With Conference League Matchday 3 complete, Brighton remain favourites after extending their unbeaten start with a victory at Getafe. Monaco and Panathinaikos have both won their opening three matches, while Ajax impressed with a six-goal display against Midtjylland. Which clubs are best placed to challenge for the trophy as the league phase reaches its halfway point?
Conference League Winner Odds 2026/27: Brighton Clear Favourites
- Conference League winner odds 2026/27
- Can anyone challenge Brighton?
- Our 7/1 pick to win in Istanbul
Action Images via Reuters/Andrew Boyers
Recent European pedigree could count for plenty once the knockout rounds begin...
We compare the latest Conference League winner odds, assess the leading teams’ European experience, squad strength and league-phase prospects, and revisit our pre-season prediction.
Use our guide to the best football betting sites to see which bookmakers cover the competition, and compare the latest football odds on Oddspedia.
Europa Conference League winner odds 2026/27
The table below shows the teams bookmakers currently rate as the leading contenders to win the 2026/27 Conference League.
| Team | Fractional odds | Decimal odds | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
 Brighton |
2/1 | 3.00 | 33.33% |
 Monaco |
11/2 | 6.50 | 15.38% |
 Ajax |
8/1 | 9.00 | 11.11% |
 SC Freiburg |
10/1 | 11.00 | 9.09% |
 Atalanta |
12/1 | 13.00 | 7.69% |
 Panathinaikos |
16/1 | 17.00 | 5.88% |
 Braga |
20/1 | 21.00 | 4.76% |
 FC Copenhagen |
20/1 | 21.00 | 4.76% |
Odds provided by bet365, accurate as of 9 November 2026.
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UEFA Conference League winner odds analysis
Brighton edge Getafe to remain unbeaten (🟰 2/1)
Brighton have taken seven points from their opening three Conference League matches. After beating Kauno Zalgiris 4-0 and drawing at Jablonec, they secured a 1-0 victory away to Getafe. Malick Yalcouye scored the winner in the second half as the Seagulls overcame a difficult test in Spain.
This is Brighton’s second European campaign after they topped a difficult Europa League group in 2023/24 before losing to Roma in the round of 16. Their experience should help, while finishing eighth in the Premier League last season showed they are capable of competing for European places domestically.
The narrow win and draw underline that Brighton won’t always have things their own way, despite their squad strength. Monaco at home and a trip to Panathinaikos stand out among their remaining fixtures. Brighton remain shorter-priced than any team in the Europa League winner odds, although their knockout record is still limited compared with some rivals.
Monaco stay perfect as Ajax hit six (Monaco 🟰 11/2; Ajax 9/1 🔻 8/1)
Monaco have won all three league-phase matches, following victories over CSKA Sofia and Freiburg with a 2-0 home win against Nordsjaelland. Mathys Detourbet and Matthis Abline scored as Monaco moved to nine points, establishing themselves among the strongest performers in the competition. A visit to Hearts comes next, with Brighton away still to come.
Ajax produced the standout attacking performance of Matchday 3, thrashing Midtjylland 6-1 in Denmark. The sides were level at half-time before the Dutch club took control against ten men. After losing their opener at Hajduk Split, Ajax have responded with consecutive victories over Atalanta and Midtjylland, giving them six points from three matches.
Freiburg win in Turkey as Atalanta are held (Freiburg 14/1 🔻 10/1; Atalanta 8/1 ▲ 12/1)
Photo by MARKKU ULANDER/LEHTIKUVA/Sipa USA
Freiburg responded to their heavy defeat at Monaco with a valuable 1-0 victory away to Trabzonspor. Lukas Kubler scored the only goal in the first half, while Freiburg defended well to secure their second league-phase win. Six points from three matches have strengthened their position, and their experience of reaching last season’s Europa League final remains an important asset.
Atalanta were held to a 1-1 home draw by Kairat Almaty on Matchday 3, needing a late Nikola Krstovic equaliser after falling behind. The result followed their 2-0 defeat at Ajax, leaving them with four points from three matches. Their Europa League triumph in 2023/24 remains evidence of their European pedigree, but they have struggled to convert that experience into consistent results so far.
