England vs Australia Ashes third Test odds and predictions: Will England Keep Series Alive?

With the Ashes series moving south, attention now turns to the third Test at Adelaide Oval, starting this Tuesday at 11.30 am UK time. After two eight wicket victories so far, Australia come into the third Test with a 2-0 lead, and England will be seeking a win to keep their slim hopes in the series alive.

Adelaide traditionally offers a different challenge to Brisbane, with a flatter surface early on and conditions that tend to reward batters before bowlers come into the game later in the match.

At Oddspedia we track all The Ashes 2025 odds, so how are the England vs Australia Ashes odds looking? Let’s dive in…

England vs Australia Ashes third Test odds

We’ve scoured the best cricket betting sites to find you the best odds available for the England vs Australia Ashes odds market:

Result	Best Odds	Implied Probability
Australia	1/2 (1.50)	66.7%
England	5/2 (3.50)	28.6%
🤝 Draw	12/1 (13.00)	7.7%

Odds accurate as of 15th December.

England vs Australia Ashes odds – Australia

Australia are deservedly strong favourites to take an unassailable 3-0 series lead, reflecting both their dominant wins so far and home advantage, and can be found at 1/2 in the England vs Australia Ashes third Test odds.

The Aussies have bowled England out with relative ease throughout the first two Tests, benefiting from an excellent pace attack and poor shot selection from England’s batters. The return of lead seamer and captain Pat Cummins will only boost the options available for the home side.

Adelaide Oval, whilst slightly more batter friendly than Perth and Brisbane, can offer spin and reverse swing in the later sessions, and Nathan Lyon could be influential after being dropped for the second Test in favour of an all pace attack.

Australia’s batsmen will also fancy runs against a weary looking England bowling attack, especially Steve Smith who averages over 40 at this venue.

England vs Australia Ashes odds – England

England arrive in Adelaide knowing they must win to keep their Ashes series chances alive, and they are priced at a much higher 5/2 in the England vs Australia Ashes third Test odds.

Historically, Adelaide has been one of England’s better venues when visiting Australia, offering more opportunity for batters to settle. After posting 13 ducks across the first two Tests, including a pair for opener Zak Crawley, this ground offers England arguably their best chance to get on the scoreboard.

England’s chances will hinge on producing a disciplined display with the bat, something which Joe Root aside has been lacking for far in the series, and having patience with the ball.

England have made one change to their bowling attack, bringing in Josh Tongue for Gus Atkinson, which should add some firepower to potentially exploit Adelaide’s seam and bounce.

🤝 England vs Australia Ashes odds – Draw

A draw can be found at 12/1 in the England vs Australia Ashes odds, and although Adelaide has a reputation for having more batter friendly conditions than Brisbane, the fact that neither Test so far has entered day five suggests it’s still a very unlikely outcome.

The draw remains a longshot unless weather intervenes or both sides manage to bat huge, which given the results of the first two Tests seems unlikely.

The forecast for the week looks clear, and any bets on the draw should take this into account and treat it as a low stakes speculative wager.

England vs Australia Ashes odds: Is there value on offer?

With Australia’s strong recent record at Adelaide Oval and the momentum firmly on their side after the opening Tests, it’s hard to make a convincing case for England in the England vs Australia Ashes odds market. 

If you believe England do have a chance then their odds offer genuine value, but Australia deserve to be favourites here and I think they will win.

However, their odds are quite short, so I’ve picked out some secondary markets that I think offer bettors with more value.

England vs Australia Ashes third Test odds: Secondary markets

Top Australian bowler: Nathan Lyon (4/1 with Paddy Power)

After being dropped in Brisbane, Nathan Lyon returns with a point to prove. The veteran’s spin could be key if the pitch starts to turn later in the match, and he has a strong record in Adelaide’s conditions. Most attention will be on the returning Pat Cummins and Australia’s player of the series so far Mitchel Starc, but I think Lyon could offer some great value here.

Top England bowler: Josh Tongue (3/1 with Skybet)

Josh Tongue replaces Atkinson in the line up, and will be hoping to bolster what has been an underwhelming England bowling attack so far. Tongue took five wickets in his only previous Test match against Australia, including Steve Smith twice. None of England’s bowlers have been on top form yet, so I’m backing Tongue to be fresh and ready to provide us with some value in the England vs Australia Ashes third Test odds.

What can you bet on in The Ashes?

The Ashes offers a wide range of cricket betting tips you can back beyond the match winner in the England vs Australia Ashes odds. Popular options include Top Batsman, Top Bowler, Player of the Match, and 1st/2nd innings performance markets. In-play betting also provides opportunities to wager on run totals, wickets taken, session results, and ball-by-ball outcomes once the Test is underway.

How to bet on The Ashes

You can bet on The Ashes on a wide range of cricket betting odds currently available. At Oddspedia, we bring together everything you need to bet with confidence, including up-to-date odds and exclusive sign-up offers such as the bet365 bonus code and William Hill sign up offer.

For newcomers or those looking to sharpen their knowledge, we also offer a comprehensive How to Bet on Cricket guide, covering the main markets, betting strategies, and key terms to know before placing a wager.

England vs Australia Ashes odds FAQs

Who is favourite in the England vs Australia Ashes third Test odds and why?

Australia are 1/2 favourites in the England vs Australia Ashes third Test odds due to their strong start to the series and an excellent recent record at Adelaide Oval. The conditions in Adelaide are typically more balanced than Brisbane, but Australia’s deeper batting lineup and consistent bowling attack give them the edge. England are priced as 5/2 underdogs, reflecting both their struggles earlier in the series and their need for a significant improvement with the bat.

Is a draw likely in the third Test?

A draw is more plausible in Adelaide than at the Gabba, but it is still not the most likely outcome in the England vs Australia Ashes odds. The pitch often plays well for batting early, which can slow the game if both sides post solid totals in the first innings. However, late deterioration and consistent weather usually push the match towards a result rather than a stalemate.

Where is the third Ashes Test?

The third Ashes Test is being played at Adelaide Oval, one of Australia’s most scenic and historic cricket venues. Known for its traditionally good batting surface, Adelaide often allows batters to post bigger scores, particularly in the first two days. The ground has hosted numerous memorable Ashes moments and regularly produces competitive, high quality Test matches.