cummins’ side are expected to field a strong XI as they will be keen to maintain momentum and finish the Ashes on a high.

Australia’s bowling unit is expected to be rotated slightly with Pat Cummins rested after securing the series, but pace options including Mitchell Starc, Scott Boland and Michael Neser provide depth. Spin could feature too, with Todd Murphy in contention to play his first home Test amid SCG conditions that often help slow bowlers later in the match.

Australia’s batting depth could also be a key factor in Sydney, with Steve Smith and Marnus Labuschagne both boasting excellent records at the SCG. On a pitch likely to reward patience, the hosts are once again deserved favourites in the England vs Australia Ashes fifth Test odds.

    England vs Australia Ashes odds – England

    Best Odds Bookmaker Implied Probability
    12/5 (3.40) bet365 29.4%

    England are priced at 12/5 with bet365 in the Ashes fifth Test odds, reflecting both their underwhelming series performance and the challenge of facing Australia in Sydney. However, with nothing left to lose, England could play with the freedom required to trouble the hosts.

    The SCG could suit England’s bowling attack better than previous venues, particularly if their spinners are able to come into play. Will Jacks is expected to shoulder much of the workload, with conditions traditionally offering increasing assistance as the surface deteriorates.

    For England to justify their price in the England vs Australia Ashes fifth Test odds, improvements with the bat are essential. Joe Root has been a standout performer, but support from openers Ben Duckett and Zak Crawley will be crucial if England are to post competitive run totals.

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    🤝 England vs Australia Ashes odds – Draw

    Best Odds Bookmaker Implied Probability
    6/1 (7.00) 888sport 14.3%

    The draw is shorter in the Ashes fifth Test odds than at most other venues, reflecting the SCG’s long-standing reputation for producing slower, attritional Test matches. High first-innings scores and occasional weather interruptions have historically increased the likelihood of draws in Sydney.

    If both sides bat conservatively early on, the draw could quickly come into play, particularly given the lack of series pressure. However, with quality bowling on both sides, a result remains likelier.

      England vs Australia Ashes odds: Is there value on offer?

      Australia remain deserved favourites in the England vs Australia Ashes fifth Test odds, and it’s difficult to see past a home win. However, the secondary markets present some intriguing value opportunities, and with motivation levels potentially more balanced than earlier in the series, individual performances could prove decisive.

      Rather than backing Australia at relatively short odds, bettors may find greater value in bowler markets tailored to SCG conditions.

      England vs Australia Ashes fifth Test odds: Secondary markets

      Top Australian bowler: Todd Murphy (4/1 with BetMGM)

      With the SCG’s surface historically offering some assistance to spinners later in Tests and Nathan Lyon out of this match, Todd Murphy is in line to play a key role in Australia’s bowling attack. His left-arm spin could reap rewards if the ball starts turning later on in the match. At 4/1 this Ashes fifth Test odds market could provide bettors with some value.

      Top England bowler: Josh Tongue (5/2 with Paddy Power)

      England’s fast bowler Josh Tongue has impressed recently, and England are potentially light on frontline seamers due to injuries to Jofra Archer and Gus Atkinson. Tongue may lead the attack and offer strong value in this Ashes fifth Test odds secondary market.

        What can you bet on in The Ashes?

        The Ashes offers far more cricket betting tips than simply choosing the match winner in the England vs Australia Ashes odds. Popular markets include Top Batsman, Top Bowler, Player of the Match, and first or second-innings performances. In-play betting expands the possibilities even further, allowing wagers on run totals, wickets, session results, and even ball-by-ball outcomes as the Test match progresses.

        How to bet on The Ashes

        You can bet on The Ashes using a wide range of cricket betting odds available right now. At Oddspedia, we give you everything you need to wager with confidence, including the latest odds and exclusive sign up deals such as the bet365 bonus code and the William Hill welcome offer.

        If you’re new to cricket betting or want to sharpen your approach, our in-depth How to Bet on Cricket guide explains the main markets, proven strategies, and essential terminology to understand before placing your bet.

          England vs Australia Ashes odds FAQs

          Who is favourite in the Ashes fifth Test odds and why?

          Australia are favourites in the Ashes fifth Test odds after building strong momentum throughout the series and benefiting from home conditions in Sydney. Despite resting Pat Cummins, their lineup remains largely unchanged and retains greater depth than their opponents in both the batting and bowling departments. England come in as underdogs, although their victory in Melbourne showed they are capable of competing when key players perform.

          Is a draw likely in the Ashes fifth Test?

          The Sydney Cricket Ground has a long standing reputation for producing drawn Test matches, particularly when pitches remain flat early on. However, results have been more common in this Ashes series, with bowlers finding ways to force outcomes and two Tests ending after just two days. If both teams post large first-innings totals and the pitch deteriorates slowly, the draw in the Ashes fifth Test odds could offer some value to bettors.

          Where is the fifth Ashes Test being played?

          The fifth Ashes Test is being played at the Sydney Cricket Ground (SCG), one of the most historic venues in Australian cricket. The SCG is known for producing balanced Test matches, with good batting conditions early in the game before spin and variable bounce come into play later. These characteristics often make Sydney a fascinating venue for the final Test of an Ashes series.

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