I’m a Celebrity Get Me Out of Here is back. The new series kicked off on Sunday evening, so we can now start getting acquainted with the gruesome creatures of Springbrook National Park (as well as the critters and witchetty grubs that were already residing there)!
This year’s campmates have now had their first taste of jungle life, and the odds are already in for the next King or Queen of the jungle. But it’s not all about who wins, is it!
There’s plenty more to predict as our favourite New South Wales camp opens its doors once again. And we’re here to calculate the odds on all the props you need, from the campmate who’ll take on the most trials, to the one who’s most likely to walk out within the first 48 hours.
Here are five novelty bets to ponder as we mentally prepare ourselves for the first full week of Ant and Dec’s spine-chilling challenges.
The odds displayed are purely speculative and intended for entertainment purposes only.
Will anyone quit within the first 48 hours? And if so… who will it be?
| Campmate |
Odds |
Implied Probability (%) |
| Angry Ginge |
13/1 |
7 |
| Tom Read Wilson |
15/1 |
6 |
| Aitch |
19/1 |
5 |
| Martin Kemp |
32/1 |
3 |
| Jack Osbourne |
24/1 |
4 |
| Lisa Riley |
15/1 |
6 |
| Kelly Brook |
32/1 |
3 |
| Shona McGarty |
24/1 |
4 |
| Alex Scott |
49/1 |
2 |
| Vogue Williams |
49/1 |
2 |
| Eddie Kadi |
32/1 |
3 |
| Ruby Wax |
19/1 |
5 |
| No Campmate Quits |
1/1 |
50 |
The first 48 hours of jungle life are crucial, as that’s when our new campmates can begin to acclimatise and really take in the magnitude of the challenge that lies ahead. It’s rare to see contestants leave at this early stage, but it does happen.
With odds of 1/1 on no one quitting, we’re expecting the entire cast to outlast the likes of Olivia Attwood and Elaine Lordan, both of whom didn’t make it past 48 hours when they appeared on the show.
If someone *is* to quit, it could well be YouTuber Angry Ginge. At 24-years-old, he’s one of the youngest of this year’s cast, so he might not have the resilience of some of his fellow campmates. However, it’s more likely that everyone will stay, and if they do, he’s one of the bookies’ favourites to emerge triumphant at this stage.
Which campmate will do the most bushtucker trials?
| Campmate |
Odds |
Implied Probability (%) |
| Angry Ginge |
21/4 |
16 |
| Aitch |
31/5 |
14 |
| Alex Scott |
43/6 |
13 |
| Kelly Brook |
11/6 |
12 |
| Martin Kemp |
9/10 |
10 |
| Shona McGarty |
10/9 |
9 |
| Lisa Riley |
23/20 |
8 |
| Vogue Williams |
19/14 |
7 |
| Eddie Kadi |
47/30 |
6 |
| Ruby Wax |
19/5 |
5 |
Two of the youngest campmates have the shortest odds on bushtucker trial nomination going into the new season.
Top of the odds is Angry Ginge. Nominated for the first trial along with Ruby Wax, the YouTuber is a proven hit with the public so can expect plenty of votes over the coming weeks.
No campmate will face trials day in day out as we’ve seen in previous years, though. This year, for the first time ever, campmates are eligible for a maximum of two consecutive bushtucker trials before they have to sit one out.
So we won’t see any unlucky campmates nominated over and over as we have in previous years (let’s not forget that time Matt Hancock did six in a row!).
Will a former professional footballer become camp leader for more than three consecutive days?
| Outcome |
Odds |
Implied Probability (%) |
| Yes |
7/3 |
30 |
| No |
7/10 |
70 |
There’s a former professional footballer amongst the campmates this year: Alex Scott MBE. Now, we know that campmates will be asked to select a leader early on, and odds are on her to take the role within her first few days in the jungle.
The sportswoman’s background and strong leadership skills would stand her in good stead for the role, giving some cause to predict that she could hang on to the title for more than three consecutive days. But camp leaders tend to be rotated at regular intervals, regardless of a leader’s capabilities.
Currently, odds stand at 7/3 for Scott to lead our campmates for more than three days.
Which of the campmates will refuse to do a bushtucker trial?
| Campmate |
Odds |
Implied Probability (%) |
| Lisa Riley |
11/6 |
12 |
| Ruby Wax |
9/10 |
10 |
| Kelly Brook |
10/9 |
9 |
| Shona McGarty |
23/20 |
8 |
| Eddie Kadi |
47/30 |
7 |
| Jack Osbourne |
47/30 |
6 |
| Angry Ginge |
47/30 |
6 |
| Aitch |
19/5 |
5 |
| Alex Scott |
19/5 |
5 |
| Martin Kemp |
24/1 |
4 |
| No Refusal |
257/100 |
28 |
Few go into those bushtucker trials willingly, which is probably why Ant and Dec show such delight in announcing who will be put to the test each time.
But in some cases, campmates’ courage leaves the building and they point blank refuse to take on whatever monstrous task ITV’s favourite duo has in store.
This year, there’s a 28% chance that no one will refuse a trial completely. But if trials *are* refused, it’s Lisa Riley, who is currently most likely to say no – and leave her fellow campmates going hungry.
Ruby Wax could also refuse a trial, while Kelly Brook’s odds of trial refusal now stand at 10/9.
Who will be first to prank one of their fellow campmates?
| Campmate |
Odds |
Implied Probability (%) |
| Angry Ginge |
91/20 |
18 |
| Eddie Kadi |
21/4 |
16 |
| Aitch |
307/50 |
14 |
| Jack Osbourne |
9/1 |
10 |
| Kelly Brook |
101/11 |
9 |
| Martin Kemp |
23/20 |
8 |
| Lisa Riley |
19/14 |
7 |
| Shona McGarty |
47/30 |
6 |
| Alex Scott |
47/30 |
6 |
| Vogue Williams |
19/5 |
5 |
| Ruby Wax |
99/1 |
1 |
There are a handful of well known pranksters on the cast this year, so we shouldn’t have to wait too long until the campmates start playing tricks on each other.
Current favourite to kick things off is social superstar Angry Ginge. We’re betting he’s already got a few witchetty grubs lined up to lighten the mood.
Eddie Kadi is another frontrunner in this race. The comedian and presenter will undoubtedly keep campmates enteratined as they while away the hours between challenges, and what better way to do so than with a practical joke or two?