The preseason NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds board for 2026-27 was headlined by a pair of impactful running backs – Jahmyr Gibbs of the Detroit Lions and Bijan Robinson of the Atlanta Falcons.
There are several other players with good value NFL OPOY odds through the first few weeks of the season, including 2025 NFL Offensive Player of the Year winner Jaxon Smith-Njigba and current 2026 favorite Kenneth Walker III.
Only five wide receivers have won the award since 1972...
Smith was the fourth wide receiver to win the award since 2019, but historically it has gone to running backs and quarterbacks.
Read on to learn more about the current list of NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds favorites.
| Rank | Player | Position | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kenneth Walker III |
RB | +210 | 32.26% |
| 2 |  Jahmyr Gibbs |
RB | +250 | 28.57% |
| 3 |  Bijan Robinson |
RB | +550 | 15.38% |
| 4 |  Jaxon Smith-Njigba |
WR | +900 | 10.00% |
| 5 |  Derrick Henry |
RB | +2200 | 4.35% |
| 6 |  Puka Nacua |
WR | +2500 | 3.85% |
| 7 |  Josh Allen |
QB | +2800 | 3.45% |
| 8 | James Cook |
RB | +3000 | 3.23% |
| 9 |  CeeDee Lamb |
WR | +3300 | 2.94% |
| 10 |  Brock Bowers |
TE | +3300 | 2.94% |
NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds courtesy of bet365 – accurate as of October 20
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Kenneth Walker III | +210 odds to win NFL Offensive Player of the YearKenneth Walker III has seen his NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds shorten from +375, reflecting his impact in Kansas City’s unbeaten start. Walker delivered another standout performance in Week 6, rushing for 128 yards and two touchdowns on 19 carries in a 22-6 win over the Los Angeles Chargers. He added 11 receiving yards on two catches, finishing with 139 yards from scrimmage and two total touchdowns.
Walker’s production gives him a strong case in the NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds, particularly if he continues to handle a significant workload and find the end zone. His teammate Patrick Mahomes is also a major award contender, sitting at the top of the NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds after returning from a torn ACL and LCL. Mahomes threw for 272 yards in the Chargers win, helping Kansas City move to 5-0.
Jahmyr Gibbs | +250 odds to win NFL Offensive Player of the YearJahmyr Gibbs remains a leading contender in the NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds, with his explosive dual-threat ability making him a key part of Detroit’s offense. Through five games, Gibbs has recorded 504 rushing yards, seven rushing touchdowns, 243 receiving yards and two receiving touchdowns, totaling 747 yards from scrimmage. His most recent outing was particularly impressive, as he rushed for 151 yards and two touchdowns while adding five catches for 56 yards in a 45-21 win over Arizona.
Gibbs benefits from playing in a high-scoring Lions offense, giving him opportunities to build on those numbers. Detroit also has a defensive award candidate in Aidan Hutchinson, who is worth monitoring in the NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds as he looks to generate consistent pressure and make game-changing plays.
Puka Nacua | +2500 odds to win NFL Offensive Player of the YearPuka Nacua remains an appealing sleeper in the NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds, particularly with Davante Adams’ injury potentially creating even more opportunities for the Rams receiver to accumulate receiving yards and find the end zone. Nacua returned in Week 4 after missing two games with groin soreness and immediately became a focal point of the offense, catching nine passes for 125 yards against Philadelphia while adding a two-yard rushing touchdown. His 12 targets highlighted his importance to the passing game.
Nacua’s 2025 campaign included 129 catches for 1,715 yards and 10 touchdowns, demonstrating his award-winning potential. Although Los Angeles has slipped down the Super Bowl odds board, the Rams remain contenders given their talent, experience and championship pedigree. If Nacua benefits from Adams’ absence and maintains a heavy workload, he could build momentum in both the receiving statistics and the award race.
Reading NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds is straightforward. Odds are usually presented in a format like +500 or -200. Positive odds (e.g., +500) show how much profit you’d make on a $100 bet. For example, a $100 bet at +500 odds would win you $500, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $600.
For the NFL Offensive Player of the Year, there is a panel of 50 AP sportswriters who regularly cover the NFL that ultimately decide which of the NFL OPOY candidates win the award. The award is then announced in the week leading up to the Super Bowl at the annual NFL Honors event.
The votes by the sportswriters and media members are cast at the end of the regular season and before the playoffs begin.
Placing a futures bet on the NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds is a five-step process that focuses on finding the best value.