Freiburg have shown they can recover from a difficult away defeat, while Atalanta will need to improve against less-fancied opponents if they are to progress deep into the knockout rounds.
Panathinaikos stay perfect as Braga are held and Copenhagen win (Panathinaikos 14/1 ▲ 16/1; Braga 14/1 ▲ 20/1; Copenhagen 🟰 20/1)
Panathinaikos have maintained their perfect record after beating CSKA Sofia 2-1 on Matchday 3. That victory followed wins over Borac Banja Luka and Kairat Almaty, giving them nine points from three fixtures. Their attacking performances have established them among the competition’s strongest starters, with a trip to Nordsjaelland next.
Braga followed their 2-0 victory over Gent with a goalless draw away to Aarhus. They have four points from three matches after losing their opener at Copenhagen. Their run to last season’s Europa League semi-finals demonstrates their European pedigree, but they still have work to do to establish themselves among the leading Conference League contenders.
Copenhagen followed their 3-0 win over Braga and 2-2 draw at Crvena Zvezda with a 2-1 home victory against Iberia Tbilisi. Seven points from three matches represent a strong start, and their experience against higher-level European opposition should help as the league phase progresses.
Midtjylland, meanwhile, suffered a heavy 6-1 home defeat against Ajax after reaching half-time level at 1-1. They have just one point from three matches, following a draw at Egnatia and a home defeat to Sint-Truidense. Their European experience has not translated into results so far, leaving them with considerable ground to make up.
Conference League winner prediction
SC Freiburg to win the Conference League (7/1 ▲ 10/1)
Brighton may have the strongest squad on paper, but Freiburg were my pre-tournament selection at 7/1. Their run to last season’s Europa League final showed they can negotiate a league phase and several knockout ties against opposition stronger than many of the teams in this season’s Conference League.
Freiburg began this campaign with a 7-2 aggregate win over Motherwell in qualifying, then beat Jablonec 3-2 in their opening league-phase match. A 3-0 defeat away to Monaco exposed defensive concerns, but they responded with a valuable 1-0 victory at Trabzonspor on Matchday 3. Lukas Kubler scored the winner as Freiburg moved to six points from three matches.
Freiburg ultimately fell short against Aston Villa in last season’s final, but that European experience gives them a foundation for another run. Their remaining fixtures include home games against Twente and Panathinaikos, followed by a trip to Kauno Zalgiris. I’m sticking with my original selection at the current 10/1, although they will need more consistent performances against stronger opponents to go deep in the competition.
If you are backing an outright selection, compare the latest betting offers before placing a bet, as promotions and terms differ between bookmakers.
Conference League winner odds in full
The table below covers the latest Conference League winner odds market.
