Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction: High-scoring battle on the cards?
Liverpool’s recent scoring form gives some support to the over 3.5 goals angle, while Arsenal arrive after four wins in their last five matches. Half of the previous meetings between the sides have also gone over 3.5 goals.
That adds weight to the Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction of over 3.5 total goals, particularly with both teams carrying enough attacking threat to push the game beyond three goals.
Liverpool’s recent scoring form gives some support to the over 3.5 goals angle, while Arsenal arrive after four wins in their last five matches. Half of the previous meetings between the sides have also gone over 3.5 goals.
That adds weight to the Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction of over 3.5 total goals, particularly with both teams carrying enough attacking threat to push the game beyond three goals.
What is SmartBet?
Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Liverpool vs Arsenal. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
Liverpool vs Arsenal is part of Premier League Matchweek 9 on 1 November 2026, with kick-off at 16:30 UTC (16:30 GMT). Oddspedia’s SmartBet model makes over 3.5 goals the leading Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction, with a five-star confidence rating.
The model gives over 3.5 goals a 33.34% probability, compared with 33.33% implied by the odds, resulting in +0.03% expected value. The edge is extremely small, although Liverpool’s 46% over 3.5 goals rate gives the selection some support after the previous meeting finished 0-0.
Our Expert's Prediction - Liverpool vs Arsenal Total Goals Full Time
Arsenal have kept three clean sheets in their four away league matches, while Liverpool have also tightened up defensively, with four clean sheets in their last six league games. Big games like this can often be cagey, so I'm taking a chance on under 2.5 goals here.
Prematch Probabilities
SmartBet forecast correct: Away Winner
What does the Oddspedia community think?
The Oddspedia community is firmly behind both teams to score, with 13 of 14 tipsters backing yes at 2/3.
Liverpool’s BTTS rate stands at 62% overall and rises to 80% across their last five matches, which helps explain the support. Arsenal’s figure is lower at 38%, so much may depend on whether Liverpool can pull them into a more open game at Anfield.
The community clearly expects chances at both ends rather than another cagey contest.
Consensus
18Community Tips
446
Liverpool form analysis: Can the streak continue?
Liverpool arrive in strong form with a WWWWD run and five straight wins. They have 15 points from eight league matches, with 4 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss, giving them a solid platform heading into this one.
At home, Liverpool have won three in a row, although they have also failed to score in two of their four home league matches. Alexander Isak is the main threat with six goals in seven appearances, while Gakpo has three assists.
Liverpool’s matches have gone over 2.5 goals 69% of the time, so their recent run has still produced plenty of higher-scoring games.
Arsenal form analysis: Can they keep up the pace?
Arsenal have made a strong start, taking 21 points from eight league matches with 7 wins and 1 loss. Their recent form reads WWDWD, and they are unbeaten in five with three straight Premier League wins.
They have also scored in six consecutive matches, although they have failed to find the net in one of their four away league games. Their over 3.5 goals rate sits at just 23%, so their matches have not often turned into high-scoring contests.
Declan Rice leads the creative numbers with four assists, while Saka tops Arsenal’s scoring charts with three goals but will miss out through injury.
Liverpool vs Arsenal odds: Arsenal slight favourites
Arsenal are narrow favourites in the result market at 5/3, with Liverpool around 2/1 and the draw at 5/2. That gives the visitors a slight edge despite their long wait for a win at Anfield.
The Asian handicap is set at 0, with Liverpool priced at 11/10 and Arsenal at 6/7. The goals line sits at 2.5, with both over and under priced around evens, so the market is much more balanced on whether the game produces three or more goals.
Liverpool vs Arsenal predicted line-ups: Midfield match-ups could be key
Liverpool are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1, with Alisson in goal behind Araujo, Jacquet, Van Dijk and Kerkez. Gravenberch and Mac Allister sit in midfield, while Wirtz, Gakpo and Barcola support Isak.
Arsenal are also projected to use a 4-2-3-1, with Raya in goal behind White, Konsa, Gabriel and Lewis-Skelly. Bruno Guimaraes and Rice form the midfield base, with Eze, Odegaard and Madueke supporting Havertz.
With both sides using similar shapes, the midfield and No.10 areas could have a big influence on how the game develops.
Last Matches
Head-2-Head
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
Arsenal
|
10
|
9
|
0
|
1
|
15:5
|
W
W
W
W
W
?
|
27
| |
4
|
Liverpool
|
10
|
5
|
3
|
2
|
14:10
|
L
W
W
L
W
?
|
18
| |
Oddspedia Tipster Competitions
Monthly Tipster Competition
Yearly Tipster Competition
Bundesliga Competition
La Liga Competition
EPL Competition
Get a free bet for Liverpool vs Arsenal
FAQ Liverpool vs Arsenal
Who will win between Liverpool and Arsenal?
The odds give Arsenal a slight edge, while their 21 points from eight matches also put them in the stronger league position.
Liverpool’s home record in this fixture offers a counterpoint, though, with Arsenal still searching for their first win at Anfield since 2012. That makes the market lean towards the visitors far from decisive.
What is the best bet for Liverpool and Arsenal?
The leading Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction from Oddspedia’s SmartBet model is over 3.5 goals, rated with five-star confidence, although the expected-value edge over the available odds is very small.
The Oddspedia community is much more firmly behind both teams to score, with 13 of 14 tipsters backing yes at 18/25.
What is Oddspedia SmartBet?
Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model that simulates match outcomes and converts them into probabilities for different betting markets.
It then compares those figures with the implied probability from the available odds to identify potential expected value. For Liverpool vs Arsenal, the model points to over 3.5 goals, although the edge over the market is very small.
Where and when is the match played?
Liverpool vs Arsenal is part of Premier League Matchweek 9 on 1 November 2026, with kick-off at 16:30 UTC (16:30 GMT). Liverpool are the home side, with Arsenal arriving as the league leaders for a major early-season test.
Where to watch Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Liverpool vs Arsenal will be shown live in the UK on Sky Sports, with kick-off at 16:30 GMT on Sunday 1 November. The fixture is part of Sky Sports’ Super Sunday schedule.
Viewers with a Sky Sports subscription can also stream the match through the Sky Sports app, while NOW offers another streaming option in the UK.
Sign up for the all new Oddspedia newsletter and the latest USA betting offers.
By submitting your email, you give us consent to contact you for marketing purposes.
