Penafiel - Lourosa Predictions
Penafiel
2 days
15th Nov 26, 10:30 AM
14°
Lusitania de Lourosa
Winner probabilities
1x2: Away
+230
picks
Powered by
Double Chance: Draw or Lusitania de Lourosa
Confidence Rating
Best odds
-175
Given the current form of both teams, backing a Double Chance on Lusitania de Lourosa (X2) seems wise. While Penafiel is riding a three-match winning streak, there's a lot to consider. Lusitania has shown resilience, especially with their ability to score significantly in the first half. They also have the advantage in previous head-to-head matchups, with Penafiel not overwhelming them historically. Additionally, with both teams struggling defensively—Penafiel having conceded in all of their last five home matches and Lusitania in their last eight—this match could easily end in a draw or a narrow win for Lusitania. Expect a competitive match with a solid chance for Lusitania to secure at least a point.
Oddspedia Model Probability
64.26%
Betting Odds Probability @-156
60.98% 5.38% Bet value
Given the current form of both teams, backing a Double Chance on Lusitania de Lourosa (X2) seems wise. While Penafiel is riding a three-match winning streak, there's a lot to consider. Lusitania has shown resilience, especially with their ability to score significantly in the first half. They also have the advantage in previous head-to-head matchups, with Penafiel not overwhelming them historically. Additionally, with both teams struggling defensively—Penafiel having conceded in all of their last five home matches and Lusitania in their last eight—this match could easily end in a draw or a narrow win for Lusitania. Expect a competitive match with a solid chance for Lusitania to secure at least a point.
Oddspedia Model Probability
64.26%
Betting Odds Probability @-156
60.98%
5.38%
Bet value
What is SmartBet?
Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Penafiel vs Lusitania de Lourosa. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
Total Goals: Under 3.5
Confidence Rating
Best odds
-390
Given the current statistics, a prediction of total goals being under 3.5 for the Penafiel versus Lusitania de Lourosa match looks promising. Both teams have consistently struggled to find the back of the net in their previous meetings, with historical data showing an average of just 0.67 goals in their encounters. Additionally, Penafiel's defense has been solid, especially at home, and Lusitania have failed to score in key moments. The trend of Penafiel winning by narrow margins further supports this forecast. Overall, the combination of these factors strongly indicates a low-scoring affair is likely on the cards.
Oddspedia Model Probability
78.48%
Betting Odds Probability @-357
78.13% 0.45% Bet value
Given the current statistics, a prediction of total goals being under 3.5 for the Penafiel versus Lusitania de Lourosa match looks promising. Both teams have consistently struggled to find the back of the net in their previous meetings, with historical data showing an average of just 0.67 goals in their encounters. Additionally, Penafiel's defense has been solid, especially at home, and Lusitania have failed to score in key moments. The trend of Penafiel winning by narrow margins further supports this forecast. Overall, the combination of these factors strongly indicates a low-scoring affair is likely on the cards.
Oddspedia Model Probability
78.48%
Betting Odds Probability @-357
78.13%
0.45%
Bet value
Both Teams to Score: No
Confidence Rating
Best odds
+106
Given the current form of both teams, betting on "Both Teams to Score: No" seems to hold substantial merit. Penafiel has shown defensive resilience, having not scored in one of their last five home matches this season, while Lusitania de Lourosa has similarly struggled to find the net away from home, failing to score in one of their five away games. Historical data further supports this; in their previous clashes, both sides have consistently fallen short of multiple goals, averaging only 0.67 goals per match. With Penafiel's strong home record and Lusitania's recent inability to score, this prediction appears to be a solid choice for bettors seeking value.
Oddspedia Model Probability
50.97%
Betting Odds Probability @+108
48.08% 6.01% Bet value
Given the current form of both teams, betting on "Both Teams to Score: No" seems to hold substantial merit. Penafiel has shown defensive resilience, having not scored in one of their last five home matches this season, while Lusitania de Lourosa has similarly struggled to find the net away from home, failing to score in one of their five away games. Historical data further supports this; in their previous clashes, both sides have consistently fallen short of multiple goals, averaging only 0.67 goals per match. With Penafiel's strong home record and Lusitania's recent inability to score, this prediction appears to be a solid choice for bettors seeking value.
Oddspedia Model Probability
50.97%
Betting Odds Probability @+108
48.08%
6.01%
Bet value
Game Probabilities
Winner probabilities
PEN
LUS
35%
Home
28%
Draw
37%
Away
Correct Score probabilities
>3
3
2
1
0
3.0%
<0.1%
2.5%
2.9%
1.8%
0.7%
6.2%
7.9%
4.7%
2.0%
10.9%
13.3%
8.4%
3.4%
9.7%
10.9%
6.0%
2.5%
3.4%
0
1
2
3
>3
Correct Score:
1-1
+550
Betting Trends
Community Picks
0
Sort by
Be the first to call it! Add your prediction
Ready to make your Penafiel vs Lusitania de Lourosa prediction?
Betting stats
PEN
Played 12
LUS
Played 12
0%
ATS %
0%
67%
Totals Covered %
42%
100%
Games over 0.5 goals
100%
75%
Games over 1.5 goals
83%
67%
Games over 2.5 goals
50%
33%
Games over 3.5 goals
25%
25%
Games over 4.5 goals
0%
50%
Over HT1.5 goals at half time %
42%
50%
Scored in both halves
58%
8%
Conceded in both halves
8%
Last Matches
L
L
W
W
W
?
D
W
D
D
L
?
Head to Head
1
Win
2
Draws
0
Wins
3 played
16 Feb 2026
Final
2
0
13 Sep 2025
Final
0
0
22 Jul 2019
Final
0
0
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
Penafiel
|
10
|
7
|
1
|
2
|
22:10
|
W
L
W
W
W
?
|
22
| |
4
|
Lusitania de Lourosa
|
10
|
5
|
4
|
1
|
15:9
|
W
D
D
D
L
?
|
19
| |
Possible Lineups
Confirmed 1h before kick-off
Penafiel
Miguel Oliveira
Goalkeeper
Jorge Mere
Defender
Claudio Moreira Silva
Defender
Iano Simao da Silva Imbene
Defender
Douglas Borel
Defender
Adrian Pica
Defender
Pedro Sa
Midfielder
Andre Ricardo Ferreira Schutte
Forward
Max Svensson
Forward
Juan David Fuentes Garrido
Forward
Joao Pinto
Forward
Penafiel
No missing players for Penafiel
More Segunda Liga Smart Bet Predictions
Oddpedia’s Smart Bet system is powered by advanced AI technology, with the ability to generate successful predictions across thousands of football games in multiple different leagues. You can check out the latest predictions to make sure you take advantage of any value that is on offer.
Segunda Liga
15 Nov, 06:00
Total Goals:
Under 2.5
-143
Oddspedia Tipster Competitions
Monthly Contest
1000€ Prize pool
Yearly Contest
3000€ Prize pool
Bundesliga Contest
500€ Prize pool
La Liga Contest
500€ Prize pool
EPL Contest
500€ Prize pool
Bonus Offer
$1,500 First Bet OfferTerms & conditions- Get $150 in Bonus BetsTerms & conditions
- Bet $10 Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or LoseTerms & conditions
Match Details
Referee
Nobre, Antonio
Stadium
Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril
Location
Penafiel, Portugal
Weather Forecast
14°.
