Canada’s World Cup campaign has taken a historic turn after a 1-0 win over South Africa in the Round of 32, marking their first-ever knockout stage victory. Canada is the first team to advance and will play the winner of Morocco and the Netherlands on July 4 in Houston.

Canada World Cup Odds 2026: Best Bets against Morocco
- Check out the latest Canada World Cup odds markets
- Canada a World Cup longshot at +25000
- Is a quarterfinal appearance realistic for Canada?
Despite having never won a World Cup match, Canada has the second-shortest odds to win Group B, behind Switzerland and ahead of Bosnia-Herzegovina and Qatar...
Although they’ll be a massive underdog against either side, the Canada World Cup odds have significantly shortened following their Round of 32 win.
In this article we take a look at all of the available Canada World Cup odds…
Canada World Cup 2026 Odds
| Market | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Canada to win World Cup | +25000 | 0.40% |
| Canada to reach semifinal | +2200 | 4.35% |
| Canada to reach quarterfinal | +220 | 31.25% |
| Jonathan David top goalscorer | +8000 | 1.23% |
Odds accurate as of July 3
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Canada to win World Cup odds | +25000 at FanDuel
Canada is far from a favourite in the World Cup outright odds. They opened at +12500 and were +22500 heading into the knockout stage. The Canada World Cup odds shortened to +15000 after an historic victory over South Africa, but have since settled at around +25000 after Portugal, Spain, England, and other favourites punched their ticket to the Round of 16.
Canada, one of our World Cup sleeper picks, entered this year’s tournament having never won a match in their two previous World Cup appearances, but Canada Soccer is clearly trending in the right direction, investing heavily in the men’s national team in recent years. Those efforts have paid dividends with several firsts, including their first World Cup point, win, and knockout stage appearance.
While the Reds are a massive longshot to go all the way, the Canada World Cup odds to win may become more realistic now that star player Alphonso Davies has returned to the pitch. If he is to start against Morocco in the Round of 16, Davies would be a prime selection among World Cup prop bets to record at least 1 shot on target.
Canada to reach World Cup semifinal | +2200 at bet365
Canada’s path to the semifinal is an uphill climb, even after their historic 1-0 win over South Africa, which secured their place among the final 16. To reach the final four, they would need to upset Morocco, the sixth-ranked country in the world, in the Round of 16, followed by another win as a heavy underdog in the quarterfinals – potentially against France.
The Canada World Cup odds to reach this stage remain long, reflecting the difficulty of stringing together multiple knockout wins against elite European and African sides, but their defensive structure keeps them competitive in low-margin matches.
Jonathan David top World Cup goalscorer | +8000 at bet365
Bettors looking for a viable longshot in the World Cup Golden Boot odds had to be thrilled with David’s three goal effort against Qatar. The Juventus FC striker had only six goals in 20 caps in Serie A this season but has been a consistent offensive force for Canada, scoring 42 in 78 international caps.
David, at one point, had the sixth-shortest Golden Boot odds. They’ve now stabilized at +8000 after goalless efforts against Switzerland to conclude the group stage and another against South Africa in the Round of 16. Now, for a bet in the Jonathan David odds in this market to hit, Canada would likely have to advance to the finals, with David scoring at least once in every match. He’s currently three goals behind tournament scoring leaders Lionel Messi and Kylian Mbappe.
Canada to reach World Cup quarterfinal | +220 at bet365
Canada’s chances of reaching the quarterfinals remain realistic on paper, but still require a major upset, as they would need to win just one knockout match against Morocco. They famously played Morocco well at the 2022 World Cup, narrowly losing 2-1 despite creating chances, showing they can compete at that level.
As of July 3, bet365 had Morocco as -134 favourites in the three-way moneyline market. Canada was a massive +400 underdog.
