Spotify Wrapped Odds: When is it coming, and which artists have we been streaming this year?

Spotify Wrapped is now officially an annual tradition. The streaming giant’s viral campaign first launched in 2016, and now, almost 10 years later, it’s as much a part of our Christmas build-up as the John Lewis ad.

We know that Spotify Wrapped 2025 will be out within days, because the platform tends to launch it around the same time every year. But as always, those in the know have remained tight-lipped about its specific release date.

Spotify has also never revealed exactly when it stops counting listening stats for that year’s Wrapped results. But rumours suggest this could be as early as the end of October or beginning of November, so the chances are it’s already too late to hide those guilty pleasures.

Attention has now turned to the music that’ll dominate this year’s Spotify Wrapped, from Morgan Wallen’s I’m the Problem to Taylor Swift’s’s instant chart-toppers. We’ve gathered all the latest special bets and predictions by Kalshi, to give you sneak peek at what Spotify is most likely to reveal this year.

Spotify Wrapped 2025: The release date

Odds provided by Kalshi, accurate as of 25 November

We’ll start with the matter most pressing: the issue of when our long-awaited listening stats will be available. Lips have remained firmly sealed on the release date, as always, but there are a few clues that could give the game away.

Firstly, Spotify Wrapped hasn’t ever launched on a Monday or Friday before. It always launches midweek, either in late November or early December.

The platform has favoured Wednesday launch dates for the past four years, and has released the campaign on a Wednesday more than any other day over the last nine years. That’s clue no. 1.

Previous Spotify Wrapped Launch Dates

Clue no. 2 is the campaign’s landing page. It’s now live, but there’s nothing on it. And that too is significant.

As our entertainment expert Alex Griffiths explains, “while a recent request from the streaming giant for users to update their apps did tease a launch in the very near future, the tumbleweed landing page suggests a December launch, rather than a November one.”

Current probabilities available via Kalshi point in the same direction. So, the likelihood is that Spotify Wrapped 2025 will launch on Wednesday 3rd December.

Top song on Spotify US this year

Odds provided by Kalshi, accurate as of 25 November

On the question of the top song for Spotify US, Kalshi gives a 93% probability to luther (with sza) by Kendrick Lamar and SZA.

According to current predictions, no other tune stands a chance this year! Not even the likes of Golden and Soda Pop by our fictional favs Huntr/x and the Saja Boys, we’re (very) sorry to say.

Entertainment expert Alex Griffiths told us that users may well be looking to Spotify Wrapped for a nod to the rise of fictional bands we’ve seen this year, however.

“The rise of fictional bands in real charts has been a huge talking point this year, with two fictional bands from Neflix’s hit KPop Demon Hunters dominating the charts in 2025.

“While the Saja Boys and Huntr/x don’t look likely to top this year’s Spotify Wrapped charts, they’ll certainly be appearing in many a listeners’ data.

“Some listeners have, however, called for Spotify to recognise the songs being played by users’ kids, and allow them to split data according to the member of the household in charge of the Spotify account at that moment in time.

“If the platform does roll out such a feature, we could soon see kids’ charts in these annual updates… and the likes of Huntr/x would undoubtedly get the recognition they deserve!”

Top album on Spotify US this year

Odds provided by Kalshi, accurate as of 25 November

Morgan Wallen’s I’m the Problem is the current favourite for top album (US) when this year’s Spotify Wrapped is released.

Kalshi gives Wallen’s fourth studio album a 94% probability of appearing in the #1 spot as most streamed in 2025. Bad Bunny could be a challenger, but with an implied probability of just 9% the Puerto Rican’s superstar’s chances remain slim as the 2025 launch date approaches.

#1 most streamed artist on Spotify Wrapped 2025

Odds provided by Kalshi, accurate as of 25 November

Swifties never fail to make their mark on the Spotify Wrapped stats, and it looks like 2025 will be no exception.

In 2024, Taylor took the crown as Global Top Artist, thanks in part to the surprise release of double album The Tortured Poets Department: The Anthology in April of that year.

This year, we saw the release of The Life of a Showgirl, Taylor’s 12th album and another instant record-breaker.

TLOAS smashed US records, selling 2.7 million copies on Friday alone. And it proved just as successful in the UK, eclipsing the first-week sales of both of Swift’s previous two albums.

Entertainment expert Alex Griffiths commented, “Taylor is, as always, the one to beat on the most streamed artist chart.

“In all likelihood, Swift will take the top spot once again this year, thanks to her prolific writing and the unwavering dedication of her fanbase. Does anyone else really stand a chance of competing with the Swifties’ level of devotion? I wouldn’t bet on it.”

This year’s top podcast (spoiler alert, it’s Joe Rogan again)

Odds provided by Kalshi, accurate as of 25 November

It’s not just about the music, of course. Spotify Wrapped also gives a glimpse into other listening habits, like the podcasts we’ve all been talking about this year.

Looking at Kalshi’s predictions, The Joe Rogan Experience is a clear favourite to take the top spot. With 20 million subscribers and well over 2,000 episodes already available to listen to, Joe Rogan’s interviews are destined to take the crown for the sixth consecutive year.

Expert: “Spotify Wrapped now signifies the start of the holiday season; Mariah has finished defrosting!”

Spotify wrapped was an immediate hit when it launched back in 2016. Its since become an unstoppable viral marketing campaign, immovable in its ability to become a national talking point upon its release, year after year.

We spoke to TV and entertainment expert Alex Griffiths to find out more about why this campaign has proven such a hit over the years, and why we still can’t get enough of our yearly listening stats.

“Part of the charm of Spotify Wrapped is the fact that it’s so easily sharable.” Alex told us.

“The campaign provides users with fun facts and snapshots of their listening habits over an entire year, designed in such a way that it’s immediately tempting to hit the share button and post those graphs and graphics on socials. The more that people do that, the more the fomo kicks in and followers, living up to their name, follow suit.”

Music is something that we’ll never get tired of talking about, which is why this viral campaign has now become a fully fledged cultural phenomenon.”

Spotify’s creatives can also take plenty of credit for the longevity of this campaign. “Every time Spotify Wrapped releases, it’s slightly different to the campaigns that came before it.

“Listeners are treated to different twists on data interpretation, and the visualisations chosen to display a user’s key data are always fresh and new.”

The timing of Spotify Wrapped’s release, in the run-up to the holidays, has also proven important to its longevity. What started as a simple marketing campaign has since become a vital part of the festivities for many.

As entertainment expert Alex Griffiths explains, “Spotify Wrapped’s annual release now signifies that the most wonderful time of the year is officially here!

“When our socials are suddenly flooded with obscure listening stats from our nearest and dearest we now know, for a fact, that Mariah’s finally finished defrosting and it’s time to deck those halls.”