WWE John Cena Retirement Odds: Can He Beat Gunther In His Final Match?

This is it, folks. The end is nigh.

John Cena: The Doctor of Thuganomics, Big Match John, the epitome of ‘Ruthless Aggression’ is about to retire. That’s right, after this? “You can’t see him”… in a wrestling ring.

John Cena’s farewell tour has been a wild mixture of questionable celebrity cameos (”Why are you even here and where did you get that WWE title belt, Travis Scott?”) and absolute banger matches. Despite being on the back end of a stellar career: John Cena can still ‘go’.

John Cena’s final opponent will be decided by the ‘The Last Time Is Now’ Tournament over the next few weeks, with the winner taking on Big John in his last appearance on Saturday Night’s Main Event in December.

As the Oddspedia resident wrestling expert, federation agnostic, and WWE conspiracy theorist: I’ve put together hypothetical John Cena retirement odds for some of the biggest scenarios we may see play out in the coming weeks and months.

The odds displayed are purely speculative and intended for entertainment purposes only.

John Cena retirement odds: Will John Cena win his last match?

Will John Cena win his last match?

❌ John Cena Loses | -400 | 80.00%

Wrestling tradition dictates a wrestler loses his last match. It’s a kindness to the future of the business that you elevate another talent to help them get over with the crowd.

John Cena has nothing to prove, has been extremely vocal about his desire to make his last show focus on the future of the business, and he’ll likely put Gunther over clean or overcome incredible odds only to lose after multiple kickouts.

✅ John Cena Wins | +250 | 25.87%

John Cena winning the last match is still a possibility at over 25% probability, however if he does it will be a big shock.

John is an entertainer at heart, but he’s also a traditionalist. Gunther is 38 years old, and we’d have liked to see him face someone younger… but Cena’s nailed on to put the younger man over and take the loss.

John Cena retirement odds: Will John Cena go into the WWE Hall of Fame in 2026?

Will John Cena go into the WWE Hall of Fame in 2026?

👍 Yes | -9900 | 99.0%

As sure as a… very sure thing. Expect it to be announced before his final match. No discussion needed.

👎 No | +1565 | 6.0%

Hey, c’mon. It’s John Cena.

John Cena retirement odds: How long will John Cena’s retirement actually last?

⬆️ Over 3.5 Years | -275 | 73.3%

John Cena has said he intends to retire and never wrestle again. He’s been very earnest in this and explained his reasons for it.

The favorite in this John Cena retirement odds market heavily relies on Cena being a man of his word and never lacing the boots up again.

⬇️ Under 3.5 Years | +220 | 31.3%

We can rely on three things: death, taxes, and wrestling retirements being temporary.

Big name wrestling retirements are rarely permanent. Many of the biggest names in wrestling said they’d never step foot in the ring again, only to subsequently slide back in to the trunks and back through the ropes.

Here’s a cross section of just some of the stars to set a precedent of unreliability in staying away from the squared circle:

From the people above, it is worth highlighting Terry Funk, who had at least eight matches that were billed as a ‘retirement match’ – definitely the most egregious is his return 11 days after losing to Bret Hart on September 11, 1997 at a show to celebrate his career.

For a real treat: go back and watch the whole thing unfold in the documentary, Beyond The Mat.

So can we really trust a wrestler to stay retired? Probably not. But at least there’s a precedent of the time out of the ring being 5 years, 5 months based on our research – so the Over in this market is the smart play.

Disclaimer: The odds displayed for entertainment, political, and other non-sporting events on this page are purely speculative and intended for entertainment purposes only. These are not real betting markets offered by licensed operators. Please note that the odds above have been generated by Oddspedia for this article only. They are not necessarily reflective of the actual probability of the event occurring and it is not possible to place a wager on this event through Oddspedia. Any implied probabilities derived from these odds are not based on professional bookmaking standards and should not be used for actual wagering decisions. Please gamble responsibly with licensed providers.