With Donald Trump all but certain to win the Republican nomination for the presidential election, many pundits and bettors are now looking at who the former president will choose as his running mate. There are several strong candidates to win the race for the Republican Vice Presidential nominee, and while the primaries may not be generating much betting excitement, there’s plenty of action to be found in the Trump VP odds.
Donald Trump Vice President odds
Oddspedia has scoured the US Election odds to bring you an all-you-need-to-know guide from the oddsmakers. While Trump may not make his vice presidential pick for months, there are already some favorites that bettors have their eyes on. Below is a look at the leaders in the Donald Trump VP odds right now.
Trump VP odds: How Trump will pick his running mate
Trump VP odds markets are fairly simple to understand. You can pick virtually any reasonable candidate (along with plenty of unreasonable ones), and your bet will pay off if Trump ultimately chooses that person to be his vice presidential candidate. It’s likely that this choice will be made by the time of the Republican National Convention in July.
There are a number of factors to consider when predicting who Trump might pick. Traditionally, vice presidential candidates have been chosen to broaden a presidential candidate’s coalition. In this case, that might mean a known political figure within the GOP establishment, as he did when he picked Mike Pence in 2016, or choosing a woman or non-white candidate to create a more diverse ticket.
However, Trump has always been one to do things his own way, and he might be more likely to choose from well-known personalities who seem fully on board with his agenda, regardless of other considerations.
One interesting development is that reports suggest Trump is considering Sen. Marco Rubio as a potential VP pick. Rubio is currently +1600 in the Donald Trump VP odds. See the tweet from NBC below.
Kristi Noem led the contenders
While Trump says he is still far from naming a running mate for the 2024 election, he has begun namedropping potential vice presidential nominees in recent weeks.
In a recent interview on Fox News’ “Sunday Morning Futures,” Trump said he’s looking for someone who is capable of taking over as president if necessary, and singled out Sen. Tim Scott (R-South Carolina) and South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem as potential picks.
But that’s just the start of what seems to be a very long shortlist. In other interviews, Trump has mentioned Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, Texas Governor Greg Abbott, entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, and even former Hawaii Representative Tulsi Gabbard.
Of all these picks, Noem appears to be a frontrunner, thought she currently falls behind Tim Scott (+300).
Kristi Noem odds
South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem is another ardent Trump supporter who would help to diversify his ticket. She’s among a shortlist of governors who have been fully behind Trump, and would potentially provide him with some additional support in the Midwest, though South Dakota itself is far from a swing state.
Trump has specifically pointed to Noem as a potential VP pick, saying that “Kristi Noem has been incredible fighting for me.” According to Noem, the two talk all the time, and she has clearly been angling for the job as of late, even sharing a list of qualifications for the job that she just happens to fill. Noem also was one of two candidates to top a straw poll at CPAC, though it is worth noting that no single choice earned more than 15% of the vote.
The biggest downside for Noem is that she doesn’t have much of a national profile. Unlike Stefanik, she doesn’t regularly generate headlines (or controversy), and given Trump’s penchant for larger-than-life personalities, that might hurt her. Still, many bettors feel that Noem is a sensible and likely choice, which has landed her at the top of the current Vice President odds.
Will Kristi Noem be Trump’s VP? Her odds of +800 suggest she has 11.11% chance.
Vivek Ramaswamy odds
Pharmaceutical entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy made some early noise in the Republican primaries for president, but never really threatened to overthrow Trump or the other major candidates ahead of him. In fact, Ramaswamy arguably spent more time acting as another voice supporting Trump than he did trying to win the job himself.
Ramaswamy proved to be an excellent communicator who can deliver a message, which in practical terms, is one of the main jobs of a vice president. However, he has so far proven to be rather unpopular among the American public, with even many Republican voters stating reservations about him during primary season.
That may not be the case among the power brokers and activists within the party, however. Ramaswamy tied Noem at the top of the CPAC vice presidential straw poll, showing there is at least some of the Trump base that likes him as a VP pick. Trump has also included Ramaswamy in his name drops, which should keep him near the top of the VP odds.
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be Trump’s VP? His odds of +2000 suggest hhe has 4.8% chance.
Tim Scott odds
South Carolina Senator Tim Scott hasn’t been one of the strongest supporters of Trump throughout his political career. However, he did endorse Trump just ahead of the New Hampshire primary, a move that some saw as a slap in the face to Nikki Haley, who had originally appointed Scott to the Senate.
Scott isn’t a huge national figure, but he is a known quantity in the Republican party and has broad name recognition. He has successfully managed to be appealing across most of the GOP coalition as well, which would be a plus electorally. Like most of the candidates on this list, he also adds some diversity to the ticket, something Trump’s allies have suggested to improve his chances of winning the general election.
Trump has also singled out Scott for his strong endorsement of the former president, even saying that he told Scott that “you are a much better candidate for me than you are for yourself.” Statements like that are why Scott continues to float near the top of the Trump VP odds.
Will Tim Scott be Trump’s VP? He is currently the favorite with odds of +300 suggest hhe has 25% chance.
Elise Stefanik odds
Rep. Elise Stefanik has quickly risen through the ranks of the House GOP. At the age of 39, she’s already in her fifth term, and the Representative from New York has generated a lot of buzz as a potential VP pick for Trump.
Stefanik has an interesting history, as she was once considered among the most moderate Congressional Republicans, one who often worked on bipartisan legislation. However, she has since fully embraced Trump and the MAGA movement, including backing Trump’s attempts to overturn the 2020 presidential election.
Stefanik would provide Trump with a young, fast-rising woman on the ticket, one who has shown unwavering loyalty to him over the past four years. While Stefanik was once the favorite to get the Trump VP nod, her odds have lengthened as Trump has failed to mention her in discussions about potential VP nominees, and she finished just fourth in the straw poll of CPAC attendees.
Will Elise Stefanik be Trump’s VP? Her odds of +1200 suggest she has 7.7% chance.
Tulsi Gabbard odds
Once a Democratic member of the House representing Hawaii, Tulsi Gabbard left the party in 2022 and has since become a far-right independent commentator who has built some appeal among Republicans. She finished third in the CPAC vice presidential straw poll, garnering 9% of the vote, and Trump confirmed she was under consideration during a Fox News town hall event.
Gabbard’s strengths include her background as a US Army Reserve officer, and the fact that she was once a prominent Democrat could offer some appeal to undecided voters. However, the fact that she endorsed Joe Biden in 2020 and ran as a progressive candidate in that year’s Democratic presidential primary – as well as the fact that she has never officially become a Republican – could work against her chances of getting the Trump VP nod.
Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s VP? Her odds of +650 suggest she has 13.3% chance.
Who will be Trump’s VP?
Although we can never know how the election will unfold, both the Donald Trump Vice President odds and the market movement will give us a good indication of what might happen. Trump has a 52.4% chance (-110 odds) of returning as President of the United States, so the leader in the Trump VP odds is the most likely Vice President.
Can you bet on the Trump VP odds?
If you are betting from the United States, you will not be able to place a wager on the US Election or who will be named as the Republican Vice Presidential nominee. We’ve looked at options across the best sportsbooks in the US, but all regulated sportsbooks are prohibited from offering odds on these markets.
