USA World Cup Odds 2026: Best Bets Ahead of Round of 16 Clash with Belgium

The USMNT secured first place in their group with a win against Australia in their second match, meaning their 3-2 loss against Turkey had no implications on their knockout stage draw. They took advantage of a favorable draw, beating Bosnia-Herzegovina 2-0 in the Round of 16 on July 1.

The US now faces its toughest test at the World Cup, playing Belgium in a do-or-die game Monday, July 6 in Seattle, Washington.

In this article we take a look at all of the available USMNT World Cup odds…

USA World Cup 2026 Odds

Odds provided by bet365 and FanDuel – accurate as of July 6

USA to reach World Cup quarterfinal odds | -125 at bet365

There are now only 6 countries with better odds in World Cup predictions to make the quarterfinals, which is quite remarkable considering the US’ recent poor performance against European opponents. Now that they’re out of the group, the only thing standing in the way of the Americans’ World Cup quarterfinal odds is Belgium, which is notable because they’ve lost eight straight against European teams, a stretch in which they’ve been outscored 22-6.

Interestingly, in part due to home field advantage, the USA World Cup odds favor the Americans (+150) in their Round of 16 clash against Belgium (+175). Belgium is just behind the US in World Cup quarterfinal odds at +100.

Spain (-150), Brazil (-225), and Morocco (-275) are right ahead of the US in World Cup quarterfinal odds. The Americans have slightly more favorable odds than Colombia (-110), Belgium (+100), and Mexico (+100) thanks in part to home field advantage.

USA to reach World Cup semifinal odds | +400 at bet365

The USA World Cup semi-final odds are sitting in the long-shot range but are trending shorter after a strong start to the tournament. Their odds to reach this stage opened at well over +1000, but have since leveled at +400 on bet365. That’s a notable shift compared to pre-tournament expectations, driven by a dominant Group D performance and a routine 2-0 win over Bosnia-Herzegovina in the Round of 32.

Winning their group has opened up a softer knockout path, and the USA World Cup odds have tightened further thanks to home-field advantage, with packed stadiums and familiar conditions across North America giving them a real edge.

While still underdogs against elite European sides, they’re slightly favored against Belgium. A win against them would mean the USMNT only has to beat one of Portugal, Croatia, Spain, or Austria to reach the semis,

USA to win World Cup odds | +2800 at bet365

It’s amazing what a couple of wins – and dominant performances at that – can do for a team’s World Cup outright odds.

The US has never made it past the World Cup quarterfinals, with the exception of the 13-team tournament in 1930, and have only once advanced past the Round of 16. Yet, their outright odds shrunk from +6600 all the way to +3300 after their first two Group D odds victories, which may help them secure a favorable Round of 32 draw. They’re now down to +2800 after their Round of 32 win over Bosnia-Herzegovina.

The US is nowhere near traditional powers in terms of World Cup outright odds, but it’s worth noting that crazier things have happened and, considering they’re hosting, there may be some value in a longshot bet like this. Of the 23 World Cup hosts to date, six have been champions.

USMNT World Cup odds: USA Player Props

Folarin Balogun Golden Ball | +5000 at bet365

With a two-goal effort against Paraguay, Folarin Balogun has the shortest odds to lead the US in goals at the World Cup. He has six goals in his last 10 USMNT caps and is even rising in the Golden Ball odds.

Balogun is currently the “in-form” striker for the USMNT. He also scored nine goals for AS Monaco from February 17 to the conclusion of the season, including a blistering streak of scoring in seven consecutive Ligue 1 matches.

Balogun’s chances at winning the Golden Ball took a massive hit with an unfortunate red card against Bosnia-Herzegovina. However, in a controversial decision FIFA reversed his red card, which allows him to play against Belgium and makes him scoring among the best World Cup 2026 prop bets in Monday’s game. That decision also shortened Balogun’s Golden Ball odds from +8000 to +5000.

Christian Pulisic Most Assists | +5000 at bet365

Despite trailing the tournament leaders, Christian Pulisic remains an intriguing longshot to finish with the most assists at the World Cup. The Christian Pulisic odds in this market are informed by the fact that he has just one assist after missing a game and a half due to injury. That absence leaves him four assists behind tournament leader Michael Olise, but the U.S. is still alive and Pulisic remains its primary offensive weapon.

If the Americans can reach the final, his creativity on set pieces and in transition could quickly close the gap and make this market far more competitive.