Canada vs
Morocco: Same-Game Parlay Picks
| Same-Game Parlay Leg | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | +250 | 28.6% |
| Alphonso Davies to score or assist | +300 | 25.0% |
| Jonathan David 1+ shot on target | -138 | 58.0% |
| Combined SGP Odds | +1600 | 5.9% |
Canada has already shown it can grind out knockout results after edging South Africa 1-0, while Morocco proved its resilience by eliminating the Netherlands on penalties after a 1-1 draw. That makes another tightly contested, low-margin match a realistic script, with the draw carrying value.
Alphonso Davies is Canada’s most dynamic attacking threat, capable of creating or finishing chances in transition, making a goal contribution an appealing plus-money play, even if he plays 30 minutes or fewer; he made an immediate impact coming off the sidelines against South Africa. Jonathan David remains Canada’s focal point in the final third, and even against a disciplined Moroccan defense, backing him to register at least one shot on target fits a match where Canada should rely heavily on its star striker to generate scoring opportunities.
Canada World Cup Squad
FIFA announced the official 26-man rosters for the 48 World Cup teams on June 2. The US hosted a live fan celebration to announce its roster on May 26, while Canada’s first opponent, Bosnia and Herzegovina, announced its roster on May 11.
Jesse Marsch announced a 32-man roster for Canada’s pre-World Cup friendlies against Uzbekistan and Ireland. He narrowed that down to 26 during a live broadcast on TSN on Friday, May 29.
Here’s a look at Canada’s youthful roster, which includes nearly a dozen players who weren’t part of the squad in 2022.
- Attack: Jonathan David, Cyle Larin, Promise David, Tani Oluwaseyi
- Midfield: Ismael Kone, Stephen Eustaquio, Tajon Buchanan, Jacob Shaffelburg, Liam Millar, Jonathan Osorio, Nathan Saliba, Ali Ahmed, Jayden Nelson
- Defense: Richie Laryea, Derek Cornelius, Moise Bombito, Alistair Johnson, Alphonso Davies, Luc de Fougerolles, Alfie Jones, Niko Sigur, Joel Waterman, Mathieu Choinière
- Goal: Maxime Crepeau, Dayne St. Clair, Owen Goodman
How to Bet on Canada at the World Cup
There are many different betting markets for Canada at the World Cup, including traditional markets for their group stage games (moneyline, total, etc.) and futures bets like those listed above. You can check out specialty markets, operators, and more in our World Cup 2026 betting guide.
A good strategy is to compare prices on sites like Oddspedia to find marginal gains, while others take advantage of best World Cup betting offers to boost potential returns. Keeping an eye on promotions, including free bets, can also add extra value throughout the tournament. You can also check out our daily World Cup best bets to wager on Canada and other teams.
Finding Value When Betting on Canada Odds at the World Cup
Comparing odds across the best World Cup bookmakers is a great start for finding the most attractive betting options in Canada World Cup markets. Keep an eye on changes in odds as news breaks to try to find the best value.
You should also pay attention to recent form and tactical matchups that might highlight some areas for opportunity.
Canada World Cup odds FAQs
What is the safest Canada bet at the World Cup?
There’s no such thing as a “safe” bet, but bookmakers consider Canada as a good selection to at least make the knockout stage, priced at around -450 make it out of their group. Remember, the top two teams in each of the 12 groups earn automatic qualification for the knockout stage. That leaves eight more spots open for third-place finishers.
What are the other Canada World Cup betting markets?
Depending on the bookmaker, there are a plethora of betting markets for the World Cup. You can also bet on the top goalscorer for the team, what place they’ll finish in the group, and stage of elimination.
What are the Canada World Cup odds to make the finals?
Canada are currently listed at +4000 in the Canada World Cup odds market to reach the final of the FIFA World Cup. This price reflects them as a long-shot contender, but still within reach of a deep tournament run if they continue progressing through knockout rounds. A combination of strong defensive performances and key attacking contributions would be needed to justify a finals push at that price point.









