Super Bowl LXI Odds: Bills and 49ers Leading the Way after Week 9

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The Seattle Seahawks won Super Bowl LX last season, beating the New England Patriots 29-13 in a rematch of XLIX. However, the defending champions weren’t the betting favorites in early Super Bowl odds markets.

That distinction belonged to their NFC West rival Los Angeles Rams, who return to compete in the NFL 2026 schedule with veteran and reigning NFL MVP Matt Stafford under center.

Five of the last six NFL champions opened the season with Super Bowl odds of at least +1000...

Now at just 4-4 through Week 8, the Rams have fallen considerably in the Super Bowl LXI odds. Keep reading for updated Super Bowl odds and our NFL picks for Super Bowl LXI, scheduled for February 14, 2027 at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles, California.

🏈 2027 Super Bowl Odds

Team Current Odds Opening Odds Implied Probability
Buffalo Bills +550 +1000 15.38%
San Francisco 49ers +550 +1600 15.38%
Jacksonville Jaguars +750 +2200 11.76%
Chicago Bears +800 +2500 11.11%
Kansas City Chiefs +1100 +1500 8.33%
Los Angeles Rams +1200 +750 7.69%
Cincinnati Bengals +1200 +2800 7.69%
Seattle Seahawks +1600 +900 5.88%
Denver Broncos +1600 +1800 5.88%
Detroit Lions +1800 +1600 5.26%
Green Bay Packers +2000 +2200 4.76%
Minnesota Vikings +2200 +5000 4.35%
New England Patriots +3000 +1600 3.23%
Houston Texans +4000 +2200 2.44%

Super Bowl odds provided by bet365 – accurate as of November 11

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Super Bowl odds updates

  • November 3, 2026: The Chicago Bears’ Super Bowl odds shorten from +1400 to +800 after a statement Monday Night Football win over the defending champion Seahawks. They also acquired All-Pro defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons from the Tennessee Titans, bolstering a defense that was already among the league’s best.
  • October 20, 2026: The Rams are no longer the leaders in the Super Bowl odds, falling to fifth in the bet365 odds board behind the 6-0 49ers, Bills, Chiefs, and Ravens.
  • October 6, 2026: The Rams are still the favorites, but the Bills and 49ers are close behind. The Jacksonville Jaguars, Minnesota Vikings, and Chicago Bears are the biggest early movers.
  • September 9, 2026: There are few changes in the Super Bowl odds as we approach the first game of the 2026 NFL season. The Green Bay Packers odds lengthened to +2000 with concerns about the availability of RB Josh Jacobs.
  • July 7, 2026: The Rams’ Super Bowl odds continue to shorten to +550.
  • June 1, 2026: The Rams’ Super Bowl odds shortened from +750 to +650 after acquiring two-time AP Defensive Player of the Year winner Myles Garrett from the Cleveland Browns.
  • May 20, 2026: The Seahawks Super Bowl odds lengthened from +900 to +1000, while the Patriots and Bengals climbed the leaderboard.
  • April 30, 2026: The Los Angeles Rams remain the NFL favorites, with +750 Super Bowl odds, following the 2026 NFL Draft.

Super Bowl LXI Odds Favorites

Mark Konezny-Imagn Images

Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills odds to win the Super Bowl | +550

The Buffalo Bills remain among the leading Super Bowl contenders, but they now share the shortest odds with the San Francisco 49ers at +550. Buffalo improved to 7-1 with a convincing 23-6 road victory over the Minnesota Vikings in Week 9. Josh Allen threw for 234 yards and a touchdown, while James Cook rushed for 107 yards as the Bills controlled the game.

Buffalo continues to look like a complete championship contender, with Allen leading an offense capable of scoring against any opponent and a defense that has limited its last two opponents to just 16 combined points. The Bills have consistently demonstrated their ability to win in different ways, strengthening their position among the Super Bowl favorites heading into Week 10.

James Cook remains a key part of Buffalo’s attack and a name to monitor in the NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds after his productive start. Meanwhile, offensive coordinator Joe Brady is worth watching in the NFL Coach of the Year race as Buffalo continues to produce points and compete for the AFC’s top seed. If the Bills maintain their momentum, Brady’s role in maximizing the offense could help his candidacy.

San Francisco 49ers San Francisco 49ers odds to win the Super Bowl | +550

The San Francisco 49ers have bounced back in the Super Bowl odds, joining the Buffalo Bills as co-favorites at +550 following their Week 9 results. San Francisco improved to 7-1 with a convincing 38-17 victory over the Las Vegas Raiders after suffering its first loss of the season against Atlanta in Week 7.

Brock Purdy remains a leading name in the NFL MVP odds, having helped San Francisco open the season with six consecutive wins. His ability to keep the offense productive despite injuries will be important to both his award chances and the 49ers’ Super Bowl aspirations. Defensively, Fred Warner remains a key player to watch in the NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds. His leadership and impact at linebacker give San Francisco another potential award contender.

The 49ers remain firmly in the championship conversation, although their growing injury list adds uncertainty heading into the second half of the season. Their ability to maintain their strong start despite missing key contributors will be important as they look to separate themselves from Buffalo and the other leading Super Bowl contenders.

