French Open Odds, Predictions & Sleeper Picks: Zverev a Big Favorite to Win First Grand Slam

The 2026 French Open, the second grand slam of the ATP/WTA tennis season, takes place from May 24-June 7 at Roland Garros in Paris, France.

Notably absent from the men’s competition is defending champion Carlos Alcaraz, which left Jannik Sinner as the massive betting favorite. But, after his second-round upset, there’s a new favorite in Alexander Zverev. Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek had the shortest French Open odds in the women’s tournament, but also suffered earlier-than-expected exits.

Is it worth backing Zverev in what is now a wide open men’s field? And are there any viable longshot French Open sleeper picks on either side of the bracket?

🎾 2026 Men’s French Open Odd (ATP)

French Open odds provided by bet365 – accurate as of June 4

2026 ATP French Open favorite

Alexander Zverev | -188

Even Alex Zverev wouldn’t have expected himself to the French Open odds favourite as early as the third round, but that’s the position he found himself in after massive favorite Jannik Sinner was ousted in the second round by 56th-ranked Juan Manuel Cerundolo in five sets. Zverev has lost just one set through his first five victories at Roland Garros, and is a betting favorite in French Open odds for his quarterfinal match against Jakub Mensik, ranked No. 27 on the ATP Tour.

Zverev has won 24 ATP titles, but has yet to win a grand slam. He was a runner-up in three of the four grand slams, including the French Open in 2024. This may be his best chance to finally get over the hump, with both Sinner and two-time defending champion Carlos Alcaraz not in the field.

ATP French Open sleeper pick

Flavio Cobolli | +333

Flavio Cobolli stands out as the most intriguing sleeper pick left in the French Open odds market. While he has undoubtedly benefited from a favorable draw, the Italian has taken full advantage, dropping just two sets through his first five matches en route to the semifinals.

Cobolli enters the last four as the favorite against fellow Italian Matteo Arnaldi, giving him a legitimate path to the final. A potential championship clash with Alexander Zverev is more complicated. Cobolli is just 1-3 in their head-to-head series, but that lone victory came on clay in Munich earlier this year, proving he has already shown he can beat Zverev on his best surface.

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📅 2026 French Open schedule

The 2026 French Open runs from May 24 to June 7 at Roland Garros in Paris, with both ATP and WTA singles draws spanning 15 days on clay courts.

• First Round: May 24–26
• Second Round: May 27–28
• Third Round: May 29–30
• Round of 16: May 31–June 1
• Quarterfinals: June 2–3
• Women’s Semifinals: June 4
• Men’s Semifinals: June 5
• Women’s Final: June 6
• Men’s Final: June 7

🏆 Past French Open winners

On the men’s side, Rafael Nadal holds the all-time French Open record with an astonishing 14 Roland Garros titles, cementing his legacy as the “King of Clay.” For the women, Chris Evert owns the record with seven French Open singles championships, achieved between 1974 and 1986.

French Open odds changes and upsets

• June 4: The WTA French Open Final is set and it may be even more surprising than what we get in the men’s draw. 114th-ranked qualifier Maja Chwalinksa, one of the longshot picks in French Open odds to begin the tournament, will play 8th-ranked Mirra Andreeva in Saturday’s final.
• June 1: Americans Frances Tiafoe and Zachary Svajda are out in the Round of 16, leaving Canadian Felix-Auger Aliassime as the lone remaining North American player in the French Open.
• May 31: Popular French Open odds sleeper pick Casper Ruud is eliminated by João Fonseca, who continues his impressive run. Marta Kostyuk beat WTA French Open favorite Iga Swiatek in straight sets.
• May 29: Novak Djokovic had the second-shortest French Open odds entering his match against Brazilian teenager João Fonseca, but lost in five sets after winning the first two.
• May 28: Jannik Sinner, a -370 favorite in the French Open odds, is out of the tournament after a five-set upset loss to 56th-ranked Juan Manuel Cerundolo.
• May 27: João Fonseca, who has the seventh-shortest French Open odds to win, survived a scare in the Round of 64, beating Dino Prizmic after dropping the first two sets. Elena Rybakina, the world No. 2 and two-time French Open quarterfinalist, was upset by Ukraine’s Yulia Starodubtseva in a third set tiebreak.
• May 26: Daniil Medvedev, one of the top-10 favorites in ATP French Open odds, suffers a huge first round upset, losing in five sets to Aussie Adam Walton, ranked No. 97. Also on the men’s side, Cameron Norrie, Alexander Bublik, and Jiri Lehecka are out after first round upsets. Fifth-seeded Jessica Pegula is out in the women’s bracket.

