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Real Madrid - Villarreal Predictions

Real Madrid
Final
1 - 0
(HT 0 - 0)
10th Oct 26, 3:00 PM
Villarreal
63'
Y. Diomande

picks

Computer picks
Powered by
Total Goals: Under 4.5
Confidence Rating
bet365
Won
-222
What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Real Madrid vs Villarreal. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Double Chance: Draw or Villarreal
Confidence Rating
FanDuel
Lost
+230
Total Goals: Under 3.5
Confidence Rating
bet365
Won
+103
Consensus pick
Powered by
Community
Final 1x2: Real Madrid
59%
45 of 76
R
+41
BetMGM
Won
-278

Pregame Probabilities

Winner probabilities
MAD
65% Home
19% Draw
16% Away
VIL

SmartBet forecast correct: Home Winner

Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
18.0% 0.2% 6.9% 6.6% 4.3% 1.4% 9.9% 9.4% 5.3% 2.1% 9.6% 8.4% 4.0% 1.7% 4.2% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5% 2.3%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: Other Home Win

Community Consensus

24
10 Oct, 3:00 PM
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Real Madrid - Villarreal
First Team to Score: No Goal
100%
11 of 11
bet365
Best odds
+2800
10 Oct, 3:00 PM
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Real Madrid - Villarreal
Next Goal: No Goal
100%
10 of 10
Betway
Best odds
+2500
10 Oct, 3:00 PM
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Real Madrid - Villarreal
Total Goals: Under 0.5
100%
9 of 9
bet365
Best odds
+2800
10 Oct, 3:00 PM
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Real Madrid - Villarreal
Clean Sheet: Villarreal
100%
7 of 7
bet365
Best odds
+1200
10 Oct, 3:00 PM
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Real Madrid - Villarreal
1st Half Double Chance: Draw or Villarreal
100%
6 of 6
DraftKings
Best odds
+115

Community Picks

381
+2,604.30
1725 Picks
a month ago
Real Madrid - Villarreal
2nd Half Draw No Bet: Villarreal
Lost
+330
+2,604.30
1725 Picks
a month ago
Real Madrid - Villarreal
1st Half Draw No Bet: Villarreal
Void
+330
-77.65
139 Picks
a month ago
Real Madrid - Villarreal
Final 1x2: Real Madrid
Won
-294
-655.25
1233 Picks
a month ago
Real Madrid - Villarreal
Half Time / Full Time: X / X
Lost
+850
+2,604.30
1725 Picks
a month ago
Real Madrid - Villarreal
Spread: Villarreal 0
Lost
+517
-655.25
1233 Picks
a month ago
Real Madrid - Villarreal
Next Goal: No Goal
Lost
+2500
+55.30
328 Picks
a month ago
Real Madrid - Villarreal
Spread: Real Madrid -1.5
Lost
-118
-576.49
663 Picks
a month ago
Real Madrid - Villarreal
Spread: Real Madrid -1.5
Lost
-118
-655.25
1233 Picks
a month ago
Real Madrid - Villarreal
Correct Score: 0 : 0
Lost
+2800
-655.25
1233 Picks
a month ago
Real Madrid - Villarreal
First Team to Score: No Goal
Lost
+2000

Starting Lineups

Real Madrid Mourinho, Jose
Villarreal Perez, Inigo
4-2-3-1
T. Courtois
1
52' Substitute Out
T. Alexander-Arnold
12
Yellow Card
I. Konate
16
Yellow Card
A. Rudiger
22
46' Substitute Out
A. Carreras
18
A
F. Valverde
8
Yellow Card
A. Tchouameni
14
77' Substitute Out
A. Guler
15
Yellow Card
J. Bellingham
5
86' Substitute Out
Y. Diomande
25
Yellow Card
K. Mbappe
10
5-3-2
P. Gulacsi
25
A. Freeman
3
Yellow Card
P. Navarro
6
56' Substitute Out
J. Foyth
8
Yellow Card
R. Veiga
12
67' Substitute Out
S. Cardona
23
56' Substitute Out
S. Comesana
14
P. Gueye
18
86' Substitute Out
A. Moleiro
10
A. Perez
22
67' Substitute Out
I. Akhomach
11
Santiago Bernabeu
Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Isidro
46'
M. Cucurella
Defender
A. Carreras
Defender
86'
D. Dumfries
Defender
Y. Diomande
Forward
77'
E. Camavinga
Midfielder
A. Guler
Forward
52'
Red Card
Vinicius Junior
Forward
T. Alexander-Arnold
Defender

Betting stats

MAD
Played 16
VIL
Played 17
56% ATS % 53%
44% Totals Covered % 65%
100% Games over 0.5 goals 94%
88% Games over 1.5 goals 76%
88% Games over 2.5 goals 71%
50% Games over 3.5 goals 59%
44% Games over 4.5 goals 29%
69% Over HT1.5 goals at half time % 53%
69% Scored in both halves 35%
13% Conceded in both halves 18%

Last Matches

W W W W W ?
W W L L W ?

Head to Head

Last 9 years
MAD
10
Wins
7
Draws
3
Wins
20 played
VIL
10 Oct 2026
Final
Real Madrid
Villarreal  @
1
0
24 Jan 2026
Final
Villarreal
Real Madrid  @
0
2
04 Oct 2025
Final
Real Madrid
Villarreal  @
3
1

Standings

# Team GP W D L Goals Pts
2
Real Madrid
12
10
0
2
31:10
W W W W W ?
30
8
Villarreal
12
4
3
5
17:15
L D W L W ?
15

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Match Details

Referee
Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Isidro
Stadium
Santiago Bernabeu
Location
Madrid, Spain
Weather Forecast
Weather Icon 21°

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