Looking to bet on the Super Bowl Odds? Check out Oddspedia’s bet calculator and odds calculator!

Super Bowl XLI Sleeper Pick

Chicago Bears Chicago Bears odds to win the Super Bowl | +800

The Chicago Bears are emerging as an intriguing sleeper pick in the Super Bowl odds, shortening to +800 after extending their winning streak to four games. Chicago improved to 7-2 with a dramatic 27-24 victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 9, with Cairo Santos kicking a game-winning field goal. Caleb Williams threw for 279 yards and two touchdowns, although his four interceptions showed there is still room for improvement.

Head coach Ben Johnson continues to build a playoff contender, while rookie safety Dillon Thieneman is another name to watch. Thieneman is priced at around +2000 in the NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year odds. He has already recorded 47 tackles through nine games, giving Chicago another promising young defensive playmaker.

📈 Super Bowl LXI Betting Trends

The Seattle Seahawks were the fifth team in the last six years to win the Super Bowl with preseason Super Bowl odds greater than +1000.

Prior to this six-year stretch, six of seven champions opened with single-digit Super Bowl odds. The one exception: Philadelphia, which won Super Bowl 52 after entering the 2017-18 season as a 40-to-1 longshot.

That Eagles squad is the biggest preseason underdog to claim a title since the 2001-02 New England Patriots stunned the St. Louis Rams in Super Bowl 36. The Patriots began that season priced at 60-to-1 to win it all.

Philadelphia’s victory in Super Bowl 59 also marked the 29th consecutive year that a Super Bowl champ had preseason title odds of at least +600. (The Dallas Cowboys were the last team to win a title at a price shorter than 6-to-1, as they went into the 1994-95 season as a +300 favorite.)

What about investing in a Super Bowl longshot? Two words: be cautious.

Yes, five of the last six champions had preseason Super Bowl odds of 10-to-1 or greater. However, only five of 26 champions this century began a season with a Super Bowl futures price greater than +2000.

Those teams:

  • 2000-01 Baltimore Ravens (+2200) won Super Bowl 35
  • 2001-02 New England Patriots (+6600) won Super Bowl 36
  • 2007-08 New York Giants (+3000) won Super Bowl 42
  • 2011-12 New York Giants (+2200) won Super Bowl 46
  • 2017-18 Philadelphia Eagles (+4000) won Super Bowl 52
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🏆 Previous Super Bowl Winners

Season Winner Runner-Up Score
2025 Seattle Seahawks New England Patriots 29-13
2024 Kansas City Chiefs San Francisco 49ers 25–22
2023 Kansas City Chiefs Philadelphia Eagles 38–35
2022 Los Angeles Rams Cincinnati Bengals 23–20
2021 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Kansas City Chiefs 31–9
2020 Kansas City Chiefs San Francisco 49ers 31–20
2019 New England Patriots Los Angeles Rams 13–3
2018 Philadelphia Eagles New England Patriots 41–33
2017 New England Patriots Atlanta Falcons 34–28 (OT)
2016 Denver Broncos Carolina Panthers 24–10

🏆 Super Bowl wins and appearances by each team

Team Appearances Wins
New England Patriots 12 6
Pittsburgh Steelers 8 6
Dallas Cowboys 8 5
Denver Broncos 8 3
San Francisco 49ers 8 5
Kansas City Chiefs 7 5
Washington Commanders 5 3
Green Bay Packers 5 4

❓ Super Bowl odds FAQs

What team has the shortest Super Bowl odds after Week 9?

The Buffalo Bills and San Francisco 49ers are tied for the shortest Super Bowl odds after Week 9, with both teams priced at +550. Buffalo improved to 7-1 following a convincing 23-6 road win over the Minnesota Vikings on Monday Night Football. Josh Allen threw for 234 yards and a touchdown, while James Cook added 107 rushing yards.

What are Super Bowl odds?

Super Bowl odds represent the sportsbook’s estimate of each team’s chances of winning the championship. They are displayed in American odds format, with plus-money prices indicating underdogs and shorter odds generally reflecting stronger contenders. Odds change throughout the season based on team performance, injuries, and betting activity.

How do you read Super Bowl odds?

Super Bowl odds show how much a bettor could win relative to a $100 stake. For example, a team priced at +500 would return $500 in profit on a $100 winning bet, plus the original stake. Shorter odds indicate a lower potential payout, while longer odds offer a larger return but represent a bigger risk.

When is the best time to bet on Super Bowl odds?

There is no guaranteed best time to bet on Super Bowl odds, as prices fluctuate throughout the NFL season. Backing a team before a strong run of results or a key playoff push can offer better value if its odds shorten later. Comparing prices across sportsbooks can also help bettors find more favorable lines.

When is the best time to bet on Super Bowl odds?

There is no single best time to bet Super Bowl futures because prices depend on risk and uncertainty. Early-season markets can offer longer prices on teams that outperform expectations, while waiting provides more information about injuries, form and playoff chances. Comparing prices across sportsbooks can help bettors identify better available odds, although no price guarantees a profit.

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