Liverpool vs Burnley Prediction: Can Liverpool maintain their form?
The case for a Liverpool vs Burnley prediction of a first-half draw looks strong when recent form and historical trends are taken into account. Despite their obvious quality, Liverpool have often adopted a measured approach in the opening stages, with three of their last five matches level at half-time.
Burnley, meanwhile, arrive with confidence following a recent victory and are well known for their organisation and resilience. That tenacity could allow them to absorb pressure and frustrate Liverpool early on. Head-to-head data also supports a cautious first half, with only 25% of recent meetings producing more than 1.5 goals before the break.
Given Liverpool’s tendency to raise the tempo after half-time and Burnley’s ability to stay compact early on, a draw at the interval represents a well-reasoned and potentially valuable betting angle.
The case for a Liverpool vs Burnley prediction of a first-half draw looks strong when recent form and historical trends are taken into account. Despite their obvious quality, Liverpool have often adopted a measured approach in the opening stages, with three of their last five matches level at half-time.
Burnley, meanwhile, arrive with confidence following a recent victory and are well known for their organisation and resilience. That tenacity could allow them to absorb pressure and frustrate Liverpool early on. Head-to-head data also supports a cautious first half, with only 25% of recent meetings producing more than 1.5 goals before the break.
Given Liverpool’s tendency to raise the tempo after half-time and Burnley’s ability to stay compact early on, a draw at the interval represents a well-reasoned and potentially valuable betting angle.
What is SmartBet?
Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Liverpool vs Burnley. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
Liverpool take on Burnley on 17th January 2026 in a Premier League Matchweek 22 encounter, with both sides looking to make a statement. While Liverpool come into the match as clear favourites on paper, the Oddspedia SmartBet model's Liverpool vs Burnley prediction points towards a potentially cagey opening.
The data gives a 32.26% probability for a draw at half-time, supported by a high confidence rating of 5. Liverpool may therefore need to stay alert early on, particularly against a Burnley side that has seen both teams score in 80% of their recent away matches. All signs suggest a tight and competitive first half before the game opens up later on.
Our Expert's Prediction - Liverpool vs Burnley Total Goals Full Time
Burnley's away games this season have averaged 3.8 goals, and with not much value on offer in the full time result market I've opted for over 2.5 goals here.
Prematch Probabilities
What does the Oddspedia community think?
The Oddspedia community is overwhelmingly backing Liverpool to win at full time, with 33 of the 39 voters siding with the hosts. The odds reflect that confidence, with Liverpool priced very short at 1/4.
This strong consensus is hardly surprising given Liverpool’s solid form and Burnley’s recent struggles, as well as Liverpool’s long-standing dominance in this fixture. Still, while everything points towards a home win, football has a habit of producing the unexpected, and that element of uncertainty is always worth keeping in mind.
Consensus
33
Community Tips
330
Liverpool Form Analysis: Solid Performers
Liverpool have shown solid and reliable form of late, recording WDDDW across their last five matches. Their attacking strength is reflected in an average of 1.5 goals per game, with Hugo Ekitike enjoying a productive spell and posing a consistent threat in the final third. At the back, Liverpool haven't been at their best, conceding 1.3 goals per match.
Recent form coupled with a dominant head-to-head record against Burnley means confidence will be high at Anfield, as they look to maintain momentum and assert their superiority once again.
Burnley Form Analysis: Struggling to Shine
Burnley’s recent run of results, marked by DLLDW, reflects a side struggling to win games. Averaging just one goal per match, they have found it difficult to turn chances into goals, which has often left them chasing games.
Defensively, conceding around two goals per game is a particular concern, especially against a Liverpool attack that thrives on pressure and quick transitions. When this is added to Burnley’s poor historical record against Liverpool, the challenge becomes even steeper.
To get anything from Anfield, Burnley would likely need a near-perfect tactical performance, combining defensive discipline with ruthless efficiency at the other end.
Liverpool vs Burnley Predictions Odds - Liverpool strong favourites
Bookmakers have installed Liverpool as clear favourites, with odds of 1/4 for a home win reflecting their dominance in this matchup. The Asian Handicap is set at -1.75, further underlining expectations of a comfortable home victory.
The over 3 goals market is priced at 13/14, pointing towards the likelihood of a high-scoring contest. That outlook fits well with Liverpool’s attacking strength and their tendency to create sustained pressure at Anfield, suggesting goals could flow if they impose themselves early.
Liverpool vs Burnley Predicted Lineups - Key players to watch
Liverpool, under the guidance of Arne Slot, are expected to line up with a strong core, including experienced figures such as Virgil van Dijk at the back and Cody Gakpo in attack. They could also welcome back Mohamed Salah after his return from the Africa Cup of Nations.
Burnley, managed by Scott Parker, will look to seasoned forward Marcus Edwards and the pace of Jaidon Anthony to provide their main attacking outlets.
Liverpool will aim to control the game through structure and pressure, while Burnley will need discipline and resilience if they are to withstand sustained spells of attacking play at Anfield.
Last Matches
Head-2-Head
Oddspedia Tipster Competitions
Monthly Tipster Competition
Yearly Tipster Competition
Bundesliga Competition
La Liga Competition
EPL Competition
Get a free bet for Liverpool vs Burnley
FAQ Liverpool vs Burnley
Who will win between Liverpool and Burnley?
Liverpool go into the match as clear favourites, backed by their strong recent form and a long history of dominance over Burnley. Playing at Anfield only strengthens their position, and with their attacking quality and consistency, they look well placed to come out on top.
What is the best bet for Liverpool and Burnley?
Taking both the odds and recent form into account, backing Liverpool to win is a widely favoured option.
However, there may also be value in looking at the first-half market. The SmartBet model's Liverpool vs Burnley prediction of a draw at half-time is an interesting alternative, reflecting Liverpool’s tendency to start cautiously before asserting themselves later in matches.
What is Oddspedia SmartBet?
Oddspedia SmartBet is a prediction model using statistical data to provide betting tips. It aims to offer a calculated perspective on match outcomes.
Where and when is the match played?
The match will take place at Anfield in Liverpool on 17th January 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 15:00 UTC.
Where to watch Liverpool vs Burnley?
This match won't be shown live in the UK, but will be available in other regions to watch on TV channels that broadcast Premier League fixtures, as well as via live streaming on platforms such as bet365.
Sign up for the all new Oddspedia newsletter and the latest USA betting offers.
By submitting your email, you give us consent to contact you for marketing purposes.
