Arsenal vs Hull City Prediction as the Gunners chase a fifth straight home league win
The Arsenal v Hull City prediction backs under 10.5 corners at 9/10. Arsenal's home record makes it easy to see them controlling possession, while Hull's recent attacking struggles could limit the visitors' share of corners.
Previous meetings point towards lower corner totals. The case is stronger if Arsenal score early and can manage the tempo, though sustained pressure against a deep defence could work against the selection.
SmartBet estimates a 62.84% chance, 10.21 percentage points above the original market-implied 52.63%. That suggests potential value at the quoted price if the model's forecast is accurate.
The Arsenal v Hull City prediction backs under 10.5 corners at 9/10. Arsenal's home record makes it easy to see them controlling possession, while Hull's recent attacking struggles could limit the visitors' share of corners.
Previous meetings point towards lower corner totals. The case is stronger if Arsenal score early and can manage the tempo, though sustained pressure against a deep defence could work against the selection.
SmartBet estimates a 62.84% chance, 10.21 percentage points above the original market-implied 52.63%. That suggests potential value at the quoted price if the model's forecast is accurate.
What is SmartBet?
Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Arsenal vs Hull City. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
Our Arsenal v Hull City prediction favours under 10.5 corners in Premier League Round 10 on 7th November 2026. Kick-off is at 15:00 UTC.
SmartBet gives the selection five stars, estimating a 62.84% chance against the market-implied 52.63%. Its projected positive expected value is 19.40%, based on that difference.
An early Arsenal lead could take some urgency out of the game. If Hull's expected 5-4-1 keeps Arsenal attacking down the flanks, though, the hosts could build up the corner count themselves.
Our Expert's Prediction - Arsenal vs Hull City Both Teams to Score Full Time
My alternative is Arsenal to win to nil or Both teams to score, No, both at around 11/15. It follows the view that Arsenal can control the match and limit Hull's chances.
Arsenal have won all four home league matches and conceded just twice across those games. Hull are winless in eight matches, and 2-0 is the most common scoreline in this fixture.
The original price implies a 57.8% break-even probability. Hull still have a threat through Belloumi and McBurnie, and one away goal would defeat the bet even if Arsenal won comfortably.
Prematch Probabilities
SmartBet forecast correct: Home Winner
What does the Oddspedia community think?
Arsenal have attracted 69.4% of the 49 Oddspedia community picks in the Full Time Result market. The home win at around 2/11 is the leading selection.
Arsenal have 24 points after nine league matches, compared with Hull's 11. Hull's eight-game winless run and Arsenal's perfect home league record help explain the backing.
The original home price implies an 85.1% probability. At that price, the question for bettors is whether Arsenal win often enough to justify the small return.
Consensus
26
Community Tips
482
Arsenal form analysis: Home streak meets hungry attack
Arsenal's last five results read DWDWW. They've won 88.9% of their nine Premier League matches, taking 24 points, and have won four straight in the league. Their home league record is 4-0-0.
They've scored in seven consecutive games, and over 2.5 goals has landed in 60% of their matches. An early goal would give Arsenal more freedom to manage the pace.
Kai Havertz and Bukayo Saka have three goals each, while Declan Rice leads the assists with four. That spread gives Arsenal several ways to break down a deep Hull defence.
Hull City form analysis: Can they stop the slide?
Hull's last five results read LDLDD, and their winless run extends to eight matches. They have 11 points after nine league games, with two wins so far.
They've conceded in seven consecutive matches. Against an Arsenal side who have scored in seven straight, keeping the space in front of their defence closed will matter.
Mohamed Belloumi and Oli McBurnie each have two goals and two assists. They give Hull a threat on the counter if Arsenal leave room behind their full-backs.
Arsenal vs Hull City odds: Bookmakers expect a home win
Arsenal are clear Full Time Result favourites at around 2/11, with the draw at around 8/1. Hull's quote is longer than 19/1. The original prices imply probabilities of 85.1%, 11.7% and 4.3% respectively.
Arsenal -2.25 on the Asian handicap is around 10/9. A two-goal home win returns half the stake and loses the other half. Arsenal need to win by at least three goals for a full winning settlement.
Over 3 goals is around 7/8, with under 3 at around 10/9. Exactly three goals returns the stake on either side, so a controlled 2-0 home win would land the under.
Arsenal vs Hull City predicted lineups: Attacking hosts, deep visitors
Arsenal are tipped to use Mikel Arteta's 4-2-3-1, with David Raya behind Ben White, Ezri Konsa, Gabriel Magalhaes and Piero Hincapie. Declan Rice and Martin Zubimendi could form the double pivot and keep attacks moving when Hull clear the ball.
Noni Madueke, Mikel Merino and Eberechi Eze are expected to support Viktor Gyokeres. Finding space between Hull's midfield and defence could give Arsenal a route through the middle.
Hull are forecast to use Sergej Jakirovic's 5-4-1, with Belloumi and McBurnie their main counter-attacking threats. Keeping the two lines close could limit Arsenal's space centrally, though it may leave Hull defending more deliveries from wide areas.
Last Matches
Head-2-Head
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
Arsenal
|
10
|
9
|
0
|
1
|
15:5
|
W
W
W
W
W
?
|
27
| |
13
|
Hull City
|
10
|
2
|
5
|
3
|
11:11
|
D
L
D
D
L
?
|
11
| |
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FAQ Arsenal vs Hull City
Who will win between Arsenal and Hull City?
Arsenal look the most likely winner. They have 24 points from 9 matches and a perfect 4-0-0 home record. Hull haven’t won in 8 games, and the odds heavily favour an Arsenal home victory.
What is the best bet for Arsenal and Hull City?
The top model pick is Total Corners: Under 10.5, rated 5 stars. The model probability is 62.84% versus 52.63% implied by odds, giving 19.40% positive expected value. It’s a value-style bet, not just a favourite pick.
What is Oddspedia SmartBet?
Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model prediction. It simulates match scenarios and turns them into probabilities for betting markets. You can then compare model probability to odds-implied probability to spot potential value (+EV) bets.
Where and when is the match played?
Arsenal vs Hull City is in the Premier League (Round 10) on 7th November 2026. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC. Arsenal are the home team, so the match is played at the Emirates Stadium in London.
Where to watch Arsenal vs Hull City?
Premier League games are commonly shown on Sky Sports, TNT Sports, or Amazon Prime Video in the UK, depending on the schedule, with 3PM kick offs not available. Some bookmakers like bet365 also offer live streaming if you have an account and meet their balance or betting rules.
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