French Open odds betting trends

• On the men’s side, every French Open champion over the last 10 years was ranked inside the ATP Top 5 entering Roland Garros.
• No men’s finalist ranked outside the Top 8 has reached the final in the last decade, showing how difficult it is for true longshots to break through on clay.
• Men’s champions consistently arrive in strong clay form. Every winner over the last decade had already made at least the Australian Open quarterfinal earlier that season.
• Recent ATP winners almost always posted deep runs at key clay warmups like Monte Carlo, Madrid, Rome, or Barcelona before winning in Paris.
• On the women’s side, seven different players won the title across a 10-year stretch, showing far more volatility than the men’s draw.
  Despite the parity, women’s champions still tend to be elite clay players. All 10 winners had won at least 62% of their career clay-court matches entering the tournament.
• Iga Swiatek has won four of the last six French Opens, creating a Nadal-like trend on the WTA side whenever she enters in form.
• North American men have struggled badly at Roland Garros. No American player has won the men’s singles title since Andre Agassi in 1999.
• Clay-court specialists routinely outperform hard-court stars in betting markets. Community betting discussions frequently point to poor historical clay records as a major fade signal for players like Daniil Medvedev.

Other betting markets for French Open odds

French Open odds cover a wide range of tennis betting markets beyond simply picking the tournament winner. Bettors can wager on match winners (moneylines), game spreads, set betting, totals (over/under games), exact scorelines, player props, and live in-play markets as matches unfold.

Futures betting is especially popular at Roland Garros, with markets available for outright champions, quarter winners, finalists, and semifinalists weeks before the tournament begins. Clay-court conditions also make totals and live betting especially attractive because matches often feature long rallies, momentum swings, and five-set battles.

For more information, check out our informative how to bet on tennis guide.

❓ French Open odds FAQs

Who are the best French Open sleeper picks to back this year?

The best French Open sleeper pick to target on the betting board is Flavio Cobolli (+333). The Italian has dropped just two sets through his first five victories at Roland Garros and, should he win his semi-final match, matches up well against either Alexander Zverev or Jakub Mensik.

Who won the most French Opens?

Rafael Nadal holds the record for the most men’s French Open singles titles with 14 championships at Roland Garros. His dominance on clay from 2005 through 2022 earned him the nickname “King of Clay” and made him one of the most successful athletes in sports history.

On the women’s side, Chris Evert owns the record with seven French Open singles titles.

When did the French Open begin?

The French Open officially began in 1891 as a national championship tournament open only to French club members. It became an international major championship in 1925 and later evolved into one of tennis’ four Grand Slam events.

Today, Roland Garros is considered the premier clay-court tournament in the world and is held annually in Paris, France.

How do I read French Open odds?

French Open odds are usually displayed in American format using plus (+) and minus (-) numbers to show favorites and underdogs. A player listed at +800 would return $800 profit on a $100 wager, while a favorite at -350 requires a $350 bet to win $100.

You can also use implied probability calculations to estimate each player’s perceived chance of winning the tournament.

What are the most popular French Open betting markets?

The most common French Open betting markets include outright winner odds, match moneylines, game spreads, set betting, and total games over/unders.

Futures betting is especially popular because sportsbooks release French Open odds weeks before the tournament starts, allowing bettors to target value early. Live betting also attracts major action during clay-court matches because momentum swings and long rallies often create dramatic in-match odds changes.

Why is clay-court form important for French Open betting?

Clay courts play much slower than hard courts or grass, rewarding players with strong endurance, defensive movement, and heavy topspin. Bettors closely analyze clay-court results from tournaments in Monte Carlo, Madrid, Rome, and Barcelona before placing French Open wagers.

Historically, players with proven clay success and strong recent form perform far better at Roland Garros than pure hard-court specialists.