Start by comparing OPOY odds across multiple legal sportsbooks (e.g., bet365, Stake). Odds for longshot candidates can vary significantly (+2000 vs. +2500), directly impacting your potential return. Selecting the best price ensures maximum value for your bet.
Complete the online registration with the chosen bookmaker, providing necessary personal details for identity verification. When depositing funds, consider any available welcome bonuses, as these offers can effectively reduce the risk on your initial portfolio investment.
Once logged in, navigate the bookmaker’s menu to find the market. The path is typically: NFL → Futures → Awards → Offensive Player of the Year (OPOY).
Identify your 3-4 preferred longshot players and click on their odds to add them to your bet slip. For each selection, enter the same wagering amount (stake) to create your diversified portfolio. It is crucial to place these as individual straight bets, not a parlay.
Before finalizing, review the bet slip to confirm the players, the locked-in odds, and the total amount risked. Once satisfied, submit the bets to secure your longshot odds for the entire NFL season.
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The following three strategies focus on maximizing value, managing risk and exploiting market inefficiencies across the NFL Season.
The core of this strategy is maximizing initial value by placing multiple, small, diversified bets immediately after the odds are released. Your focus should be on 3 to 4 longshot players who are in situations offering high-volume opportunities (e.g., weak position group behind them). By selecting odds of +2000 or higher, you are constructing a portfolio that diversifies risk. If any one of your selections breaks out, the return on the small, pooled stake is massive.
The second stage involves rigorous monitoring of your longshots during the first half of the season (Weeks 1-8) to identify an odds-shortening breakout. You are tracking a sustained run of excellent production (e.g., a QB consistently throwing two or more touchdowns or an RB/WR averaging over 100 scrimmage yards per game). This breakout performance will dramatically shift the market and prepare you for the third strategic step. Volume and consistency are the only metrics that matter here, as they validate the initial preseason bet.
This final, crucial strategy is pure risk management designed to lock in a guaranteed net profit. If your initial longshot has become a top favorite, you identify their closest rival and calculate the precise stake needed to place a bet on that rival. This is the “hedge bet.” The goal is to ensure that regardless of which of the two top candidates ultimately wins the award, you walk away with a guaranteed, significant return on your small initial investment, effectively taking risk off the table late in the season.
When wagering on the NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds or any other NFL player award futures, it is always wise to research betting trends that have been established over the years. Here is a look at some key trends to consider before placing this season’s bets.
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| Position | Winners |
|---|---|
| Running back | 28 |
| Quarterback | 20 |
| Wide receiver | 5 |
To make sure you get the most value on your NFL odds, go to the best NFL betting sites prior to placing your wagers throughout the season.
| Sportsbook bonus | Sportsbook promo code | Sportsbook review |
|---|---|---|
| Stake Promo Code | ODDSMAX | Stake Review |
| bet365 Bonus Code | ODDSPEDIA | bet365 Review |
| Betway Promo Code | N/A | Betway Review |
Take a look at other Oddspedia Insights articles that give you everything you need in order to become a more informed bettor.
| Year | Player | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Jaxon-Smith Njigba | Seattle Seahawks |
| 2024 | Saquon Barkley | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 2023 | Christian McCaffrey | San Francisco 49ers |
| 2022 | Justin Jefferson | Minnesota Vikings |
| 2021 | Cooper Kupp | Los Angeles Rams |
| 2020 | Derrick Henry | Tennessee Titans |
| 2019 | Michael Thomas | New Orleans Saints |
| 2018 | Patrick Mahomes | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2017 | Todd Gurley | Los Angeles Rams |
| 2016 | Matt Ryan | Atlanta Falcons |
| 2015 | Cam Newton | Carolina Panthers |
| 2014 | DeMarco Murray | Dallas Cowboys |
| 2013 | Peyton Manning | Denver Broncos |
Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba took home the NFL Offensive Player of the Year award in 2025. He led the Seahawks to a Super Bowl title, posting a league-best 1,793 receiving yards in just his third season in the league.
The winner of the NFL Offensive Player of the Year award will be selected at the end of the NFL regular season. The winner is announced at the NFL Honors event, which takes place each year during Super Bowl week. All other individual awards are also presented at NFL Honors.
The NFL Offensive Player of the Year award is decided by a panel of 50 AP sportswriters who regularly cover the NFL that vote on the award. The award is then announced in the week leading up to the Super Bowl at the annual NFL Honors event. The votes by the sportswriters and media members are cast at the end of the regular season and before the playoffs begin.
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