Matt Freese Golden Glove | +2000 at bet365

Matt Freese remains a true longshot in the World Cup Golden Glove odds market despite currently sitting with the 10th-shortest odds at bet365. The NYCFC keeper faces an uphill battle given the likelihood of a difficult knockout-stage path for the US, while his career-worst 1.40 goals-against-per-90 rate this MLS season hardly inspires confidence in a deep tournament run.

However, he made a pair of saves in the US’ 2-0 win over Australia, recording his first clean sheet of the tournament, and had another against Bosnia-Herzegovina. If the US can go on a deep run into at least the semifinal, he may be a viable longshot in one of the most competitive US World Cup odds markets.

USA World Cup odds for matchday betting

With the knockout stage heating up, there’s no shortage of value in the latest USA World Cup odds. Whether you’re looking for World Cup best bets on match winners and totals or targeting World Cup prop bets like goalscorers, assists, shots on target, and player performance markets, every U.S. match offers plenty of betting opportunities.

Below, we’ve highlighted our favorite wagers for the Americans’ next match against Belgium.

I’m backing this USA vs Belgium same-game parlay because I think it tells a realistic story of how this Round of 16 match unfolds. Belgium has the experience to avoid defeat, so I’m taking double chance (Belgium or draw), but I still expect the Americans to push the pace and create opportunities. That’s why I like both teams to score, with Christian Pulisic contributing a goal or an assist and Folarin Balogun putting at least two shots on target as the focal point of the attack.

If the U.S. pushes Belgium for long stretches without quite getting over the line, this script fits perfectly. It also aligns with my outlook on the latest USA World Cup odds, making this one of my favorite parlays on the knockout slate.

I also like each of these World Cup prop bets individually, but they also make sense as a USA World Cup same-game parlay, priced at +750 on bet365.

USMNT World Cup Squad

The USMNT announced its roster on May 26. Here’s a look at the 26 players Pochettino is banking on helping the national team achieve its best-ever World Cup result.

• Attack: Folarin Balogun, Haji Wright, Ricardo Pepi, Alejandro Zendejas, Tim Weah
• Midfield: Tyler Adams, Weston McKennie, Malik Tillman, Sebastian Berhalter, Cristian Roldan, Brenden Aaronson, Christian Pulisic, Gio Reyna, Max Arfsten
• Defense: Antonee Robinson, Chris Richards, Tim Ream, Sergiño Dest, Alex Freeman, Mark McKenzie, Miles Robinson, Joe Scally, Auston Trusty
• Goal: Matt Freese, Matt Turner, Chris Brady

How to Bet on USA at the World Cup

Check out our World Cup 2026 betting guide for a better idea of the betting markets and resources you can use to inform your bets this summer. In addition to the aforementioned futures, you can wager on individual games in markets like moneyline, total, first goalscorer, and correct score.

A good strategy is to compare prices on sites like Oddspedia to find marginal gains, while others take advantage of best World Cup betting offers to boost potential returns. Keeping an eye on promotions, including free bets, can also add extra value throughout the tournament.

Finding Value When Betting on USA Odds at the World Cup

Comparing odds across the best World Cup sportsbooks is a great start for finding the most attractive betting options in USA World Cup markets. Keep an eye on changes in USMNT odds as news breaks to try to find the best value.

You should also pay attention to recent form and tactical matchups that might highlight some areas for opportunity. The Americans split their two pre-World Cup friendlies, beating Senegal and losing to Germany.

USA World Cup odds FAQs

Is USA good value to win the World Cup?

At +2800, the Americans are a true longshot in the World Cup outright odds. While they’ve looked good early and have the benefit of home field advantage, they’re winless in their last eight matches against European sides. That’s something bookmakers are clearly taking into consideration when determining the US World Cup odds.

Who are the favorites to be the USMNT’s top scorer?

The favorites to be the USMNT’s top scorer are Folarin Balogun and Christian Pulisic, with Gio Reyna in the next tier of contenders. Balogun is the main striker and early leader in goals, giving him the clearest path to the Golden Boot. Pulisic’s chance creation and penalties keep him firmly in contention, while Reyna offers breakout upside from midfield

What is the safest USA bet at the World Cup?

While there’s no “safe” bet in gambling, the US should at the very least get out of their group, especially when considering 32 of the 48 teams make the knockout stage.

Before the start of the tournament, bet365 listed the USA World Cup odds for the qualification yes/no market at -800 for yes and +500 for no. They’ve made good on the “yes” bet, securing first place in Group D by winning their first two matches.