| Team | Fractional odds | Decimal odds | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 2/1 | 3.00 | 33.33% |
| Monaco | 11/2 | 6.50 | 15.38% |
| Ajax | 8/1 | 9.00 | 11.11% |
| SC Freiburg | 10/1 | 11.00 | 9.09% |
| Atalanta | 12/1 | 13.00 | 7.69% |
| Panathinaikos | 16/1 | 17.00 | 5.88% |
| Braga | 20/1 | 21.00 | 4.76% |
| FC Copenhagen | 20/1 | 21.00 | 4.76% |
| FC Twente | 20/1 | 21.00 | 4.76% |
| Trabzonspor | 25/1 | 26.00 | 3.85% |
| Lugano | 28/1 | 29.00 | 3.45% |
| Crvena Zvezda | 33/1 | 34.00 | 2.94% |
| Sint-Truidense | 40/1 | 41.00 | 2.44% |
| SK Brann | 40/1 | 41.00 | 2.44% |
| Gent | 50/1 | 51.00 | 1.96% |
| CS U Craiova | 50/1 | 51.00 | 1.96% |
| Hajduk Split | 66/1 | 67.00 | 1.49% |
| Midtjylland | 100/1 | 101.00 | 0.99% |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 100/1 | 101.00 | 0.99% |
| Getafe | 100/1 | 101.00 | 0.99% |
| Mjallby AIF | 100/1 | 101.00 | 0.99% |
| Pafos FC | 150/1 | 151.00 | 0.66% |
| Borac Banja Luka | 150/1 | 151.00 | 0.66% |
| KF Egnatia | 250/1 | 251.00 | 0.40% |
| Hearts | 250/1 | 251.00 | 0.40% |
| FK Jablonec | 250/1 | 251.00 | 0.40% |
| Riga FC | 250/1 | 251.00 | 0.40% |
| FC Thun | 250/1 | 251.00 | 0.40% |
| Kairat Almaty | 500/1 | 501.00 | 0.20% |
| AGF Aarhus | 500/1 | 501.00 | 0.20% |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC | 750/1 | 751.00 | 0.13% |
| KuPS Kuopio | 1000/1 | 1001.00 | 0.10% |
| CSKA Sofia | 1000/1 | 1001.00 | 0.10% |
| FC Iberia 1999 | 1500/1 | 1501.00 | 0.07% |
| FK Kauno Zalgiris | 2000/1 | 2001.00 | 0.05% |
| Inter Club d’Escaldes | 2500/1 | 2501.00 | 0.04% |
Odds provided by bet365, accurate as of 9 November 2026.
How does the 2026/27 Conference League work?
The Conference League uses a 36-team league phase, but unlike the Champions League and Europa League, each club plays six matches rather than eight. Teams face six different opponents, with three fixtures at home and three away.
The top eight teams in the final league table qualify directly for the round of 16. Clubs finishing from ninth to 24th enter the knockout phase play-offs, while those in 25th to 36th are eliminated.
From the round of 16 onwards, the competition follows the traditional two-legged knockout format through to the semi-finals, before the trophy is decided in a one-match final.
With the league phase under way, our Conference League predictions cover the latest fixtures throughout the competition.
Key Conference League dates for 2026/27
| Stage | Date |
|---|---|
| League phase begins | 15 October 2026 |
| League phase ends | 17 December 2026 |
| Knockout phase play-offs | 18 & 25 February 2027 |
| Round of 16 | 11 & 18 March 2027 |
| Quarter-finals | 8 & 15 April 2027 |
| Semi-finals | 29 April & 6 May 2027 |
| Conference League final | 2 June 2027 |
The 2026/27 Conference League final will be played at Besiktas Park in Istanbul.
Conference League winner odds FAQs
Who are the favourites to win the 2026/27 Conference League?
Brighton remain favourites in the latest Conference League winner odds at 2/1 after extending their unbeaten start with a 1-0 win at Getafe. Monaco follow at 11/2 after winning all three league-phase matches, while Ajax have moved into third at 8/1 following their 6-1 victory over Midtjylland. Freiburg are next at 10/1 after beating Trabzonspor, ahead of Atalanta, Panathinaikos, Braga and Copenhagen.
Who won the Conference League last season?
Crystal Palace won the 2025/26 Conference League by beating Rayo Vallecano 1-0 in the final in Leipzig. They became the third English club to win the competition, following West Ham in 2022/23 and Chelsea in 2024/25. The victory gave Palace their first major European trophy and qualified them for this season’s Europa League.
How many matches does each team play in the Conference League league phase?
Each club plays six league-phase matches, three at home and three away, against six different opponents. The top eight qualify directly for the round of 16, while teams finishing ninth to 24th enter a two-legged play-off. Clubs finishing 25th or lower are eliminated from the competition and do not move into another UEFA tournament.
Where can I compare Conference League betting odds?
Oddspedia lets you compare Conference League prices across bookmakers as the outright market changes throughout the season. Comparing prices can be useful in a long-term winner market because bookmakers may offer different odds on the same club. You can also check the latest free bets before placing a wager, subject to eligibility and promotion terms.
Stuart Brown
